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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
QPR
FT
2 - 1
Watford
Loftus Road
Referee: R. Ricardo
QPR
Match Timeline
Watford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
Edoardo Bove
Watford
⚽
26'
R. Kolli · Assist: P. Smyth
QPR
🟨
29'
Rayan Kolli
QPR
🟨
30'
Jimmy Dunne
QPR
🔄
46'
R. Kolli ↔ D. Bennie
QPR
🟨
49'
Pierre Ekwah
Watford
🔄
57'
P. Ekwah ↔ N. Mendy
Watford
🔄
57'
N. Irankunda ↔ M. Doumbia
Watford
🔄
57'
E. Bove ↔ A. Nabizada
Watford
🟨
61'
Paul Smyth
QPR
🟨
62'
Saba Goglichidze
Watford
⚽
63'
P. Smyth
QPR
🔄
72'
P. Smyth ↔ K. Saito
QPR
🔄
73'
G. Chakvetadze ↔ K. Baah
Watford
🔄
79'
H. Vale ↔ K. Poku
QPR
🟨
84'
Richard Kone
QPR
🔄
85'
S. Goglichidze ↔ V. Semedo
Watford
⚽
85'
I. Louza
Watford
🟨
87'
Amadou Salif Mbengue
QPR
🟨
90+1'
Kwame Poku
QPR
🟨
90+1'
Imrân Louza
Watford

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
QPR Win 0%
Draw 0%
Watford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
QPR1.35
Watford1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
QPR QPR
WWDLW
56 GF / 63 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
51 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
26
BTTS Yes
25
26
Over 2.5
19
3.85
Shots on Goal
4.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

QPR QPR 40 matches
Watford Watford 40 matches
QPR Statistic Watford
15 Wins 14
8 Draws 14
17 Losses 12
56 Goals For 51
63 Goals Against 51
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
26 BTTS Yes 25
30 Over 1.5 31
26 Over 2.5 19
16 Over 3.5 10
9 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 10
3.85 Shots On Goal 4.4
12.45 Total Shots 13.73
4.7 Corners 4.78
45% Ball Possession 50.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, QPR won 6 times, Watford won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:16 from QPR's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

Predicted formations: QPR 4-4-2 / Watford 4-4-2
Missing players: QPR 6, Watford 6
H2H summary: QPR wins 6, draws 3, Watford wins 4
Stats
QPR QPR
Watford Watford
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
2
2 Corner Kicks 3
20 Fouls 15
1 Offsides 2
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 1
4 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
335 Total passes 391
252 Passes accurate 303
2.40 expected_goals 0.34
🟨 6 Yellow Cards 4 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

QPR
Formation
Watford
J. Walsh
J. Walsh
A. S. Mbengue
A. S. Mbengue
J. Dunne
J. Dunne
R. Edwards
R. Edwards
R. Norrington-Davies
R. Norrington-Davies
H. Vale
↓
H. Vale
K. Morgan
K. Morgan
J. Varane
J. Varane
P. Smyth
⚽ 🎯 ↓
P. Smyth
R. Kone
R. Kone
R. Kolli
⚽ ↓
R. Kolli
E. Selvik
E. Selvik
K. Keben
K. Keben
M. Pollock
M. Pollock
S. Goglichidze
↓
S. Goglichidze
J. Petris
J. Petris
N. Irankunda
↓
N. Irankunda
E. Bove
↓
E. Bove
P. Ekwah
↓
P. Ekwah
G. Chakvetadze
↓
G. Chakvetadze
L. Kjerrumgaard
L. Kjerrumgaard
I. Louza
⚽
I. Louza
QPR 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
J. Walsh
G
27
A. S. Mbengue
🟨 87'
D
3
J. Dunne
🟨 30'
D
37
R. Edwards
D
18
R. Norrington-Davies
D
20
H. Vale
↓ 79'
M
21
K. Morgan
M
40
J. Varane
M
11
P. Smyth
⚽ 63' 🎯 26' ↓ 72' 🟨 61'
M
22
R. Kone
🟨 84'
F
26
R. Kolli
⚽ 26' ↓ 46' 🟨 29'
F
Substitutes
29
B. Hamer
G
14
K. Saito
↑ 72'
F
23
D. Bennie
↑ 46'
F
2
K. Adamson
D
28
Esquerdinha
D
5
S. Cook
D
15
I. Hayden
M
6
J. Clarke-Salter
D
17
K. Poku
↑ 79' 🟨 90+1'
M
Watford 4-4-2
Starting XI
1
E. Selvik
G
4
K. Keben
D
6
M. Pollock
D
3
S. Goglichidze
↓ 85' 🟨 62'
D
29
J. Petris
D
66
N. Irankunda
↓ 57'
M
15
E. Bove
↓ 57' 🟨 23'
M
17
P. Ekwah
↓ 57' 🟨 49'
M
8
G. Chakvetadze
↓ 73'
M
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
F
10
I. Louza
⚽ 85' 🟨 90+1'
F
Substitutes
12
N. Baxter
G
23
N. Mendy
↑ 57'
M
7
T. Ince
M
27
F. Mendy
D
20
M. Doumbia
↑ 57'
F
50
J. Mullins
D
34
K. Baah
↑ 73'
F
18
V. Semedo
↑ 85'
F
53
A. Nabizada
↑ 57'
F
Last matches: QPR
01.08.26
Fri
QPR
AFC Wimbledon
3
2
W
31.07.26
Fri
QPR
Bromley
7
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
16.07.26
Fri
QPR
SC Wiener Neustadt
3
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
QPR
First Vienna
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
0
3
L
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
QPR
Millwall
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
QPR
Preston
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
QPR
Leicester
3
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
QPR
Southampton
0
5
L
21.02.26
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
3
L
Last matches: Watford
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
H2H: QPR vs Watford
03.04.26
H2H
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
16.08.25
H2H
Watford
QPR
2
1
L
01.01.25
H2H
QPR
Watford
3
1
W
30.11.24
H2H
Watford
QPR
0
0
D
14.01.24
H2H
QPR
Watford
1
2
L
05.08.23
H2H
Watford
QPR
4
0
L
11.03.23
H2H
QPR
Watford
1
0
W
27.08.22
H2H
Watford
QPR
2
3
W
01.02.21
H2H
Watford
QPR
1
2
W
21.11.20
H2H
QPR
Watford
1
1
D
15.02.19
H2H
QPR
Watford
0
1
L
21.04.14
H2H
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
29.12.13
H2H
Watford
QPR
0
0
D
Last matches: QPR
25.07.26
Fri
QPR
Fiorentina
3
2
W
21.07.26
Fri
QPR
Wycombe
1
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
QPR
Derby
2
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
QPR
Swansea
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
QPR
Bristol City
0
0
D
21.03.26
Cha
QPR
Portsmouth
6
1
W
08.03.26
Cha
QPR
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
QPR
Blackburn
1
3
L
31.01.26
Cha
QPR
Coventry
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
QPR
Wrexham
2
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
QPR
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
QPR
Norwich
1
2
L
20.12.25
Cha
QPR
Leicester
4
1
W
09.12.25
Cha
QPR
Birmingham
2
1
W
06.12.25
Cha
QPR
West Brom
3
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
QPR
Hull City
3
2
W
05.11.25
Cha
QPR
Southampton
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
QPR
Ipswich
1
4
L
18.10.25
Cha
QPR
Millwall
1
2
L
H2H at home: QPR
03.04.26
H2H
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
01.01.25
H2H
QPR
Watford
3
1
W
14.01.24
H2H
QPR
Watford
1
2
L
11.03.23
H2H
QPR
Watford
1
0
W
21.11.20
H2H
QPR
Watford
1
1
D
15.02.19
H2H
QPR
Watford
0
1
L
21.04.14
H2H
QPR
Watford
2
1
W
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
01.12.25
Cha
Watford
Birmingham
1
2
L
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Watford
Coventry
1
3
L
H2H away: Watford
03.04.26
H2H
QPR
Watford
2
1
L
01.01.25
H2H
QPR
Watford
3
1
L
14.01.24
H2H
QPR
Watford
1
2
W
11.03.23
H2H
QPR
Watford
1
0
L
21.11.20
H2H
QPR
Watford
1
1
D
15.02.19
H2H
QPR
Watford
0
1
W
21.04.14
H2H
QPR
Watford
2
1
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR Home
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford Away
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

QPR 6 missing
-
R. Burrell
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
I. Chair
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
K. Dembele
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Z. Larkeche
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
N. Madsen
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
J. Obikwu
Questionable Knock
OUT
Watford 6 missing
-
H. Kyprianou
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
O. Maamma
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
J. Ngakia
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
R. Vata
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
J. Abankwah
Questionable Injury
OUT
-
M. Bola
Questionable Inactive
OUT