Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
15.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
22.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Southampton
Ipswich
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Southampton
49 matches
Ipswich
46 matches
| Southampton | Statistic | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Wins | 23 |
| 13 | Draws | 14 |
| 11 | Losses | 9 |
| 86 | Goals For | 77 |
| 59 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.76 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.02 |
| 35 | BTTS Yes | 26 |
| 42 | Over 1.5 | 38 |
| 31 | Over 2.5 | 23 |
| 15 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 5.22 | Shots On Goal | 4.93 |
| 13.71 | Total Shots | 15.24 |
| 5.63 | Corners | 5.83 |
| 55.1% | Ball Possession | 56.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Ipswich. Southampton come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ipswich having the stronger overall control.
Southampton approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 76 points after 44 outings. With 21 wins, 13 draws, and 10 defeats plus a goal balance of 77:53, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Armstrong (11 goals), F. Azaz (11 goals), L. Scienza (7 goals), with creative support from L. Scienza (10 assists), F. Azaz (8 assists), Tom Fellows (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the split of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with M. Roerslev Rasmussen, Welington, A. McCarthy, F. Downes unavailable.
Ipswich come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 80 points from 44 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 14 draws, and 8 losses, while the 75:45 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on J. Clarke (15 goals), J. Philogene (11 goals), G. Hirst (10 goals), with creative support from L. Davis (4 assists), I. Azon (3 assists), Conor Chaplin (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. Although they are without D. Button, L. Davis, C. Townsend, that could reduce some of their usual creative supply in attacking areas.
Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 3 times, Ipswich won 2 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:13 from Southampton's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.9 goals per game.
Southampton
4
9
5
8
9
2
Lineups
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Preston
Southampton
Manchester City
Southampton
Bristol City
Southampton
Swansea
Southampton
Blackburn
Southampton
Derby
Southampton
Wrexham
Southampton
Arsenal
Southampton
Oxford United
Southampton
Norwich
Southampton
Coventry
Southampton
West Brom
Southampton
Fulham
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
Southampton
QPR
Southampton
Charlton
Southampton
Leicester
Southampton
Leicester
Ipswich
QPR
Ipswich
West Brom
Ipswich
Charlton
Ipswich
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
Portsmouth
Ipswich
Norwich
Ipswich
Birmingham
Ipswich
Millwall
Ipswich
Sheffield Wednesday
Ipswich
Stoke City
Ipswich
Leicester
Ipswich
Hull City
Ipswich
Swansea
Ipswich
Watford
Ipswich
Wrexham
Ipswich
Wrexham
Ipswich
Derby
Ipswich
Preston
Ipswich
Sheffield Utd
Ipswich
Bristol City
Southampton
Middlesbrough
Southampton
Bristol City
Southampton
Blackburn
Southampton
Derby
Southampton
Arsenal
Southampton
Oxford United
Southampton
Norwich
Southampton
QPR
Southampton
Charlton
Southampton
Leicester
Southampton
Watford
Southampton
Sheffield Utd
Southampton
Hull City
Southampton
Millwall
Southampton
Coventry
Southampton
West Brom
Southampton
Birmingham
Southampton
Leicester
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
Southampton
Preston
Ipswich
West Brom
Ipswich
Charlton
Ipswich
Portsmouth
Ipswich
Norwich
Ipswich
Sheffield Wednesday
Ipswich
Stoke City
Ipswich
Watford
Ipswich
Wrexham
Ipswich
Wrexham
Ipswich
Derby
Ipswich
Sheffield Utd
Ipswich
Coventry
Ipswich
Millwall
Ipswich
Leicester
Ipswich
Blackburn
Ipswich
Oxford United
Ipswich
Hull City
Ipswich
Swansea
Ipswich
QPR
Ipswich
Middlesbrough
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 |
Ipswich
Away
|
46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Southampton
Home
|
46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|