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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Watford
FT
1 - 0
Stoke City
Vicarage Road
Referee: Ben Toner, England
Watford
Match Timeline
Stoke City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
30'
Róbert Boženík
Stoke City
🔄
46'
R. Bozenik ↔ S. Gallagher
Stoke City
🟨
59'
Sorba Thomas
Stoke City
🔄
65'
T. Ince ↔ V. Semedo
Watford
🔄
65'
S. N'Zonzi ↔ B. Pearson
Stoke City
🔄
65'
B. Lawal ↔ T. Seko
Stoke City
🟨
66'
Vivaldo
Watford
🟨
69'
Matthew Pollock
Watford
⚽
74'
L. Kjerrumgaard · Assist: H. Kyprianou
Watford
🔄
76'
G. Chakvetadze ↔ M. Sissoko
Watford
🔄
76'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ N. Irankunda
Watford
🔄
77'
J. Bae ↔ D. Mubama
Stoke City
🟨
83'
Maksym Talovierov
Stoke City
🟨
89'
Nestory Irankunda
Watford
🔄
90'
I. Louza ↔ N. Mendy
Watford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Stoke City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.24
Stoke City1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
30 GF / 28 GA
Stoke City Stoke City
WLDWL
28 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.95
16
BTTS Yes
8
12
Over 2.5
10
4.9
Shots on Goal
4.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 21 matches
Stoke City Stoke City 21 matches
Watford Statistic Stoke City
7 Wins 10
8 Draws 3
6 Losses 8
30 Goals For 28
28 Goals Against 20
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.95
16 BTTS Yes 8
17 Over 1.5 13
12 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 7
4 Failed To Score 7
4.9 Shots On Goal 4.19
14.38 Total Shots 11.67
4.33 Corners 5.81
52.4% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 6 times, Stoke City won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Watford's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Watford 4-4-2 / Stoke City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Watford wins 6, draws 3, Stoke City wins 6
Stats
Watford Watford
Stoke City Stoke City
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 5
10 Fouls 12
1 Offsides 5
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 1
4 Shots off Goal 2
1 Blocked Shots 4
7 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 2
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
316 Total passes 478
243 Passes accurate 404
1.22 expected_goals 0.52
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Watford
Formation
Stoke City
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Ngakia
J. Ngakia
M. Pollock
M. Pollock
M. Alleyne
M. Alleyne
M. Bola
M. Bola
T. Ince
↓
T. Ince
H. Kyprianou
🎯
H. Kyprianou
I. Louza
↓
I. Louza
O. Maamma
O. Maamma
G. Chakvetadze
↓
G. Chakvetadze
L. Kjerrumgaard
⚽ ↓
L. Kjerrumgaard
V. Johansson
V. Johansson
M. Talovierov
M. Talovierov
A. Phillips
A. Phillips
B. Wilmot
B. Wilmot
A. Cresswell
A. Cresswell
B. Lawal
↓
B. Lawal
S. N'Zonzi
↓
S. N'Zonzi
M. Manhoef
M. Manhoef
J. Bae
↓
J. Bae
S. Thomas
S. Thomas
R. Bozenik
↓
R. Bozenik
Watford 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
2
J. Ngakia
D
6
M. Pollock
🟨 69'
D
3
M. Alleyne
D
16
M. Bola
D
7
T. Ince
↓ 65'
M
5
H. Kyprianou
🎯 74'
M
10
I. Louza
↓ 90'
M
42
O. Maamma
M
8
G. Chakvetadze
↓ 76'
F
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
⚽ 74' ↓ 76'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
17
M. Sissoko
↑ 76'
M
18
V. Semedo
↑ 65' 🟨 66'
F
22
J. Morris
D
23
N. Mendy
↑ 90'
M
25
J. Abankwah
D
27
F. Mendy
D
53
A. Nabizada
F
66
N. Irankunda
↑ 76' 🟨 89'
F
Stoke City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Johansson
G
40
M. Talovierov
🟨 83'
D
26
A. Phillips
D
16
B. Wilmot
D
3
A. Cresswell
D
18
B. Lawal
↓ 65'
15
S. N'Zonzi
↓ 65'
M
42
M. Manhoef
M
10
J. Bae
↓ 77'
M
7
S. Thomas
🟨 59'
M
11
R. Bozenik
↓ 46' 🟨 30'
F
Substitutes
13
J. Bonham
G
23
B. Gibson
D
4
B. Pearson
↑ 65'
M
12
T. Seko
↑ 65'
M
19
T. Rigo
M
14
J. Donley
M
29
L. Cisse
F
20
S. Gallagher
↑ 46'
F
9
D. Mubama
↑ 77'
F
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
Last matches: Stoke City
15.08.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Stoke City
Valencia
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Everton
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
H2H: Watford vs Stoke City
14.03.26
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
L
20.12.25
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
1
0
W
01.03.25
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
0
0
D
17.08.24
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
3
0
W
29.12.23
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
1
1
D
19.08.23
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
1
0
L
08.05.23
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
2
0
W
02.10.22
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
0
4
W
21.09.21
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
22.01.21
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
1
2
W
04.11.20
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
3
2
W
31.01.18
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
0
0
D
28.10.17
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
0
1
L
03.01.17
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
2
0
L
27.11.16
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
0
1
L
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Watford
Swansea
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Watford
Portsmouth
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Watford
Millwall
0
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
3
2
W
25.11.25
Cha
Watford
Preston
1
1
D
07.11.25
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
3
0
W
22.10.25
Cha
Watford
West Brom
2
1
W
04.10.25
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
2
1
W
H2H at home: Watford
20.12.25
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
1
0
W
17.08.24
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
3
0
W
29.12.23
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
1
1
D
08.05.23
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.09.21
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
04.11.20
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
3
2
W
28.10.17
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
0
1
L
27.11.16
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
0
1
L
Last matches: Stoke City
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Norwich
2
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Hull City
1
0
W
10.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
0
1
L
06.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
0
4
L
22.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
1
2
L
04.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
3
0
W
25.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
0
2
L
04.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
30.09.25
Cha
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
H2H away: Stoke City
20.12.25
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
1
0
L
17.08.24
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
3
0
L
29.12.23
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
1
1
D
08.05.23
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
2
0
L
21.09.21
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
W
04.11.20
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
3
2
L
28.10.17
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
0
1
W
27.11.16
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
0
1
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford Home
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City Away
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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