ENGLAND LEAGUE TWO
01.09.2026 18:45
The Crown Ground
Referee: M. Barlow
Accrington ST
Match Timeline
Grimsby
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
6'
J. Anderson
Grimsby
38'
A. Cook · Assist: K. Green
Grimsby
45'
J. Woods
Accrington ST
🔄
46'
S. Mols ↔ A. Henderson
Accrington ST
🔄
46'
C. Pym ↔ S. Auton
Grimsby
🔄
57'
D. Tutonda ↔ S. Whalley
Accrington ST
🔄
58'
C. Caton ↔ C. Warren
Accrington ST
60'
T. Walton · Assist: D. Love
Accrington ST
🔄
65'
R. Reynolds ↔ C. Doyle
Grimsby
🔄
65'
I. Morgan ↔ C. Vernam
Grimsby
🟨
70'
Shaun Whalley
Accrington ST
🟨
76'
Cameron McJannett
Grimsby
🔄
77'
T. Walton ↔ C. Stockton
Accrington ST
🔄
77'
K. Green ↔ J. Walker
Grimsby
🔄
86'
↔ C. Grant
Accrington ST
🟨
89'
Josh Woods
Accrington ST
🟨
90+8'
Joseph Anderson
Accrington ST
🟨
90+1'
Devon Matthews
Accrington ST

Accrington ST vs Grimsby Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 45.5%
Odds 2.00
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.83
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
45.5%
2.00
BTTS No
56%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
1.83
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.21
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 0-1
-
7.50
Probability Distribution
Accrington ST Win 37.4%
Draw 17.1%
Grimsby Win 45.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Accrington ST0.92
Grimsby1.37
Recent Form (Last 5)
Accrington ST Accrington ST
WWDLW
9 GF / 7 GA
Grimsby Grimsby
WLDWL
17 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.7
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
2
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
4
6.33
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Accrington ST Accrington ST 8 matches
Grimsby Grimsby 10 matches
Accrington ST Statistic Grimsby
3 Wins 5
3 Draws 5
2 Losses 0
9 Goals For 17
7 Goals Against 6
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.7
0.88 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
2 BTTS Yes 4
4 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 6
3 Failed To Score 3
6.33 Shots On Goal 3.33
18.67 Total Shots 16.33
4.67 Corners 6.67
50.7% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Accrington ST won 4 times, Grimsby won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:14 from Accrington ST's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.55 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
Predicted formations: Accrington ST 3-4-1-2 / Grimsby 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Accrington ST wins 4, draws 3, Grimsby wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 4 3 0 17:10 7 15
W W D D D
2 7 3 4 0 10:4 6 13
W D D D W
3 7 3 4 0 11:6 5 13
W W D D D
4 7 3 3 1 11:6 5 12
W W W D D
5 7 3 3 1 14:11 3 12
D W D W D
6 7 4 0 3 12:11 1 12
L L W W W
7 7 3 2 2 13:10 3 11
L W D L W
8 7 3 2 2 10:8 2 11
W W D D L
9 7 2 5 0 7:5 2 11
D D D D D
10 7 2 4 1 9:7 2 10
D L W D D
11 7 2 4 1 8:7 1 10
L D W D D
12 7 3 1 3 8:9 -1 10
W D W W L
13 7 3 1 3 8:11 -3 10
L L W W L
14 7 2 3 2 10:10 0 9
W D L D W
15 7 2 3 2 8:10 -2 9
D D L L W
16 7 2 1 4 8:9 -1 7
L L L D W
17 7 2 1 4 7:10 -3 7
W D L W L
18 7 2 1 4 5:11 -6 7
D W L L W
19 7 1 3 3 10:11 -1 6
D D L L D
20 7 1 3 3 4:5 -1 6
D L D D L
21 7 1 3 3 10:13 -3 6
D L W D L
22 7 1 3 3 3:6 -3 6
L L W D D
23 7 1 2 4 3:9 -6 5
L W L L D
24 7 1 1 5 6:13 -7 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League