ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Coventry Building Society Arena
Referee: S. Allison
Coventry
Match Timeline
Wrexham
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
B. Thomas-Asante · Assist: E. Mason-Clark
Coventry
25'
O. Rathbone · Assist: I. Kabore
Wrexham
🟨
29'
Frank Onyeka
Coventry
🟨
40'
Matty James
Wrexham
🟨
50'
Josh Eccles
Coventry
🟨
53'
Oliver Rathbone
Wrexham
🔄
60'
O. Rathbone ↔ L. O'Brien
Wrexham
🔄
71'
J. Eccles ↔ V. Torp
Coventry
🔄
71'
H. Wright ↔ E. Simms
Coventry
🔄
71'
J. Windass ↔ N. Broadhead
Wrexham
🔄
72'
S. Smith ↔ K. Moore
Wrexham
80'
V. Torp
Coventry
🔄
82'
B. Thomas-Asante ↔ R. Esse
Coventry
🔄
87'
M. Grimes ↔ J. Allen
Coventry
90'
E. Mason-Clark · Assist: F. Onyeka
Coventry

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 72.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 71.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.3%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
72.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
71.6%
-
Probability Distribution
Coventry Win 62.3%
Draw 0%
Wrexham Win 37.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Coventry1.77
Wrexham1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Coventry Coventry
WWDLW
90 GF / 45 GA
Wrexham Wrexham
WLDWL
72 GF / 67 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.53
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.43
26
BTTS Yes
30
27
Over 2.5
23
5.42
Shots on Goal
3.83

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Coventry Coventry 45 matches
Wrexham Wrexham 47 matches
Coventry Statistic Wrexham
26 Wins 20
11 Draws 14
8 Losses 13
90 Goals For 72
45 Goals Against 67
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.43
26 BTTS Yes 30
36 Over 1.5 38
27 Over 2.5 23
15 Over 3.5 15
16 Clean Sheets 13
8 Failed To Score 6
5.42 Shots On Goal 3.83
16.09 Total Shots 11.4
5.24 Corners 4.68
55.2% Ball Possession 47.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Wrexham seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Coventry expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Wrexham in 3-5-1-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Wrexham having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Wrexham. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Coventry Analysis

Coventry come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 89 points from 44 matches. Their overall return of 26 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 84:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by H. Wright (17 goals), B. Thomas-Asante (12 goals), E. Simms (10 goals), with creative support from Milan van Ewijk (8 assists), V. Torp (6 assists), J. Rudoni (6 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 15 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with M. Brau, O. Dovin, T. Sakamoto unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Wrexham Analysis

Wrexham sit 6 with 70 points after 44 league matches. The record of 19 wins, 13 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 63:60 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through J. Windass (15 goals), K. Moore (11 goals), N. Broadhead (7 goals), with creative support from L. O'Brien (6 assists), J. Windass (5 assists), G. Thomason (5 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with L. Cacace, A. James, T. O'Connor unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Coventry won 1 times, Wrexham won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:8 from Coventry's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Coventry 4-2-3-1 / Wrexham 3-5-1-1
Missing players: Coventry 3, Wrexham 6
H2H summary: Coventry wins 1, draws 0, Wrexham wins 2
Stats
Coventry Coventry
Wrexham Wrexham
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
6
5 Corner Kicks 4
6 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 1
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Goal 2
4 Shots off Goal 5
5 Blocked Shots 6
7 Shots insidebox 9
8 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
466 Total passes 298
388 Passes accurate 227
1.58 expected_goals 1.25
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Coventry
Formation
Wrexham
C. Rushworth
C. Rushworth
M. van Ewijk
M. van Ewijk
B. Thomas
B. Thomas
L. Kitching
L. Kitching
J. Dasilva
J. Dasilva
F. Onyeka
🎯
F. Onyeka
M. Grimes
M. Grimes
B. Thomas-Asante
B. Thomas-Asante
J. Eccles
J. Eccles
E. Mason-Clark
🎯
E. Mason-Clark
H. Wright
H. Wright
D. Ward
D. Ward
D. Hyam
D. Hyam
D. Scarr
D. Scarr
C. Doyle
C. Doyle
I. Kabore
🎯
I. Kabore
G. Dobson
G. Dobson
M. James
M. James
O. Rathbone
O. Rathbone
G. Thomason
G. Thomason
J. Windass
J. Windass
S. Smith
S. Smith
Coventry 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
19
C. Rushworth
G
27
M. van Ewijk
D
4
B. Thomas
D
15
L. Kitching
D
3
J. Dasilva
D
16
F. Onyeka
🎯 90' 🟨 29'
M
6
M. Grimes
↓ 87'
M
23
B. Thomas-Asante
⚽ 19' ↓ 82'
M
28
J. Eccles
↓ 71' 🟨 50'
M
10
E. Mason-Clark
⚽ 90' 🎯 19'
M
11
H. Wright
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
13
B. Wilson
G
21
J. Bidwell
D
8
J. Allen
↑ 87'
M
29
V. Torp
⚽ 80' ↑ 71'
M
22
J. Latibeaudiere
D
9
E. Simms
↑ 71'
F
20
K. Kesler-Hayden
D
14
R. Esse
↑ 82'
M
26
L. Woolfenden
D
Wrexham 3-5-1-1
Starting XI
21
D. Ward
G
5
D. Hyam
D
24
D. Scarr
D
2
C. Doyle
D
12
I. Kabore
🎯 25'
M
15
G. Dobson
M
37
M. James
🟨 40'
M
20
O. Rathbone
⚽ 25' ↓ 60' 🟨 53'
M
14
G. Thomason
M
10
J. Windass
↓ 71'
F
28
S. Smith
↓ 72'
F
Substitutes
1
A. Okonkwo
G
33
N. Broadhead
↑ 71'
F
27
L. O'Brien
↑ 60'
M
13
L. Cacace
D
47
R. Longman
M
3
L. Brunt
D
19
K. Moore
↑ 72'
F
7
D. Keillor-Dunn
M
4
M. Cleworth
D
Last matches: Coventry
18.07.26
Fri
Coventry
Northampton
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Coventry
Watford
4
0
W
21.04.26
Cha
Coventry
Portsmouth
5
1
W
17.04.26
Cha
Coventry
Blackburn
1
1
D
11.04.26
Cha
Coventry
Sheffield Wednesday
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Coventry
Hull City
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Coventry
Derby
3
2
W
21.03.26
Cha
Coventry
Swansea
3
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Coventry
Southampton
1
2
L
11.03.26
Cha
Coventry
Preston
3
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Coventry
Bristol City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Coventry
Stoke City
2
1
W
25.02.26
Cha
Coventry
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Coventry
West Brom
2
0
W
16.02.26
Cha
Coventry
Middlesbrough
3
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Coventry
Oxford United
0
0
D
31.01.26
Cha
Coventry
QPR
1
2
L
26.01.26
Cha
Coventry
Norwich
1
2
L
20.01.26
Cha
Coventry
Millwall
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Coventry
Leicester
2
1
W
Last matches: Wrexham
18.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Manchester United
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Wisla Krakow
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Oxford United
1
0
W
18.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Stoke City
2
0
W
12.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Birmingham
0
2
L
07.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Southampton
1
5
L
03.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
West Brom
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
17.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Watford
1
3
L
13.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Swansea
2
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Hull City
1
2
L
07.03.26
FA
Wrexham
Chelsea
2
4
L
28.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Charlton
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Portsmouth
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Ipswich
5
3
W
17.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Bristol City
2
2
D
13.02.26
FA
Wrexham
Ipswich
1
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Millwall
0
2
L
31.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
H2H: Coventry vs Wrexham
26.04.26
H2H
Coventry
Wrexham
3
1
W
31.10.25
H2H
Wrexham
Coventry
3
2
L
07.01.23
H2H
Coventry
Wrexham
3
4
L
Last matches: Coventry
21.04.26
Cha
Coventry
Portsmouth
5
1
W
11.04.26
Cha
Coventry
Sheffield Wednesday
0
0
D
03.04.26
Cha
Coventry
Derby
3
2
W
14.03.26
Cha
Coventry
Southampton
1
2
L
11.03.26
Cha
Coventry
Preston
3
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Coventry
Stoke City
2
1
W
16.02.26
Cha
Coventry
Middlesbrough
3
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Coventry
Oxford United
0
0
D
20.01.26
Cha
Coventry
Millwall
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Coventry
Leicester
2
1
W
29.12.25
Cha
Coventry
Ipswich
0
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Coventry
Swansea
1
0
W
13.12.25
Cha
Coventry
Bristol City
1
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Coventry
Charlton
3
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Coventry
West Brom
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Coventry
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
25.10.25
Cha
Coventry
Watford
3
1
W
18.10.25
Cha
Coventry
Blackburn
2
0
W
27.09.25
Cha
Coventry
Birmingham
3
0
W
13.09.25
Cha
Coventry
Norwich
1
1
D
H2H at home: Coventry
26.04.26
H2H
Coventry
Wrexham
3
1
W
07.01.23
H2H
Coventry
Wrexham
3
4
L
Last matches: Wrexham
18.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Manchester United
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Wrexham
Wisla Krakow
0
0
D
21.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Oxford United
1
0
W
12.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
Birmingham
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Wrexham
West Brom
2
2
D
21.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
17.03.26
Cha
Wrexham
Watford
1
3
L
28.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Charlton
1
0
W
17.02.26
Cha
Wrexham
Bristol City
2
2
D
31.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
Sheffield Wednesday
1
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
QPR
3
2
W
04.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
Derby
2
1
W
01.01.26
Cha
Wrexham
Blackburn
2
0
W
19.12.25
Cha
Wrexham
Swansea
1
2
L
10.12.25
Cha
Wrexham
Hull City
0
2
L
06.12.25
Cha
Wrexham
Preston
1
1
D
22.11.25
Cha
Wrexham
Ipswich
0
0
D
05.11.25
Cha
Wrexham
Portsmouth
0
0
D
25.10.25
Cha
Wrexham
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
18.10.25
Cha
Wrexham
Stoke City
0
1
L
H2H away: Wrexham
26.04.26
H2H
Coventry
Wrexham
3
1
L
07.01.23
H2H
Coventry
Wrexham
3
4
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Coventry 3 missing
-
M. Brau
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
O. Dovin
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
T. Sakamoto
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
Wrexham 6 missing
-
L. Cacace
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. James
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
T. O'Connor
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
B. Sheaf
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Z. Vyner
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
N. Broadhead
Questionable Inactive
OUT