Mirassol vs Vitoria Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.3%
|
1.73 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
52.4%
|
1.93 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.18 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Mirassol
Vitoria
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Mirassol
34 matches
Vitoria
26 matches
| Mirassol | Statistic | Vitoria |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 5 |
| 14 | Losses | 12 |
| 37 | Goals For | 25 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 37 |
| 1.09 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.96 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.42 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 24 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.18 | Shots On Goal | 3.96 |
| 12.71 | Total Shots | 11.88 |
| 5.12 | Corners | 4.42 |
| 49.4% | Ball Possession | 44.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Vitoria. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Mirassol expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Vitoria in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Vitoria having the stronger overall control.
Mirassol sit 16 with 25 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 27:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Igor Formiga (4 goals), Eduardo (3 goals), João Victor (2 goals), with creative support from Reinaldo (4 assists), Alesson (4 assists), Igor Formiga (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Vitoria approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 29 points from 25 matches. Their record of 8 wins, 5 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 24:37, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Renê Sousa (5 goals), Renato Kayzer (4 goals), Erick (3 goals), with creative support from Erick (4 assists), Gabriel Baralhas (3 assists), Diego Tarzia (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Mirassol won 1 times, Vitoria won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Mirassol's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51:21 | 30 | 54 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 45 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 34:35 | -1 | 37 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 31:28 | 3 | 33 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 |
Vitoria
Away
|
26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:37 | -12 | 32 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 37:40 | -3 | 31 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 27:33 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 |
Mirassol
Home
|
26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:40 | -11 | 28 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
| 17 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 27:40 | -13 | 25 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 28:34 | -6 | 25 |
L
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 27:50 | -23 | 17 |
W
L
W
D
L
|