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🇺🇸 USA › MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
18.10.2026 02:30
Lumen Field
Referee: Fotis Bazakos
Seattle Sounders
Match Timeline
CF Montreal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
13'
Gennadiy Synchuk · Assist: Noah Streit
CF Montreal
🟨
14'
Hassani Dotson
Seattle Sounders
🟨
33'
Alexis Sanchez
CF Montreal
🔄
45'
Alexander Roldan ↔ Sebastian Gomez
Seattle Sounders
🔄
45'
Caden Clark ↔ Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
Seattle Sounders
🟨
52'
Victor Loturi
CF Montreal
🔄
64'
Jalen Neal ↔ Dawid Bugaj
CF Montreal
🔄
64'
Ryan Sailor ↔ Snyder Brunell
Seattle Sounders
🔄
64'
Albert Rusnák ↔ Jesús Ferreira
Seattle Sounders
⚽
66'
Sebastian Gomez
Seattle Sounders
🔄
79'
Victor Loturi ↔ Daniel Pereira
CF Montreal
🔄
79'
Noah Streit ↔ Wikelman·Carmona
CF Montreal
🔄
87'
Fabian Herbers ↔ Olger Escobar
CF Montreal
🔄
87'
Hassani Dotson ↔ Paul Arriola
Seattle Sounders
🔄
87'
Samuel Piette ↔ Matthew Longstaff
CF Montreal

Seattle Sounders vs CF Montreal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.38
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.45
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.9%
1.38 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.45 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.91 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.75 ▥
Probability Distribution
Seattle Sounders Win 81.9%
Draw 5%
CF Montreal Win 13.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Seattle Sounders1.72
CF Montreal1.28
Recent Form (Last 5)
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
WWDLW
55 GF / 45 GA
CF Montreal CF Montreal
WLDWL
45 GF / 70 GA
Key Stats
1.49
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
2.06
20
BTTS Yes
19
20
Over 2.5
23
4.94
Shots on Goal
4.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders 37 matches
CF Montreal CF Montreal 34 matches
Seattle Sounders Statistic CF Montreal
17 Wins 8
8 Draws 6
12 Losses 20
55 Goals For 45
45 Goals Against 70
1.49 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.22 Avg Goals Conceded 2.06
20 BTTS Yes 19
29 Over 1.5 29
20 Over 2.5 23
10 Over 3.5 13
10 Clean Sheets 4
9 Failed To Score 12
4.94 Shots On Goal 4.76
13.33 Total Shots 12.97
5.09 Corners 5.17
50.5% Ball Possession 48.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring CF Montreal. CF Montreal arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Seattle Sounders arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 38 points compared to CF Montreal in 15 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Seattle Sounders expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and CF Montreal in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CF Montreal having the stronger overall control.

Seattle Sounders Analysis

Seattle Sounders are currently 7 in the standings with 38 points from 27 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, while the 35:35 goal ratio supports the view of good form and are on a winning streak. Going forward they rely heavily on C. Roldan (4 goals), A. Rusnák (3 goals), P. Arriola (3 goals), with creative support from A. Rusnák (9 assists), J. Morris (4 assists), P. Arriola (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

CF Montreal Analysis

CF Montreal sit 15 with 24 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 35:56 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on P. Owusu (7 goals), D. Ríos (5 goals), M. Longstaff (2 goals), with creative support from P. Owusu (5 assists), M. Longstaff (3 assists), D. Ríos (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 11 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Seattle Sounders won 3 times, CF Montreal won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:13 from Seattle Sounders's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
Predicted formations: Seattle Sounders 4-2-3-1 / CF Montreal 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Seattle Sounders 3, CF Montreal 3
H2H summary: Seattle Sounders wins 3, draws 1, CF Montreal wins 6

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 7 7 61:30 31 52
D D L D W
2 30 14 9 7 56:41 15 51
L D W W W
3 29 14 8 7 53:45 8 50
W L W D W
4 29 13 8 8 51:41 10 47
D D W D W
5 29 13 7 9 39:37 2 46
D D L D L
6 30 12 9 9 47:32 15 45
W D L D L
7 29 11 8 10 38:36 2 41
L W W W W
8 30 10 9 11 41:50 -9 39
W L W W D
9 29 11 5 13 41:41 0 38
D D L D W
10 30 8 10 12 47:55 -8 34
W D D L L
11 29 9 6 14 51:56 -5 33
L D L L L
12 29 9 6 14 42:47 -5 33
D L W L L
13 29 8 9 12 51:54 -3 33
D L D D L
14 29 7 10 12 37:54 -17 31
L L D D W
15 29 6 4 19 35:72 -37 22
L D L W L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)