LITHUANIA A LYGA
27.07.2026 15:45
Raudondvario stadionas
Referee: D. Simenas
Hegelmann Litauen
Match Timeline
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
D. Pasilys · Assist: D. Kazlauskas
Hegelmann Litauen
19'
L. Antal
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🟨
26'
G. Turda
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🟨
40'
D. Sesplaukis
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
46'
D. Kazlauskas ↔ A. Kaulinis
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
46'
P. Golubickas ↔ B. Teixeira
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
46'
G. Jarusevicius ↔ M. Vareika
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
51'
Wesley · Assist: V. Radonja
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
60'
O. Verbickas ↔ I. Lytvynenko
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
72'
D. Pasilys ↔ A. Shchedryi
Hegelmann Litauen
🔄
72'
L. Antal ↔ N. Petkovic
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
73'
N. Petkovic
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
78'
K. Upstas ↔ D. Franke
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
81'
D. Tibell ↔ C. Duke
Hegelmann Litauen
🟨
86'
D. Franke
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
🔄
90+4'
M. Remeikis ↔ R. Sadauskas
Hegelmann Litauen
90'
N. Petkovic · Assist: B. Teixeira
FK Zalgiris Vilnius

Hegelmann Litauen vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.3%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.3%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Hegelmann Litauen Win 28.2%
Draw 8.5%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Win 63.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hegelmann Litauen1.19
FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen
WWDLW
34 GF / 45 GA
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
WLDWL
48 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.6
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.27
19
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
20
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 30 matches
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 30 matches
Hegelmann Litauen Statistic FK Zalgiris Vilnius
8 Wins 15
12 Draws 5
10 Losses 10
34 Goals For 48
45 Goals Against 38
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.27
19 BTTS Yes 16
26 Over 1.5 23
14 Over 2.5 20
7 Over 3.5 9
5 Clean Sheets 10
9 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around FK Zalgiris Vilnius's more proactive style and Hegelmann Litauen's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. FK Zalgiris Vilnius carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 31 points while Hegelmann Litauen sit 7 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FK Zalgiris Vilnius. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Zalgiris Vilnius having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Hegelmann Litauen Analysis

Hegelmann Litauen sit 7 with 19 points after 19 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 10 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 20:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Analysis

FK Zalgiris Vilnius approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 31 points after 20 outings. With 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 30:22, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hegelmann Litauen won 8 times, FK Zalgiris Vilnius won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:17 from Hegelmann Litauen's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.5%)
Predicted formations: Hegelmann Litauen 4-4-2 / FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Hegelmann Litauen wins 8, draws 4, FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins 3

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 9 3 35:18 17 45
W W W W W
2 23 10 9 4 41:16 25 39
D D W W W
3 25 11 6 8 36:32 4 39
W D L W W
4 26 10 8 8 29:25 4 38
L D D W L
5 26 10 8 8 36:33 3 38
D L L W D
6 24 11 4 9 37:29 8 37
L W L W W
7 26 8 5 13 26:41 -15 29
W W L L W
8 26 4 12 10 29:44 -15 24
D D L L L
9 26 3 7 16 24:55 -31 16
L L W L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L