Modena vs Juve Stabia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
77.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
25.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
30.8%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
67.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Modena
Juve Stabia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Modena
39 matches
Juve Stabia
39 matches
| Modena | Statistic | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 11 |
| 10 | Draws | 18 |
| 14 | Losses | 10 |
| 49 | Goals For | 44 |
| 37 | Goals Against | 47 |
| 1.26 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.21 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 14 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 11 |
| 4.67 | Shots On Goal | 3.95 |
| 15.08 | Total Shots | 12.05 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 4.87 |
| 50.5% | Ball Possession | 53% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between Modena's more proactive style and Juve Stabia's more cautious structure, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Modena hold an advantage after winning the first leg 2-1, so Juve Stabia now have a 1-goal deficit to overturn. In the previous meeting, Juve Stabia controlled more possession in the first leg (65% against 35%). both sides produced the same number of shots on target. Juve Stabia circulated the ball more often, making 459 passes to 257 and completing 384. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Juve Stabia. Modena have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Modena expected to line up in 3-5-2 and Juve Stabia in 3-5-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Juve Stabia having the stronger overall control.
Modena enter this tie with a season profile built on 55 points from 38 matches, placing them 6 in their league. The return of 15 wins, 10 draws, and 13 defeats, together with a 49:36 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by E. Gliozzi (11 goals), D. Tonoli (5 goals), Francesco Zampano (4 goals), with creative support from S. Santoro (4 assists), L. Magnino (4 assists), M. De Luca (3 assists), and at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 9 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Ahead of this knockout test, Juve Stabia arrive from a league campaign that has them 7 with 51 points after 38 matches. The return of 11 wins, 18 draws, and 9 defeats, together with a 44:45 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by L. Candellone (7 goals), N. Mosti (7 goals), L. Carissoni (6 goals), with creative support from F. Maistro (7 assists), A. Gabrielloni (3 assists), N. Mosti (2 assists), and at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 9 draws, and 7 losses, which supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Modena won 3 times, Juve Stabia won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:4 from Modena's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Modena
Home
|
38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 7 |
Juve Stabia
Away
|
38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|