Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Moreirense Win 0%
Draw 0%
Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Moreirense1.64
Nacional1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Moreirense
WWDLW
5 GF / 6 GA
Nacional
WLDWL
5 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
3
BTTS Yes
3
3
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Moreirense
3 matches
Nacional
5 matches
| Moreirense | Statistic | Nacional |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 0 |
| 2 | Draws | 3 |
| 1 | Losses | 2 |
| 5 | Goals For | 5 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.6 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Moreirense won 10 times, Nacional won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:12 from Moreirense's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Moreirense 4-2-3-1 / Nacional -
H2H summary: Moreirense wins 10, draws 3, Nacional wins 2
Last matches: Moreirense
25.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
22.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
AVS
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
AVS
0
0
D
11.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
Tondela
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
Estrela
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Benfica
1
4
L
20.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Estoril
1
0
W
10.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Famalicao
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Arouca
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
FC Porto
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Casa Pia
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
Sporting CP
0
3
L
16.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
Rio Ave
2
1
W
07.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
30.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Guimaraes
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
0
W
17.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Alverca
1
2
L
Last matches: Nacional
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leganes
0
0
D
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
18.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Leixoes
3
3
D
11.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Machico
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
02.05.26
Pri
Nacional
AVS
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
08.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
H2H: Moreirense vs Nacional
07.03.26
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
04.10.25
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
3
2
L
27.04.25
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
14.12.24
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
1
0
L
18.03.23
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
2
W
09.10.22
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
3
1
W
23.07.22
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
1
0
W
06.05.21
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
2
2
D
17.01.21
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
1
W
28.01.19
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
2
1
W
19.08.18
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
1
2
W
17.04.17
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
1
W
04.12.16
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
3
1
W
24.04.16
H2H
Nacional
Moreirense
0
1
W
20.12.15
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
2
0
W
Last matches: Moreirense
18.07.26
Fri
Moreirense
AVS
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
AVS
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Moreirense
Estrela
3
2
W
20.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
Estoril
1
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Moreirense
SC Braga
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Arouca
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
Sporting CP
0
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Moreirense
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
24.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Santa Clara
1
0
W
11.01.26
Pri
Moreirense
Tondela
1
0
W
14.12.25
Pri
Moreirense
Benfica
0
4
L
29.11.25
Pri
Moreirense
Famalicao
2
2
D
27.10.25
Pri
Moreirense
FC Porto
1
2
L
27.09.25
Pri
Moreirense
Casa Pia
2
1
W
13.09.25
Pri
Moreirense
Rio Ave
3
1
W
23.08.25
Pri
Moreirense
Guimaraes
2
0
W
10.08.25
Pri
Moreirense
Alverca
2
1
W
H2H at home: Moreirense
07.03.26
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
09.10.22
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
3
1
W
23.07.22
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
1
0
W
06.05.21
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
2
2
D
28.01.19
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
2
1
W
04.12.16
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
3
1
W
20.12.15
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
2
0
W
Last matches: Nacional
23.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Estrela
0
2
L
19.07.26
Fri
Nacional
Tondela
1
1
D
11.05.26
Pri
Nacional
Santa Clara
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Tondela
2
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Nacional
Benfica
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Famalicao
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Nacional
Moreirense
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Arouca
0
3
L
01.02.26
Pri
Nacional
Sporting CP
1
2
L
17.01.26
Pri
Nacional
GIL Vicente
1
2
L
02.01.26
Pri
Nacional
Guimaraes
1
2
L
21.12.25
Pri
Nacional
AVS
2
2
D
07.12.25
Pri
Nacional
Alverca
0
1
L
09.11.25
Pri
Nacional
Estrela
1
1
D
26.10.25
Pri
Nacional
Estoril
1
1
D
28.09.25
Pri
Nacional
SC Braga
1
0
W
13.09.25
Pri
Nacional
FC Porto
0
1
L
30.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Casa Pia
2
0
W
17.08.25
Pri
Nacional
Rio Ave
1
1
D
H2H away: Nacional
07.03.26
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
27.04.25
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
1
1
D
09.10.22
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
3
1
L
23.07.22
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
1
0
L
06.05.21
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
2
2
D
28.01.19
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
2
1
L
04.12.16
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
3
1
L
20.12.15
H2H
Moreirense
Nacional
2
0
L
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 |
Moreirense
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 |
Nacional
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2