Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
76.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
72.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Portsmouth
Birmingham
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Portsmouth
46 matches
Birmingham
47 matches
| Portsmouth | Statistic | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | Wins | 18 |
| 12 | Draws | 13 |
| 20 | Losses | 16 |
| 49 | Goals For | 60 |
| 67 | Goals Against | 58 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.46 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 27 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 37 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 22 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 3.72 | Shots On Goal | 4.15 |
| 12.17 | Total Shots | 13.64 |
| 5.7 | Corners | 5.72 |
| 50.2% | Ball Possession | 53.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Birmingham's more proactive style and Portsmouth's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Birmingham. Birmingham carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 63 points while Portsmouth sit 18 on 54, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Portsmouth come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
With 54 points from 45 games and a place of 18, Portsmouth still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 14 wins, 12 draws, and 19 losses, together with goals at 48:63, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their threat comes through A. Segecic (10 goals), T. Devlin (5 goals), C. Bishop (3 goals), with creative support from J. Murphy (7 assists), A. Segecic (4 assists), John Swift (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 8 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Birmingham are currently 10 in the standings with 63 points from 45 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 12 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 56:55 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Stansfield (10 goals), M. Ducksch (10 goals), D. Gray (5 goals), with creative support from J. Stansfield (6 assists), D. Gray (5 assists), P. Roberts (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Portsmouth won 2 times, Birmingham won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:7 from Portsmouth's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Portsmouth
2
5
6
5
6
3
Lineups
Portsmouth
Bristol Rovers
Portsmouth
Aldershot Town
Portsmouth
Woking
Portsmouth
Stoke City
Portsmouth
Coventry
Portsmouth
Leicester
Portsmouth
Ipswich
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Norwich
Portsmouth
QPR
Portsmouth
Derby
Portsmouth
Swansea
Portsmouth
Blackburn
Portsmouth
Hull City
Portsmouth
Wrexham
Portsmouth
Millwall
Portsmouth
Charlton
Portsmouth
Sheffield Utd
Portsmouth
Preston
Birmingham
Burton Albion
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
Birmingham
Huddersfield
Birmingham
Bristol City
Birmingham
Preston
Birmingham
Hull City
Birmingham
Wrexham
Birmingham
Ipswich
Birmingham
Blackburn
Birmingham
Derby
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
Birmingham
QPR
Birmingham
Charlton
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Millwall
Birmingham
Norwich
Birmingham
Leeds
Birmingham
West Brom
Birmingham
Leicester
Birmingham
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Leicester
Portsmouth
Ipswich
Portsmouth
Oxford United
Portsmouth
Derby
Portsmouth
Swansea
Portsmouth
Hull City
Portsmouth
Sheffield Utd
Portsmouth
West Brom
Portsmouth
Southampton
Portsmouth
Arsenal
Portsmouth
Charlton
Portsmouth
QPR
Portsmouth
Blackburn
Portsmouth
Bristol City
Portsmouth
Millwall
Portsmouth
Wrexham
Portsmouth
Stoke City
Portsmouth
Coventry
Portsmouth
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
Watford
Birmingham
Burton Albion
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
Birmingham
Hull City
Birmingham
Ipswich
Birmingham
Derby
Birmingham
Charlton
Birmingham
Millwall
Birmingham
Norwich
Birmingham
Oxford United
Birmingham
Sheffield Wednesday
Birmingham
Swansea
Birmingham
Cambridge United
Birmingham
Watford
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
Birmingham
QPR
Birmingham
Southampton
Birmingham
West Brom
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
Bristol City
Birmingham
Preston
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 97:45 | 52 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 80:47 | 33 | 84 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 64:49 | 15 | 83 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 82:56 | 26 | 80 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 72:47 | 25 | 80 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 70:66 | 4 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69:65 | 4 | 71 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 67:59 | 8 | 69 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 19 | 8 | 19 | 63:56 | 7 | 65 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 |
Birmingham
Away
|
46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 57:56 | 1 | 64 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
| 11 | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 57:59 | -2 | 64 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 59:59 | 0 | 62 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 66:66 | 0 | 60 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 55:62 | -7 | 60 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 61:73 | -12 | 58 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 53:65 | -12 | 57 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 51:56 | -5 | 55 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 |
Portsmouth
Home
|
46 | 14 | 13 | 19 | 49:64 | -15 | 55 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 19 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 44:58 | -14 | 53 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 42:56 | -14 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 48:58 | -10 | 51 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 45:59 | -14 | 47 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 58:68 | -10 | 46 |
W
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 29:89 | -60 | 0 |
W
L
L
D
D
|