Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Cardiff Win 0%
Draw 0%
Swansea Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cardiff2.73
Swansea1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cardiff
WWDLW
11 GF / 8 GA
Swansea
WLDWL
4 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
3.67
Average Goals Scored
1.33
2.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
2
BTTS Yes
1
3
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cardiff
3 matches
Swansea
3 matches
| Cardiff | Statistic | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 1 |
| 11 | Goals For | 4 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 3.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 2.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 0 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff won 4 times, Swansea won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:21 from Cardiff's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.21 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Cardiff 4-2-3-1 / Swansea 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cardiff wins 4, draws 2, Swansea wins 8
Last matches: Cardiff
25.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Forest Green
5
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
Cork City
6
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
02.05.26
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
4
5
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Peterborough
1
1
D
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
14.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
4
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
0
W
21.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Plymouth
2
5
L
17.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
4
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Luton
3
1
W
07.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Rotherham
3
0
W
Last matches: Swansea
24.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Udinese
2
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Swansea
VfL Bochum
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Swansea
Holstein Kiel
2
2
D
02.05.26
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Norwich
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Middlesbrough
2
2
D
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
21.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
3
L
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
07.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
2
0
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
24.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
1
D
21.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
1
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Derby
0
2
L
08.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Wednesday
4
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Watford
2
0
W
H2H: Cardiff vs Swansea
18.01.25
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
3
0
W
25.08.24
H2H
Swansea
Cardiff
1
1
D
16.03.24
H2H
Swansea
Cardiff
2
0
L
16.09.23
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
2
0
W
01.04.23
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
2
3
L
23.10.22
H2H
Swansea
Cardiff
2
0
L
02.04.22
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
0
4
L
17.10.21
H2H
Swansea
Cardiff
3
0
L
20.03.21
H2H
Swansea
Cardiff
0
1
W
12.12.20
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
0
2
L
13.06.20
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
0
0
D
12.01.20
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
0
0
D
27.10.19
H2H
Swansea
Cardiff
1
0
L
08.02.14
H2H
Swansea
Cardiff
3
0
L
03.11.13
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
1
0
W
Last matches: Cardiff
11.07.26
Fri
Cardiff
FC Midtjylland
0
6
L
25.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Northampton
5
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Port Vale
1
0
W
11.04.26
Lea
Cardiff
Bolton
2
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Blackpool
0
0
D
17.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wycombe
0
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Cardiff
Lincoln
0
2
L
17.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
AFC Wimbledon
4
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Cardiff
Luton
3
1
W
27.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Barnsley
4
0
W
24.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Stockport County
1
1
D
04.01.26
Lea
Cardiff
Wigan
1
0
W
29.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Stevenage
2
1
W
26.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Exeter City
1
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Doncaster
4
3
W
06.12.25
Lea
Cardiff
Huddersfield
3
2
W
29.11.25
Lea
Cardiff
Mansfield Town
3
0
W
18.10.25
Lea
Cardiff
Reading
2
1
W
04.10.25
Lea
Cardiff
Leyton Orient
4
3
W
30.09.25
Lea
Cardiff
Burton Albion
0
1
L
H2H at home: Cardiff
18.01.25
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
3
0
W
16.09.23
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
2
0
W
01.04.23
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
2
3
L
02.04.22
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
0
4
L
12.12.20
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
0
2
L
13.06.20
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
0
0
D
12.01.20
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
0
0
D
03.11.13
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
1
0
W
Last matches: Swansea
25.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Norwich
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Swansea
QPR
2
1
W
11.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Leicester
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Swansea
Sheffield Utd
3
3
D
13.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Wrexham
0
2
L
10.03.26
Cha
Swansea
Portsmouth
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Ipswich
0
3
L
14.02.26
Cha
Swansea
Derby
0
2
L
31.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Watford
2
0
W
24.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Hull City
1
2
L
04.01.26
Cha
Swansea
Millwall
1
2
L
29.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Oxford United
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Coventry
0
1
L
13.12.25
Cha
Swansea
Stoke City
1
2
L
29.11.25
Cha
Swansea
West Brom
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Bristol City
0
3
L
05.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Preston
1
2
L
01.11.25
Cha
Swansea
Charlton
1
1
D
18.10.25
Cha
Swansea
Southampton
0
0
D
30.09.25
Cha
Swansea
Blackburn
2
1
W
H2H away: Swansea
18.01.25
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
3
0
L
16.09.23
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
2
0
L
01.04.23
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
2
3
W
02.04.22
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
0
4
W
12.12.20
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
0
2
W
13.06.20
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
0
0
D
12.01.20
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
0
0
D
03.11.13
H2H
Cardiff
Swansea
1
0
L
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 |
Cardiff
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 21 |
Swansea
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One