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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Stoke City
FT
3 - 1
Watford
Bet365 Stadium
Referee: L. Doughty
Stoke City
Match Timeline
Watford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Tomáš Rigo
Stoke City
⚽
28'
M. Manhoef · Assist: M. Smit
Stoke City
🟨
50'
Sorba Thomas
Stoke City
🟨
51'
Nampalys Mendy
Watford
🟨
60'
Maksym Talovierov
Stoke City
🔄
62'
V. Semedo ↔ N. Irankunda
Watford
🔄
70'
E. Bocat ↔ B. Gibson
Stoke City
🔄
71'
M. Smit ↔ S. Gallagher
Stoke City
🔄
71'
T. Ince ↔ J. Lawson
Watford
🔄
71'
N. Mendy ↔ P. Ekwah
Watford
🟨
72'
Tommy Simkin
Stoke City
⚽
77'
M. Manhoef
Stoke City
🔄
79'
J. Bae ↔ B. Pearson
Stoke City
🔄
79'
M. Manhoef ↔ J. Rak-Sakyi
Stoke City
⚽
81'
N. Irankunda · Assist: G. Chakvetadze
Watford
🔄
83'
S. N'Zonzi ↔ T. Seko
Stoke City
⚽
85'
S. Gallagher · Assist: S. Thomas
Stoke City
🔄
86'
S. Mfuni ↔ E. Bove
Watford
🔄
86'
I. Louza ↔ L. Kjerrumgaard
Watford
🟨
90+3'
Nestory Irankunda
Watford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Stoke City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Watford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stoke City1.19
Watford1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stoke City Stoke City
WWDLW
44 GF / 41 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
47 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.27
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
16
BTTS Yes
23
17
Over 2.5
17
3.79
Shots on Goal
4.43

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stoke City Stoke City 39 matches
Watford Watford 37 matches
Stoke City Statistic Watford
14 Wins 13
9 Draws 13
16 Losses 11
44 Goals For 47
41 Goals Against 47
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.27
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
16 BTTS Yes 23
24 Over 1.5 29
17 Over 2.5 17
5 Over 3.5 8
13 Clean Sheets 6
14 Failed To Score 9
3.79 Shots On Goal 4.43
11.05 Total Shots 13.92
5.49 Corners 4.7
51.5% Ball Possession 51.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 6 times, Watford won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:18 from Stoke City's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Stoke City 4-2-3-1 / Watford 4-4-2
H2H summary: Stoke City wins 6, draws 3, Watford wins 6
Stats
Stoke City Stoke City
Watford Watford
Shots on Goal
12
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
4
6 Corner Kicks 7
11 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 0
45% Ball Possession 55%
19 Total Shots 15
12 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 4
13 Shots insidebox 9
6 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 9
318 Total passes 391
227 Passes accurate 306
1.66 expected_goals 1.83
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Stoke City
Formation
Watford
T. Simkin
T. Simkin
J. Tchamadeu
J. Tchamadeu
M. Talovierov
M. Talovierov
A. Phillips
A. Phillips
E. Bocat
↓
E. Bocat
S. N'Zonzi
↓
S. N'Zonzi
T. Rigo
T. Rigo
M. Manhoef
⚽ 2 ↓
M. Manhoef
J. Bae
↓
J. Bae
S. Thomas
🎯
S. Thomas
M. Smit
🎯 ↓
M. Smit
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
J. Abankwah
J. Abankwah
S. Goglichidze
S. Goglichidze
S. Mfuni
↓
S. Mfuni
M. Bola
M. Bola
T. Ince
↓
T. Ince
I. Louza
↓
I. Louza
N. Mendy
↓
N. Mendy
G. Chakvetadze
🎯
G. Chakvetadze
E. Kayembe
E. Kayembe
V. Semedo
↓
V. Semedo
Stoke City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
T. Simkin
🟨 72'
G
22
J. Tchamadeu
D
40
M. Talovierov
🟨 60'
D
26
A. Phillips
D
17
E. Bocat
↓ 70'
D
15
S. N'Zonzi
↓ 83'
M
19
T. Rigo
🟨 17'
M
42
M. Manhoef
⚽ 28' ⚽ 77' ↓ 79'
M
10
J. Bae
↓ 79'
M
7
S. Thomas
🎯 85' 🟨 50'
M
49
M. Smit
🎯 28' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
34
F. Fielding
G
4
B. Pearson
↑ 79'
M
12
T. Seko
↑ 83'
M
29
L. Cisse
F
23
B. Gibson
↑ 70'
D
20
S. Gallagher
⚽ 85' ↑ 71'
F
21
J. Rak-Sakyi
↑ 79'
F
50
S. Agina
M
59
G. Kelly
M
Watford 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
25
J. Abankwah
D
3
S. Goglichidze
D
21
S. Mfuni
↓ 86'
D
16
M. Bola
D
7
T. Ince
↓ 71'
M
10
I. Louza
↓ 86'
M
23
N. Mendy
↓ 71' 🟨 51'
M
8
G. Chakvetadze
🎯 81'
M
39
E. Kayembe
F
18
V. Semedo
↓ 62'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
15
E. Bove
↑ 86'
M
6
M. Pollock
D
4
K. Keben
D
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
↑ 86'
F
64
J. Lawson
↑ 71'
F
17
P. Ekwah
↑ 71'
M
66
N. Irankunda
⚽ 81' ↑ 62' 🟨 90+3'
F
53
A. Nabizada
F
Last matches: Stoke City
01.08.26
Fri
Stoke City
Valencia
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Everton
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
H2H: Stoke City vs Watford
14.03.26
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
20.12.25
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
1
0
L
01.03.25
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
0
0
D
17.08.24
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
3
0
L
29.12.23
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
1
1
D
19.08.23
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
1
0
W
08.05.23
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
2
0
L
02.10.22
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
0
4
L
21.09.21
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
W
22.01.21
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
1
2
L
04.11.20
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
3
2
L
31.01.18
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
0
0
D
28.10.17
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
0
1
W
03.01.17
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
2
0
W
27.11.16
H2H
Watford
Stoke City
0
1
W
Last matches: Stoke City
01.08.26
Fri
Stoke City
Valencia
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Everton
1
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
31.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
L
21.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
QPR
0
0
D
10.01.26
FA
Stoke City
Coventry
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
2
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Hull City
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
3
0
W
H2H at home: Stoke City
14.03.26
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
01.03.25
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
1
0
W
02.10.22
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
0
4
L
22.01.21
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
1
2
L
31.01.18
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
0
0
D
03.01.17
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
2
0
W
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Watford
Coventry
1
3
L
H2H away: Watford
14.03.26
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
L
01.03.25
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
0
0
D
19.08.23
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
1
0
L
02.10.22
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
0
4
W
22.01.21
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
1
2
W
31.01.18
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
0
0
D
03.01.17
H2H
Stoke City
Watford
2
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford Away
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City Home
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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Relegation