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ITALY › SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Sudtirol
FT
0 - 3
Mantova
Stadio Marco Druso
Referee: M. Caputi
Sudtirol
Match Timeline
Mantova
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
35'
S. Trimboli · Assist: F. Benaissa-Yahia
Mantova
🟨
41'
Andrea Masiello
Sudtirol
⚽
41'
T. Marras · Assist: A. Castellini
Mantova
🔄
46'
R. Tonin ↔ S. Merkaj
Sudtirol
🔄
46'
R. Odogwu ↔ E. Pecorino
Sudtirol
🔄
56'
J. Martini ↔ M. R. Frigerio
Sudtirol
🔄
56'
A. Masiello ↔ H. El Kaouakibi
Sudtirol
🔄
63'
F. Ruocco ↔ C. Falletti
Mantova
🔄
63'
F. Benaissa-Yahia ↔ N. Radaelli
Mantova
🟨
70'
Silvio Merkaj
Sudtirol
🔄
72'
F. Tait ↔ D. Crnigoj
Sudtirol
🔄
72'
R. Kouda ↔ D. Wieser
Mantova
🔄
72'
T. Marras ↔ F. Paoletti
Mantova
🔄
82'
L. Mancuso ↔ N. Buso
Mantova
⚽
83'
D. Wieser
Mantova
🟨
84'
David Wieser
Mantova

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 79.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
79.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70%
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sudtirol Win 20.1%
Draw 41.9%
Mantova Win 38%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sudtirol1.24
Mantova1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sudtirol Sudtirol
WWDLW
38 GF / 46 GA
Mantova Mantova
WLDWL
39 GF / 54 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.08
1.28
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
21
BTTS Yes
18
15
Over 2.5
18
3.44
Shots on Goal
4.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sudtirol Sudtirol 36 matches
Mantova Mantova 36 matches
Sudtirol Statistic Mantova
8 Wins 11
16 Draws 7
12 Losses 18
38 Goals For 39
46 Goals Against 54
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.08
1.28 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
21 BTTS Yes 18
26 Over 1.5 25
15 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 8
12 Failed To Score 12
3.44 Shots On Goal 4.61
11.97 Total Shots 13.86
4.25 Corners 4.89
39.9% Ball Possession 57.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Sudtirol won 4 times, Mantova won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:15 from Sudtirol's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (79.9%)
Predicted formations: Sudtirol 3-5-1-1 / Mantova 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Sudtirol wins 4, draws 4, Mantova wins 3
Stats
Sudtirol Sudtirol
Mantova Mantova
Shots on Goal
0
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 2
15 Fouls 12
3 Offsides 2
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Goal 5
7 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 2
5 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
334 Total passes 525
237 Passes accurate 425
0.90 expected_goals 0.81
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sudtirol
Formation
Mantova
M. Adamonis
M. Adamonis
F. Veseli
F. Veseli
N. Pietrangeli
N. Pietrangeli
A. Masiello
↓
A. Masiello
S. Molina
S. Molina
F. Tait
↓
F. Tait
J. Martini
↓
J. Martini
D. Casiraghi
D. Casiraghi
S. Davi
S. Davi
R. Tonin
↓
R. Tonin
R. Odogwu
↓
R. Odogwu
F. Bardi
F. Bardi
A. Dembele
A. Dembele
S. Cella
S. Cella
A. Castellini
🎯
A. Castellini
T. Maggioni
T. Maggioni
S. Trimboli
⚽
S. Trimboli
R. Kouda
↓
R. Kouda
F. Benaissa-Yahia
🎯 ↓
F. Benaissa-Yahia
T. Marras
⚽ ↓
T. Marras
F. Ruocco
↓
F. Ruocco
L. Mancuso
↓
L. Mancuso
Sudtirol 3-5-1-1
Starting XI
31
M. Adamonis
G
34
F. Veseli
D
19
N. Pietrangeli
D
5
A. Masiello
↓ 56' 🟨 41'
D
79
S. Molina
M
21
F. Tait
↓ 72'
M
6
J. Martini
↓ 56'
M
17
D. Casiraghi
M
24
S. Davi
M
11
R. Tonin
↓ 46'
F
90
R. Odogwu
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
62
D. Theiner
G
1
D. Borra
G
33
S. Merkaj
↑ 46' 🟨 70'
F
9
E. Pecorino
↑ 46'
F
18
S. Tronchin
M
23
F. Davi
D
46
D. Brik
M
89
D. Crnigoj
↑ 72'
M
26
M. R. Frigerio
↑ 56'
M
94
H. El Kaouakibi
↑ 56'
D
13
C. Sabatini
D
4
D. Mancini
D
Mantova 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
24
F. Bardi
G
3
A. Dembele
D
29
S. Cella
D
27
A. Castellini
🎯 41'
D
96
T. Maggioni
M
21
S. Trimboli
⚽ 35'
M
80
R. Kouda
↓ 72'
M
50
F. Benaissa-Yahia
🎯 35' ↓ 63'
M
23
T. Marras
⚽ 41' ↓ 72'
F
19
F. Ruocco
↓ 63'
F
9
L. Mancuso
↓ 82'
F
Substitutes
22
L. Andrenacci
G
34
A. Vukovic
G
18
C. Falletti
↑ 63'
M
77
N. Buso
↑ 82'
F
15
T. Goncalves
D
98
F. Zuccon
M
10
D. Wieser
⚽ 83' ↑ 72' 🟨 84'
M
17
N. Radaelli
↑ 63'
D
36
F. Paoletti
↑ 72'
M
30
D. Bragantini
F
28
M. Caprini
F
33
C. Marai
D
Last matches: Sudtirol
07.08.26
Fri
Sudtirol
Virtus Verona
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Sudtirol
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
0
D
22.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
0
0
D
15.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
0
0
D
08.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
01.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Sampdoria
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Spezia
1
6
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Modena
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Cesena
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Frosinone
1
3
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Avellino
2
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Pescara
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
03.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Reggiana
4
0
W
28.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Venezia
1
1
D
21.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Palermo
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
2
1
W
11.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Monza
0
0
D
07.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Carrarese
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Catanzaro
2
1
W
Last matches: Mantova
09.08.26
Fri
Mantova
Athletic Carpi
0
1
L
06.08.26
Fri
Mantova
Legnago Salus
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Mantova
Alcione
6
2
W
26.07.26
Fri
Mantova
Ambrosiana
7
0
W
08.05.26
Ser
Mantova
Frosinone
0
5
L
01.05.26
Ser
Mantova
Monza
3
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
Mantova
Avellino
0
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Mantova
Spezia
2
0
W
06.04.26
Ser
Mantova
Virtus Entella
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Modena
1
2
L
17.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Cesena
3
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Empoli
2
2
D
08.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Juve Stabia
2
0
W
04.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Palermo
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Carrarese
1
1
D
21.02.26
Ser
Mantova
Sampdoria
2
1
W
14.02.26
Ser
Mantova
Catanzaro
0
2
L
10.02.26
Ser
Mantova
Reggiana
0
1
L
07.02.26
Ser
Mantova
Bari
2
1
W
31.01.26
Ser
Mantova
Pescara
2
2
D
H2H: Sudtirol vs Mantova
25.04.26
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
0
3
L
18.10.25
H2H
Mantova
Sudtirol
1
1
D
29.03.25
H2H
Mantova
Sudtirol
2
0
L
14.12.24
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
2
2
D
06.08.22
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
2
2
D
06.03.22
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
1
0
W
24.10.21
H2H
Mantova
Sudtirol
0
1
W
08.03.21
H2H
Mantova
Sudtirol
1
1
D
11.11.20
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
2
1
W
07.05.17
H2H
Mantova
Sudtirol
3
1
L
18.12.16
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
1
0
W
Last matches: Sudtirol
07.08.26
Fri
Sudtirol
Virtus Verona
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Sudtirol
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0
0
D
22.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
0
0
D
08.05.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Modena
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Frosinone
1
3
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Pescara
0
0
D
07.03.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
28.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Venezia
1
1
D
11.02.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Monza
0
0
D
31.01.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Catanzaro
2
1
W
25.01.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Padova
3
0
W
10.01.26
Ser
Sudtirol
Spezia
2
1
W
13.12.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Bari
0
0
D
29.11.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Avellino
0
1
L
08.11.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Carrarese
1
1
D
25.10.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Cesena
0
1
L
05.10.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Empoli
1
2
L
27.09.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Reggiana
3
1
W
14.09.25
Ser
Sudtirol
Palermo
0
2
L
H2H at home: Sudtirol
25.04.26
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
0
3
L
14.12.24
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
2
2
D
06.08.22
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
2
2
D
06.03.22
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
1
0
W
11.11.20
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
2
1
W
18.12.16
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
1
0
W
Last matches: Mantova
06.08.26
Fri
Mantova
Legnago Salus
3
1
W
08.05.26
Ser
Mantova
Frosinone
0
5
L
12.04.26
Ser
Mantova
Spezia
2
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Modena
1
2
L
14.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Empoli
2
2
D
04.03.26
Ser
Mantova
Palermo
1
2
L
14.02.26
Ser
Mantova
Catanzaro
0
2
L
10.02.26
Ser
Mantova
Reggiana
0
1
L
31.01.26
Ser
Mantova
Pescara
2
2
D
17.01.26
Ser
Mantova
Padova
2
1
W
27.12.25
Ser
Mantova
Carrarese
0
0
D
13.12.25
Ser
Mantova
Cesena
2
3
L
29.11.25
Ser
Mantova
Venezia
0
3
L
02.11.25
Ser
Mantova
Sampdoria
1
0
W
26.10.25
Ser
Mantova
Bari
0
1
L
04.10.25
Ser
Mantova
Avellino
0
0
D
30.09.25
Ser
Mantova
Juve Stabia
1
2
L
14.09.25
Ser
Mantova
Virtus Entella
0
1
L
23.08.25
Ser
Mantova
Monza
0
1
L
16.08.25
Cop
Mantova
Venezia
0
4
L
H2H away: Mantova
25.04.26
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
0
3
W
14.12.24
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
2
2
D
06.08.22
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
2
2
D
06.03.22
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
1
0
L
11.11.20
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
2
1
L
18.12.16
H2H
Sudtirol
Mantova
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Venezia
38 24 10 4 77:31 46 82
W D W W D
2
Frosinone
38 23 12 3 76:34 42 81
W W W W D
3
Monza
38 22 10 6 61:32 29 76
D L W W W
4
Palermo
38 20 12 6 61:33 28 72
L W D W D
5
Catanzaro
38 15 14 9 62:51 11 59
L L W D D
6
Modena
38 15 10 13 49:36 13 55
L W L L D
7
Juve Stabia
38 11 18 9 44:45 -1 51
D L D D W
8
Avellino
38 13 10 15 43:55 -12 49
W L W W D
9
Mantova Away
38 13 7 18 45:57 -12 46
L W W L W
10
Padova
38 12 10 16 39:49 -10 46
W W L W W
11
Cesena
38 12 10 16 45:56 -11 46
L D D L L
12
Carrarese
38 10 14 14 47:52 -5 44
L D L D L
13
Sampdoria
38 11 11 16 35:48 -13 44
L W D L W
14
Virtus Entella
38 10 12 16 36:51 -15 42
W L W D D
15
Empoli
38 9 14 15 47:54 -7 41
D W L D L
16
Sudtirol Home
38 8 17 13 38:48 -10 41
D L L L D
17
Bari
38 10 10 18 38:60 -22 40
W W L L L
18
Reggiana
38 9 10 19 36:56 -20 37
W L D L W
19
Spezia
38 8 11 19 43:59 -16 35
D D L W L
20
Pescara
38 7 14 17 51:66 -15 35
D L D D L
Promotion - Serie A
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Serie B (Play Out)
Relegation