LATVIA VIRSLIGA
27.07.2026 15:00
Referee: D. Kozlovs
Tukums
Match Timeline
Rīgas FS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
D. Lemajic · Assist: D. Zelenkovs
Rīgas FS
🔄
22'
S. Shibata ↔ D. Valmiers
Tukums
🟨
39'
D. Valmiers
Tukums
🔄
46'
R. Ndjiki ↔ M. Kigurs
Rīgas FS
🟨
69'
S. Rakic
Rīgas FS
🔄
80'
M. Sylla ↔ N. Dusalijevs
Rīgas FS
🔄
80'
R. Melkis ↔ M. Stals
Tukums
🔄
80'
J. Toba ↔ K. Shigema
Tukums
🔄
87'
K. Klavins ↔ R. Deruzinskis
Tukums

Tukums vs Rīgas FS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 64.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
64.9%
-
BTTS Yes
78.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tukums Win 29.2%
Draw 5.9%
Rīgas FS Win 64.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tukums1.33
Rīgas FS2.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tukums Tukums
WWDLW
43 GF / 53 GA
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS
WLDWL
90 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
1.65
Average Goals Scored
2.37
2.04
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
24
BTTS Yes
19
21
Over 2.5
22
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tukums Tukums 26 matches
Rīgas FS Rīgas FS 38 matches
Tukums Statistic Rīgas FS
3 Wins 30
10 Draws 5
13 Losses 3
43 Goals For 90
53 Goals Against 32
1.65 Avg Goals Scored 2.37
2.04 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
24 BTTS Yes 19
26 Over 1.5 30
21 Over 2.5 22
13 Over 3.5 16
1 Clean Sheets 17
1 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Rīgas FS's more proactive style and Tukums's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Rīgas FS. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Tukums have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Rīgas FS having the stronger overall control. Rīgas FS carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 56 points while Tukums sit 9 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.

Tukums Analysis

Tukums approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 17 points from 23 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 38:47, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Rīgas FS Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 56 points from 22 games, Rīgas FS bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 18 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with goals at 54:16, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, they have managed 10 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tukums won 0 times, Rīgas FS won 15 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:59 from Tukums's perspective. 12 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Tukums 3-5-2 / Rīgas FS 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Tukums wins 0, draws 0, Rīgas FS wins 15

Standings

Virsliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 23 4 2 70:21 49 73
W D W D W
2 29 20 7 2 84:30 54 67
D D L D W
3 29 17 6 6 47:29 18 57
D W D W W
4 30 12 6 12 41:43 -2 42
D D W L W
5 30 10 8 12 35:35 0 38
L D L D W
6 28 10 5 13 29:38 -9 35
W W D D L
7 30 8 8 14 32:48 -16 32
D L W W L
8 30 5 10 15 20:51 -31 25
D L W L L
9 30 5 8 17 43:60 -17 23
L W L L L
10 29 3 6 20 29:75 -46 15
D L L L L