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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Watford
FT
3 - 0
Birmingham
Vicarage Road
Referee: Lewis Smith, England
Watford
Match Timeline
Birmingham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
9'
T. Ince · Assist: G. Chakvetadze
Watford
⚽
38'
T. Ince
Watford
🟨
43'
Matthew Pollock
Watford
🔄
46'
G. Chakvetadze ↔ N. Irankunda
Watford
🔄
46'
A. Sampsted ↔ M. Leonard
Birmingham
🔄
46'
W. T. Willumsson ↔ L. Dykes
Birmingham
⚽
60'
T. Ince · Assist: N. Irankunda
Watford
🔄
62'
A. Cochrane ↔ E. Cashin
Birmingham
🟨
63'
Lyndon Dykes
Birmingham
🔄
64'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ V. Semedo
Watford
🔄
68'
K. Furuhashi ↔ M. Ducksch
Birmingham
🔄
69'
I. Louza ↔ N. Mendy
Watford
🔄
70'
O. Maamma ↔ M. Sissoko
Watford
🔄
77'
T. Ince ↔ K. Baah
Watford
🔄
77'
K. Anderson ↔ L. Koumas
Birmingham
🟨
78'
Seung-Ho Paik
Birmingham

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Watford Win 0%
Draw 0%
Birmingham Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Watford1.37
Birmingham1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Watford Watford
WWDLW
34 GF / 29 GA
Birmingham Birmingham
WLDWL
32 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.42
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
17
BTTS Yes
14
13
Over 2.5
12
4.71
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Watford Watford 24 matches
Birmingham Birmingham 24 matches
Watford Statistic Birmingham
10 Wins 8
8 Draws 7
6 Losses 9
34 Goals For 32
29 Goals Against 31
1.42 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
17 BTTS Yes 14
18 Over 1.5 19
13 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 5
4 Failed To Score 5
4.71 Shots On Goal 3.83
13.88 Total Shots 14.5
4.46 Corners 5.46
51.4% Ball Possession 55.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Watford won 11 times, Birmingham won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:8 from Watford's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Watford 4-2-3-1 / Birmingham 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Watford wins 11, draws 1, Birmingham wins 3
Stats
Watford Watford
Birmingham Birmingham
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 4
5 Fouls 14
1 Offsides 3
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Goal 2
5 Shots off Goal 3
2 Blocked Shots 1
10 Shots insidebox 5
3 Shots outsidebox 1
2 Goalkeeper Saves 3
402 Total passes 484
317 Passes accurate 396
1.56 expected_goals 0.40
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Watford
Formation
Birmingham
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Abankwah
J. Abankwah
M. Pollock
M. Pollock
M. Alleyne
M. Alleyne
M. Bola
M. Bola
H. Kyprianou
H. Kyprianou
I. Louza
↓
I. Louza
O. Maamma
↓
O. Maamma
G. Chakvetadze
🎯 ↓
G. Chakvetadze
T. Ince
⚽ 3 ↓
T. Ince
L. Kjerrumgaard
↓
L. Kjerrumgaard
J. Beadle
J. Beadle
A. Sampsted
↓
A. Sampsted
P. Neumann
P. Neumann
J. Robinson
J. Robinson
A. Cochrane
↓
A. Cochrane
T. Iwata
T. Iwata
Paik Seung-Ho
Paik Seung-Ho
P. Roberts
P. Roberts
W. T. Willumsson
↓
W. T. Willumsson
K. Anderson
↓
K. Anderson
K. Furuhashi
↓
K. Furuhashi
Watford 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
25
J. Abankwah
D
6
M. Pollock
🟨 43'
D
3
M. Alleyne
D
16
M. Bola
D
5
H. Kyprianou
M
10
I. Louza
↓ 69'
M
42
O. Maamma
↓ 70'
M
8
G. Chakvetadze
🎯 9' ↓ 46'
M
7
T. Ince
⚽ 9' ⚽ 38' ⚽ 60' ↓ 77'
M
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
4
K. Keben
D
22
J. Morris
D
29
J. Petris
D
23
N. Mendy
↑ 69'
M
17
M. Sissoko
↑ 70'
M
66
N. Irankunda
🎯 60' ↑ 46'
F
34
K. Baah
↑ 77'
F
18
V. Semedo
↑ 64'
F
Birmingham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
J. Beadle
G
23
A. Sampsted
↓ 46'
D
5
P. Neumann
D
6
J. Robinson
D
20
A. Cochrane
↓ 62'
D
24
T. Iwata
M
8
Paik Seung-Ho
🟨 78'
M
16
P. Roberts
M
18
W. T. Willumsson
↓ 46'
M
14
K. Anderson
↓ 77'
M
9
K. Furuhashi
↓ 68'
F
Substitutes
21
R. Allsop
G
12
M. Leonard
↑ 46'
M
17
L. Dykes
↑ 46' 🟨 63'
F
27
K. Fujimoto
M
30
L. Koumas
↑ 77'
F
33
M. Ducksch
↑ 68'
F
40
M. Mazwi
M
41
E. Cashin
↑ 62'
D
42
D. Isichei
M
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
Last matches: Birmingham
15.08.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
H2H: Watford vs Birmingham
01.01.26
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
01.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
L
16.03.24
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
1
W
16.09.23
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
2
0
W
14.03.23
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
16.08.22
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
1
1
D
20.03.21
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
12.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
1
W
18.04.15
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
1
0
W
04.11.14
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
L
11.02.14
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
1
0
W
03.08.13
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
1
W
16.02.13
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
4
W
25.08.12
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
2
0
W
21.01.12
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
3
0
L
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Watford
Swansea
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Watford
Portsmouth
1
1
D
17.01.26
Cha
Watford
Millwall
0
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
0
W
09.12.25
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
3
2
W
25.11.25
Cha
Watford
Preston
1
1
D
07.11.25
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
1
1
D
01.11.25
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
3
0
W
22.10.25
Cha
Watford
West Brom
2
1
W
04.10.25
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
2
1
W
H2H at home: Watford
01.01.26
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
16.09.23
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
2
0
W
14.03.23
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
20.03.21
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
W
18.04.15
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
1
0
W
11.02.14
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
1
0
W
25.08.12
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
2
0
W
Last matches: Birmingham
15.08.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
31.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Oxford United
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Swansea
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Birmingham
Cambridge United
3
2
W
20.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
3
L
09.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
2
L
06.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Southampton
1
3
L
26.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
1
1
D
08.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
H2H away: Birmingham
01.01.26
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
L
16.09.23
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
2
0
L
14.03.23
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
L
20.03.21
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
L
18.04.15
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
1
0
L
11.02.14
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
1
0
L
25.08.12
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
2
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham Away
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford Home
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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Relegation