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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Derby
NS
Southampton
Pride Park

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Derby Win 0%
Draw 0%
Southampton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derby1.6
Southampton1.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derby Derby
WWDLW
2 GF / 0 GA
Southampton Southampton
WLDWL
3 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
3
0
Average Goals Conceded
1
0
BTTS Yes
1
0
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Derby Derby 1 matches
Southampton Southampton 1 matches
Derby Statistic Southampton
1 Wins 1
0 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
2 Goals For 3
0 Goals Against 1
2 Avg Goals Scored 3
0 Avg Goals Conceded 1
0 BTTS Yes 1
1 Over 1.5 1
0 Over 2.5 1
0 Over 3.5 1
1 Clean Sheets 0
0 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Derby won 0 times, Southampton won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:14 from Derby's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.83 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Derby 4-2-3-1 / Southampton 4-2-2-2
H2H summary: Derby wins 0, draws 4, Southampton wins 2
Last matches: Derby
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
Last matches: Southampton
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
H2H: Derby vs Southampton
11.04.26
H2H
Southampton
Derby
2
1
L
04.10.25
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
16.01.19
H2H
Southampton
Derby
4
4
D
05.01.19
H2H
Derby
Southampton
2
2
D
18.02.12
H2H
Southampton
Derby
4
0
L
15.10.11
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
Last matches: Derby
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
11.01.26
FA
Derby
Leeds
1
3
L
04.01.26
Cha
Derby
Wrexham
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.12.25
Cha
Derby
Millwall
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Derby
Watford
2
3
L
04.11.25
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Derby
QPR
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
0
W
04.10.25
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
H2H at home: Derby
04.10.25
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
05.01.19
H2H
Derby
Southampton
2
2
D
15.10.11
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
Last matches: Southampton
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
10.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
4
3
W
31.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Stoke City
2
0
W
25.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Portsmouth
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Southampton
Doncaster
3
2
W
04.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
4
L
29.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
1
1
D
26.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
1
2
L
13.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
2
L
29.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Millwall
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
5
1
W
H2H away: Southampton
04.10.25
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D
05.01.19
H2H
Derby
Southampton
2
2
D
15.10.11
H2H
Derby
Southampton
1
1
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Birmingham
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2
Blackburn
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3
Bolton
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4
Derby Home
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5
Middlesbrough
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6
Portsmouth
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7
West Ham
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8
Bristol City
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9
Burnley
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10
Cardiff
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11
Charlton
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12
Norwich
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13
Preston
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14
QPR
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15
Sheffield Utd
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16
Stoke City
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17
Watford
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18
West Brom
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19
Wolves
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20
Millwall
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
21
Swansea
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
22
Lincoln
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
23
Wrexham
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
24
Southampton Away
0 0 0 0 0:0 0
?
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Relegation - League One