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18.10.2026 02:00
Hnry Stadium
Referee: Lachlan Keevers, Australia
Wellington Phoenix
Match Timeline
Melbourne Victory
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
14'
C. Piper · Assist: M. Sheridan
Wellington Phoenix
⚽
24'
C. Nduka
Melbourne Victory
🔄
28'
R. Duran ↔ N. Walker
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
45'
Philipp Ziereis
Melbourne Victory
🔄
62'
J. McGarry ↔ W. Scott
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
62'
P. Ziereis ↔ T. Lockyer
Melbourne Victory
🔄
62'
Clarismario ↔ K. Jelacic
Melbourne Victory
🟨
71'
Denis Genreau
Melbourne Victory
🔄
74'
G. May ↔ X. Stella
Melbourne Victory
🔄
74'
M. Grimaldi ↔ M. Ghossaini
Melbourne Victory
🔄
77'
L. Mitchell ↔ R. Bidois
Wellington Phoenix
⚽
77'
R. Bidois · Assist: N. Walker
Wellington Phoenix
🟨
82'
Bryce Duke
Wellington Phoenix
🔄
87'
C. Nduka ↔ B. Hamill
Melbourne Victory

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Wellington Phoenix Win 30.3%
Draw 10.4%
Melbourne Victory Win 59.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Wellington Phoenix0
Melbourne Victory0
Recent Form (Last 5)
Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix
-
0 GF / 0 GA
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory
-
0 GF / 0 GA
Key Stats
0
Average Goals Scored
0
0
Average Goals Conceded
0
0
BTTS Yes
0
0
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Wellington Phoenix Wellington Phoenix 0 matches
Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 0 matches
Wellington Phoenix Statistic Melbourne Victory
0 Wins 0
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
0 Goals For 0
0 Goals Against 0
0 Avg Goals Scored 0
0 Avg Goals Conceded 0
0 BTTS Yes 0
0 Over 1.5 0
0 Over 2.5 0
0 Over 3.5 0
0 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Wellington Phoenix won 4 times, Melbourne Victory won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:24 from Wellington Phoenix's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.6%)
Predicted formations: Wellington Phoenix 4-3-3 / Melbourne Victory 4-4-1-1
Missing players: Wellington Phoenix 1, Melbourne Victory 1
H2H summary: Wellington Phoenix wins 4, draws 3, Melbourne Victory wins 8

Standings

A-League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 4 3 1 0 7:1 6 10
D W W W
2 4 2 1 1 7:4 3 7
W L W D
3 3 2 1 0 5:3 2 7
W D W
4 4 2 1 1 6:6 0 7
W W D L
5 4 2 0 2 8:5 3 6
W W L L
6 4 1 2 1 6:4 2 5
L D W D
7 4 1 2 1 4:4 0 5
L D D W
8 4 1 2 1 6:7 -1 5
D D L W
9 4 0 3 1 5:6 -1 3
D D D L
10 4 0 2 2 4:8 -4 2
L L D D
11 4 0 2 2 4:9 -5 2
L D L D
12 3 0 1 2 3:8 -5 1
D L L
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - A-League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)