Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Middlesbrough Win 0%
Draw 0%
Stoke City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Middlesbrough1
Stoke City0.7
Recent Form (Last 5)
Middlesbrough
WWDLW
1 GF / 1 GA
Stoke City
WLDWL
1 GF / 2 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
0.5
1
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
0
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Middlesbrough
1 matches
Stoke City
2 matches
| Middlesbrough | Statistic | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Wins | 0 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 1 | Goals For | 1 |
| 1 | Goals Against | 2 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.5 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 1 | Over 1.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Over 2.5 | 0 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 0 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 0 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Middlesbrough won 7 times, Stoke City won 4 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Middlesbrough's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Middlesbrough 3-4-2-1 / Stoke City 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Middlesbrough wins 7, draws 4, Stoke City wins 4
Last matches: Middlesbrough
18.07.26
Fri
Middlesbrough
Celtic
1
1
D
23.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
12.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
1
2
L
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2
2
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
19.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
06.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Swansea
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
08.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
4
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
16.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
1
3
L
09.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
Last matches: Stoke City
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
L
H2H: Middlesbrough vs Stoke City
21.01.26
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
2
W
30.09.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0
0
D
25.02.25
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
3
W
28.09.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
0
W
27.08.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0
5
L
02.03.24
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
2
0
L
28.10.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0
2
L
14.03.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
1
1
D
17.08.22
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
30.04.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
3
1
W
11.12.21
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
13.03.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
3
0
W
05.12.20
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
1
0
L
27.06.20
H2H
Stoke City
Middlesbrough
0
2
W
20.12.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
1
W
Last matches: Middlesbrough
09.05.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
0
0
D
25.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Watford
5
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Portsmouth
0
1
L
03.04.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Millwall
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Bristol City
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Charlton
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Leicester
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Oxford United
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Norwich
1
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Preston
4
0
W
04.01.26
Cha
Middlesbrough
Southampton
4
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Hull City
0
1
L
26.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Blackburn
0
0
D
13.12.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
QPR
3
1
W
29.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Derby
2
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Coventry
2
4
L
08.11.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Birmingham
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Wrexham
1
1
D
17.10.25
Cha
Middlesbrough
Ipswich
2
1
W
H2H at home: Middlesbrough
30.09.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0
0
D
28.09.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
0
W
27.08.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0
5
L
28.10.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0
2
L
14.03.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
1
1
D
30.04.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
3
1
W
13.03.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
3
0
W
20.12.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
1
W
Last matches: Stoke City
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Norwich
2
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Hull City
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
0
1
L
10.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
0
1
L
06.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
0
4
L
22.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
1
2
L
04.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
3
0
W
25.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
0
2
L
04.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
H2H away: Stoke City
30.09.25
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0
0
D
28.09.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
0
L
27.08.24
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0
5
W
28.10.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
0
2
W
14.03.23
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
1
1
D
30.04.22
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
3
1
L
13.03.21
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
3
0
L
20.12.19
H2H
Middlesbrough
Stoke City
2
1
L
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 |
Middlesbrough
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 |
Stoke City
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One