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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
01.09.2026 18:45
The Crown Ground
Referee: M. Barlow
Accrington ST
Match Timeline
Grimsby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
6'
J. Anderson
Grimsby
⚽
38'
A. Cook · Assist: K. Green
Grimsby
⚽
45'
J. Woods
Accrington ST
🔄
46'
S. Mols ↔ A. Henderson
Accrington ST
🔄
46'
C. Pym ↔ S. Auton
Grimsby
🔄
57'
D. Tutonda ↔ S. Whalley
Accrington ST
🔄
58'
C. Caton ↔ C. Warren
Accrington ST
⚽
60'
T. Walton · Assist: D. Love
Accrington ST
🔄
65'
R. Reynolds ↔ C. Doyle
Grimsby
🔄
65'
I. Morgan ↔ C. Vernam
Grimsby
🟨
70'
Shaun Whalley
Accrington ST
🟨
76'
Cameron McJannett
Grimsby
🔄
77'
T. Walton ↔ C. Stockton
Accrington ST
🔄
77'
K. Green ↔ J. Walker
Grimsby
🔄
86'
↔ C. Grant
Accrington ST
🟨
89'
Josh Woods
Accrington ST
🟨
90+8'
Joseph Anderson
Accrington ST
🟨
90+1'
Devon Matthews
Accrington ST

Accrington ST vs Grimsby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 45.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
45.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Accrington ST Win 37.4%
Draw 17.1%
Grimsby Win 45.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Accrington ST0.92
Grimsby1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Accrington ST Accrington ST
WWDLW
9 GF / 7 GA
Grimsby Grimsby
WLDWL
17 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.7
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
4
6.33
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Accrington ST Accrington ST 8 matches
Grimsby Grimsby 10 matches
Accrington ST Statistic Grimsby
3 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
2 Losses 0
9 Goals For 17
7 Goals Against 6
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
2 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 3
6.33 Shots On Goal 3.33
18.67 Total Shots 16.33
4.67 Corners 6.67
50.7% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Accrington ST won 4 times, Grimsby won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:14 from Accrington ST's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
Predicted formations: Accrington ST 3-4-1-2 / Grimsby 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Accrington ST wins 4, draws 3, Grimsby wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 1 3 15:10 5 19
W W W W D
2 8 5 3 0 20:11 9 18
W W W D D
3 10 4 6 0 12:7 5 18
W W D D D
4 10 4 4 2 15:10 5 16
W D L W W
5 9 4 3 2 17:11 6 15
D W L W D
6 9 3 6 0 12:6 6 15
D D W D D
7 10 4 3 3 17:14 3 15
D W L W W
8 10 4 3 3 16:16 0 15
L L W D W
9 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L L W L L
10 10 4 2 4 11:12 -1 14
D W W W D
11 10 3 4 3 13:11 2 13
L L L W W
12 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
W D W D D
13 10 2 6 2 13:13 0 12
D L D D L
14 10 3 3 4 6:6 0 12
W W L D L
15 10 2 5 3 13:14 -1 11
D W D D L
16 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
D L L L D
17 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L L D L L
18 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
L W D D W
19 9 2 4 3 10:13 -3 10
L D D D L
20 10 2 4 4 12:16 -4 10
L L D W D
21 9 2 2 5 9:13 -4 8
D L L L L
22 8 2 2 4 4:9 -5 8
W L W L L
23 8 1 4 3 4:7 -3 7
D L L W D
24 8 1 2 5 8:15 -7 5
D L L L D
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League