Birmingham
Match Timeline
Southampton
Birmingham vs Southampton Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
52.5%
|
2.53 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
1.87 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.18 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 52.5%
Draw 11.5%
Southampton Win 36%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham1.53
Southampton1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham
WWDLW
15 GF / 7 GA
Southampton
WLDWL
15 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
2.5
0.88
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
2.67
Shots on Goal
5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Birmingham
8 matches
Southampton
6 matches
| Birmingham | Statistic | Southampton |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 5 |
| 3 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 15 | Goals For | 15 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.5 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 2.67 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 9 | Total Shots | 18.67 |
| 7 | Corners | 6.67 |
| 52.7% | Ball Possession | 59% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 0 times, Southampton won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:15 from Birmingham's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.67 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.5%)
Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Southampton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Birmingham 5, Southampton 2
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 0, draws 2, Southampton wins 4
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 11 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 10 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:8 | 2 | 9 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 8 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13:10 | 3 | 8 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 |
Birmingham
Home
|
5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
D
W
D
D
|
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 6 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 5 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 19 |
Southampton
Away
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 4 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
| 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:9 | -5 | 4 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 24 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One