🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Lumen Field
Referee: A. Villarreal
Seattle Sounders
Match Timeline
Vancouver Whitecaps
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
18'
J. Badwal ↔ R. Elloumi
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
36'
J. Ferreira ↔ S. Gomez
Seattle Sounders
🟨
57'
J. Ragen
Seattle Sounders
🔄
58'
S. Brunell ↔ A. Lopez
Seattle Sounders
🔄
58'
C. Sabaly ↔ R. Gauld
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
66'
R. Priso ↔ T. Blackmon
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
73'
D. Musovski ↔ O. De Rosario
Seattle Sounders
🔄
73'
K. Kossa-Rienzi ↔ Kim Kee-Hee
Seattle Sounders
🟨
76'
Nouhou
Seattle Sounders
77'
R. Elloumi · Assist: E. Sabbi
Vancouver Whitecaps
82'
T. Muller · Assist: O. Larraz
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
85'
A. Roldan ↔ C. Gaffney
Seattle Sounders
🔄
86'
E. Sabbi ↔ N. Djordjevic
Vancouver Whitecaps
🟨
86'
P. Rothrock
Seattle Sounders

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Seattle Sounders Win 31.1%
Draw 14.9%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders1.34
Vancouver Whitecaps1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WWDLW
37 GF / 31 GA
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WLDWL
43 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
13
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
12
4.76
Shots on Goal
6.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 25 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 25 matches
Seattle Sounders Statistic Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Wins 12
3 Draws 5
9 Losses 8
37 Goals For 43
31 Goals Against 28
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
13 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 7
4.76 Shots On Goal 6.24
12.86 Total Shots 17.1
4.52 Corners 5.95
51.5% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Vancouver Whitecaps's more proactive style and Seattle Sounders's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Seattle Sounders have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vancouver Whitecaps. Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 34 points while Seattle Sounders sit 9 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders sit 9 with 24 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 20:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Paul Rothrock (3 goals), Albert Rusnák (2 goals), Jesús Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Albert Rusnák (3 assists), Jordan Morris (2 assists), Jesús Ferreira (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Placed 1 with 34 points from 17 outings, Vancouver Whitecaps continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 38:17 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Brian White (5 goals), Sebastian Berhalter (4 goals), Bruno Quiñonez (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Quiñonez (3 assists), Brian White (2 assists), Sebastian Berhalter (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Sounders won 6 times, Vancouver Whitecaps won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from Seattle Sounders's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
Predicted formations: Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1 / Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Seattle Sounders wins 6, draws 4, Vancouver Whitecaps wins 5
Stats
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
8
1 Corner Kicks 8
16 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 2
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 19
0 Shots on Goal 6
3 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 8
5 Shots insidebox 13
0 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
409 Total passes 538
330 Passes accurate 462
0.67 expected_goals 1.56
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 0 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Seattle Sounders
Formation
Vancouver Whitecaps
A. Thomas
A. Thomas
K. Kossa-Rienzi
K. Kossa-Rienzi
A. Roldan
A. Roldan
J. Ragen
J. Ragen
Nouhou
Nouhou
S. Brunell
S. Brunell
P. Kingston
P. Kingston
J. Ferreira
J. Ferreira
A. Rusnak
A. Rusnak
P. Rothrock
P. Rothrock
D. Musovski
D. Musovski
Y. Takaoka
Y. Takaoka
E. Ocampo
E. Ocampo
M. Laborda
M. Laborda
R. Priso
R. Priso
T. Johnson
T. Johnson
O. Larraz
🎯
O. Larraz
A. Cubas
A. Cubas
J. Badwal
J. Badwal
T. Muller
T. Muller
C. Sabaly
C. Sabaly
E. Sabbi
🎯
E. Sabbi
Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
26
A. Thomas
G
85
K. Kossa-Rienzi
↓ 73'
D
16
A. Roldan
↓ 85'
D
25
J. Ragen
🟨 57'
D
5
Nouhou
🟨 76'
D
37
S. Brunell
↓ 58'
M
45
P. Kingston
M
9
J. Ferreira
↓ 36'
M
11
A. Rusnak
M
14
P. Rothrock
🟨 86'
M
19
D. Musovski
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
24
S. Frei
G
20
Kim Kee-Hee
↑ 73'
D
35
A. Lopez
↑ 58'
D
4
R. Sailor
D
39
S. Hawkins
D
84
C. Gaffney
↑ 85'
M
32
X. Gnaulati
M
95
O. De Rosario
↑ 73'
F
90
S. Gomez
↑ 36'
M
Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Y. Takaoka
G
18
E. Ocampo
D
2
M. Laborda
D
6
R. Priso
↓ 66'
D
28
T. Johnson
D
8
O. Larraz
🎯 82'
M
20
A. Cubas
M
59
J. Badwal
↓ 18'
M
13
T. Muller
⚽ 82'
M
7
C. Sabaly
↓ 58'
M
11
E. Sabbi
🎯 77' ↓ 86'
F
Substitutes
32
I. Boehmer
G
33
T. Blackmon
↑ 66'
D
29
M. Gherasimencov
D
3
S. Adekugbe
D
41
N. Djordjevic
↑ 86'
D
25
R. Gauld
↑ 58'
M
97
L. MacKenzie
M
26
J. Ngando
M
19
R. Elloumi
⚽ 77' ↑ 18'
F
Last matches: Seattle Sounders
22.08.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
20.08.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Austin
1
2
L
02.08.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
1
2
L
25.07.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Philadelphia Union
0
1
L
23.07.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Austin
1
3
L
17.07.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
1
5
L
25.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles FC
0
1
L
17.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
1
1
D
02.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Sporting Kansas City
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas
2
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
4
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
09.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
0
2
L
05.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Houston Dynamo
1
0
W
22.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
19.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
1
W
15.03.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
1
0
W
13.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
3
0
W
Last matches: Vancouver Whitecaps
23.08.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas
5
0
W
20.08.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
01.08.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles FC
1
1
D
26.07.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
22.07.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
24.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego
4
2
W
17.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
14.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Colorado Rapids
3
1
W
18.04.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Sporting Kansas City
3
0
W
11.04.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
New York City FC
2
0
W
05.04.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
3
2
W
22.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
0
1
L
19.03.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
15.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
6
0
W
13.03.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
0
3
L
08.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
4
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Toronto FC
3
0
W
H2H: Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps
17.08.26
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
19.03.26
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
1
W
13.03.26
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
0
3
W
28.09.25
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
2
D
09.06.25
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
3
0
L
03.10.24
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
0
3
W
19.05.24
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
08.10.23
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
0
D
09.07.23
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
2
3
W
21.05.23
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
2
0
L
18.09.22
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
2
1
L
15.06.22
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
0
W
07.11.21
H2H
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
1
1
D
10.10.21
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
1
W
Last matches: Seattle Sounders
20.08.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Austin
1
2
L
17.07.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Portland Timbers
1
5
L
17.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
2
L
14.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Jose Earthquakes
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
San Diego
1
1
D
26.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
FC Dallas
2
1
W
19.04.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
St. Louis City
4
1
W
16.04.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Tigres UANL
3
1
W
19.03.26
CON
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
1
W
23.02.26
Maj
Seattle Sounders
Colorado Rapids
2
0
W
15.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Louisville City
3
1
W
05.02.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
Hammarby FF
3
1
W
31.01.26
Fri
Seattle Sounders
IF Brommapojkarna
3
0
W
H2H at home: Seattle Sounders
17.08.26
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
19.03.26
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
1
W
28.09.25
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
2
D
19.05.24
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
L
08.10.23
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
0
D
15.06.22
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
0
W
10.10.21
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
1
W
Last matches: Vancouver Whitecaps
26.07.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Minnesota United FC
0
0
D
22.07.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Cincinnati
3
4
L
24.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Diego
4
2
W
17.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Houston Dynamo
0
1
L
14.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
FC Dallas
3
2
W
10.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
03.05.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Los Angeles Galaxy
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
Seattle Sounders
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Vancouver Whitecaps
Portland Timbers
4
1
W
19.02.26
CON
Vancouver Whitecaps
CS Cartagines
0
0
D
27.01.26
Fri
Vancouver Whitecaps
Polessya
0
2
L
H2H away: Vancouver Whitecaps
17.08.26
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
W
19.03.26
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
1
L
28.09.25
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
2
2
D
19.05.24
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
1
1
D
21.04.24
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
2
W
08.10.23
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
0
D
15.06.22
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
0
L
10.10.21
H2H
Seattle Sounders
Vancouver Whitecaps
4
1
L

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 12 4 4 45:18 27 40
W L W D D
2 21 12 2 7 30:26 4 38
L W W W W
3 22 10 5 7 36:22 14 35
D L L D W
4 21 10 3 8 39:33 6 33
L L L L D
5 21 9 6 6 38:34 4 33
L W W D L
6 21 9 6 6 30:27 3 33
W D W D W
7 21 9 1 11 30:28 2 28
L W W W L
8 20 8 4 8 34:32 2 28
L L D D L
9 21 8 4 9 38:37 1 28
D W L W W
10 21 7 7 7 27:29 -2 28
W L D D D
11 21 7 6 8 37:32 5 27
W L W D W
12 22 6 8 8 27:32 -5 26
D W L D D
13 20 7 4 9 22:27 -5 25
D L L L L
14 21 5 6 10 26:40 -14 21
D W L L L
15 20 4 3 13 19:49 -30 15
D L L L W
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)