🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
17.08.2026 02:30
Lumen Field
Referee: A. Villarreal
Seattle Sounders
Match Timeline
Vancouver Whitecaps
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
18'
J. Badwal ↔ R. Elloumi
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
36'
J. Ferreira ↔ S. Gomez
Seattle Sounders
🟨
57'
Jackson Ragen
Seattle Sounders
🔄
58'
S. Brunell ↔ A. Lopez
Seattle Sounders
🔄
58'
C. Sabaly ↔ R. Gauld
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
66'
R. Priso ↔ T. Blackmon
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
73'
K. Kossa-Rienzi ↔ Kim Kee-Hee
Seattle Sounders
🔄
73'
D. Musovski ↔ O. De Rosario
Seattle Sounders
🟨
76'
Nouhou Tolo
Seattle Sounders
77'
R. Elloumi · Assist: E. Sabbi
Vancouver Whitecaps
82'
T. Muller · Assist: O. Larraz
Vancouver Whitecaps
🔄
85'
A. Roldan ↔ C. Gaffney
Seattle Sounders
🟨
86'
Paul Rothrock
Seattle Sounders
🔄
86'
E. Sabbi ↔ N. Djordjevic
Vancouver Whitecaps

Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver Whitecaps Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Seattle Sounders Win 31.1%
Draw 14.9%
Vancouver Whitecaps Win 54%
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders1.34
Vancouver Whitecaps1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WWDLW
37 GF / 31 GA
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
WLDWL
43 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.48
Average Goals Scored
1.72
1.24
Average Goals Conceded
1.12
13
BTTS Yes
11
14
Over 2.5
12
4.76
Shots on Goal
6.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 25 matches
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps 25 matches
Seattle Sounders Statistic Vancouver Whitecaps
13 Wins 12
3 Draws 5
9 Losses 8
37 Goals For 43
31 Goals Against 28
1.48 Avg Goals Scored 1.72
1.24 Avg Goals Conceded 1.12
13 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 7
7 Clean Sheets 9
6 Failed To Score 7
4.76 Shots On Goal 6.24
12.86 Total Shots 17.1
4.52 Corners 5.95
51.5% Ball Possession 58%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Vancouver Whitecaps's more proactive style and Seattle Sounders's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Seattle Sounders have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Vancouver Whitecaps. Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 34 points while Seattle Sounders sit 9 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders sit 9 with 24 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 20:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Paul Rothrock (3 goals), Albert Rusnák (2 goals), Jesús Ferreira (2 goals), with creative support from Albert Rusnák (3 assists), Jordan Morris (2 assists), Jesús Ferreira (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Vancouver Whitecaps Analysis

Placed 1 with 34 points from 17 outings, Vancouver Whitecaps continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 38:17 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Brian White (5 goals), Sebastian Berhalter (4 goals), Bruno Quiñonez (2 goals), with creative support from Bruno Quiñonez (3 assists), Brian White (2 assists), Sebastian Berhalter (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Sounders won 6 times, Vancouver Whitecaps won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from Seattle Sounders's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
Predicted formations: Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1 / Vancouver Whitecaps 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Seattle Sounders wins 6, draws 4, Vancouver Whitecaps wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)