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MEXICO › LIGA MX
18.10.2026 01:00
Estadio León
Referee: Ismael Rosario Lopez Penuelas
Leon
Match Timeline
Club America
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
21'
Franco Rossano
Club America
⚽
24'
Henry Martin
Club America
🟨
28'
Jhohan Romana
Leon
⚽
34'
Carlos Álvarez · Assist: Henry Martin
Club America
🟨
45+3'
Daniel Arcila
Leon
🟨
45+6'
Franco Rossano
Club America
🟨
45+7'
Israel Reyes
Club America
🔄
45'
Jesús Lara ↔ Jose Alvarado
Leon
⚽
53'
Jose Alvarado · Assist: Daniel Arcila
Leon
⚽
58'
Erick Sánchez · Assist: Carlos Álvarez
Club America
🟨
61'
Juan Guevara
Leon
🔄
63'
Edgar Guerra ↔ Ismael Díaz
Leon
🔄
63'
Jose Rodriguez ↔ Juan Dominguez
Leon
🔄
74'
Erick Sánchez ↔ Edwin Cerrillo
Club America
🔄
75'
Daniel Arcila ↔ Fernando Beltran
Leon
🔄
75'
Franco Rossano ↔ Cristian Borja
Club America
🟨
75'
Álex Zendejas
Club America
🔄
80'
Álex Zendejas ↔ Isaias Violante
Club America
⚽
82'
Ivan Moreno
Leon
🔄
83'
Israel Reyes ↔ Alan Cervantes
Club America
🔄
83'
Carlos Álvarez ↔ Oscar Andres Perea Abonce
Club America
⚽
84'
Oscar Andres Perea Abonce · Assist: Brian Rodríguez
Club America
⚽
90'
Brian Rodríguez · Assist: Oscar Andres Perea Abonce
Club America
🟨
90+1'
Edwin Cerrillo
Club America
🟨
90+1'
Juan Dominguez
Leon
⚽
90+6'
Ismael Díaz · Assist: Fernando Beltran
Leon

Leon vs Club America Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.2%
Odds 3.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.75
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.2%
3.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.75 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.15 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Leon Win 53.2%
Draw 7.5%
Club America Win 39.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Leon1.42
Club America1.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Leon Leon
WWDLW
27 GF / 20 GA
Club America Club America
WLDWL
29 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
1.8
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
0.86
10
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
7
5.27
Shots on Goal
6.31

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Leon Leon 15 matches
Club America Club America 21 matches
Leon Statistic Club America
7 Wins 9
4 Draws 8
4 Losses 4
27 Goals For 29
20 Goals Against 18
1.8 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 0.86
10 BTTS Yes 9
12 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 7
4 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 9
2 Failed To Score 6
5.27 Shots On Goal 6.31
13.55 Total Shots 17.06
4 Corners 6.31
49.8% Ball Possession 56.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Club America. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Leon expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Club America in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club America having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Club America carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 20 points while Leon sit 4 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Leon Analysis

Leon come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 18 points from 11 matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 15:12 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Cambindo (3 goals), D. Arcila (3 goals), J. Alvarado (2 goals), with creative support from D. Cambindo (1 assists), J. Alvarado (1 assists), J. Romaña (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Club America Analysis

Club America come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 20 points after 9 matches. They have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, with a 21:10 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on H. Martín (4 goals), M. Borja (4 goals), B. Rodríguez (3 goals), with creative support from H. Martín (2 assists), Raphael Veiga (2 assists), D. Espinoza (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Leon won 2 times, Club America won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:29 from Leon's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.6%)
Predicted formations: Leon 4-1-4-1 / Club America 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Leon wins 2, draws 6, Club America wins 7

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:11 11 21
D W D L W
2 12 6 3 3 19:18 1 21
W D W D L
3 11 6 2 3 25:15 10 20
L D L W W
4 10 6 2 2 15:8 7 20
W W D W W
5 11 5 4 2 18:11 7 19
D L D W W
7 11 5 2 4 22:21 1 17
D D L W W
8 11 4 4 3 15:14 1 16
D D L D L
9 12 4 4 4 19:20 -1 16
W D L D L
10 12 4 4 4 12:13 -1 16
D D L D L
11 10 4 2 4 17:15 2 14
D L W D L
12 11 3 4 4 18:14 4 13
D L D W W
13 11 3 4 4 13:15 -2 13
W W L D D
14 11 4 1 6 12:16 -4 13
W W W W L
15 11 3 3 5 15:20 -5 12
L W W L L
16 12 2 5 5 13:19 -6 11
L L W D L
17 12 2 3 7 15:25 -10 9
L D L L L
18 11 1 1 9 8:26 -18 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)