ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Ashton Gate Stadium
Referee: R. Ricardo
Bristol City
Match Timeline
Norwich
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
S. Morsy · Assist: C. Pring
Bristol City
51'
M. Toure
Norwich
🟨
54'
Mohamed Touré
Norwich
🔄
65'
S. Twine ↔ T. Horvat
Bristol City
🔄
65'
E. Riis ↔ D. Burgzorg
Bristol City
🔄
65'
M. Sykes ↔ S. Bell
Bristol City
70'
M. Toure · Assist: O. Schwartau
Norwich
🟨
72'
Kenny McLean
Norwich
75'
M. Toure · Assist: P. Maghoma
Norwich
🔄
77'
P. Maghoma ↔ A. Slimane
Norwich
🔄
77'
M. Toure ↔ M. Kvistgaarden
Norwich
🔄
78'
S. Morsy ↔ S. Armstrong
Bristol City
79'
J. Cordoba · Assist: K. McLean
Norwich
🔄
83'
A. Ahmed ↔ E. Mundle Smith
Norwich
🔄
84'
O. Schwartau ↔ A. Forson
Norwich
🔄
87'
R. McCrorie ↔ G. Tanner
Bristol City
🔄
90+1'
K. McLean ↔ J. Wright
Norwich
90'
S. Bell · Assist: D. Burgzorg
Bristol City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 89.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 78%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
89.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
78%
-
Probability Distribution
Bristol City Win 43.8%
Draw 10.8%
Norwich Win 45.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bristol City1.27
Norwich1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bristol City Bristol City
WWDLW
57 GF / 53 GA
Norwich Norwich
WLDWL
63 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.4
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.22
19
BTTS Yes
26
19
Over 2.5
22
4.07
Shots on Goal
4.51

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bristol City Bristol City 44 matches
Norwich Norwich 45 matches
Bristol City Statistic Norwich
17 Wins 19
10 Draws 7
17 Losses 19
57 Goals For 63
53 Goals Against 55
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.22
19 BTTS Yes 26
30 Over 1.5 37
19 Over 2.5 22
11 Over 3.5 8
13 Clean Sheets 9
16 Failed To Score 10
4.07 Shots On Goal 4.51
12.5 Total Shots 12.64
5.09 Corners 5.4
50% Ball Possession 53.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Norwich seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Norwich. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Bristol City Analysis

So far, Bristol City have built a campaign that leaves them 10 in the table on 58 points from 42 matches. The record of 16 wins, 10 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 52:51 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through S. Twine (11 goals), A. Mehmeti (10 goals), E. Riis (9 goals), with creative support from A. Mehmeti (7 assists), S. Twine (6 assists), R. McCrorie (6 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with R. Atkinson, R. Dickie, L. McNally unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Norwich Analysis

Norwich are currently 9 in the standings with 58 points from 42 matches. Their overall return of 17 wins, 7 draws, and 18 losses with goals at 55:50 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. Makama (10 goals), J. Sargent (7 goals), M. Kvistgaarden (6 goals), with creative support from M. Nunez (8 assists), J. Sargent (3 assists), A. Ahmed (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with H. Amass, A. Crnac, P. A. Diallo unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Bristol City won 4 times, Norwich won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:23 from Bristol City's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.2%)
Predicted formations: Bristol City 4-2-3-1 / Norwich 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Bristol City 5, Norwich 10
H2H summary: Bristol City wins 4, draws 3, Norwich wins 8
Stats
Bristol City Bristol City
Norwich Norwich
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
9
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
4
2 Corner Kicks 10
8 Fouls 12
7 Offsides 0
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Goal 9
1 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 4
6 Shots insidebox 13
3 Shots outsidebox 6
6 Goalkeeper Saves 3
389 Total passes 458
323 Passes accurate 391
1.43 expected_goals 2.14
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Bristol City
Formation
Norwich
R. Vitek
R. Vitek
R. McCrorie
R. McCrorie
N. Eile
N. Eile
Neto Borges
Neto Borges
C. Pring
🎯
C. Pring
A. Randell
A. Randell
S. Morsy
S. Morsy
M. Sykes
M. Sykes
S. Twine
S. Twine
J. Knight
J. Knight
E. Riis
E. Riis
V. Kovacevic
V. Kovacevic
K. Fisher
K. Fisher
H. Darling
H. Darling
J. Cordoba
J. Cordoba
L. Gibbs
L. Gibbs
P. Mattsson
P. Mattsson
K. McLean
🎯
K. McLean
O. Schwartau
🎯
O. Schwartau
P. Maghoma
🎯
P. Maghoma
A. Ahmed
A. Ahmed
M. Toure
⚽ 3
M. Toure
Bristol City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
23
R. Vitek
G
2
R. McCrorie
↓ 87'
D
38
N. Eile
D
21
Neto Borges
D
3
C. Pring
🎯 2'
D
4
A. Randell
M
40
S. Morsy
⚽ 2' ↓ 78'
M
17
M. Sykes
↓ 65'
M
10
S. Twine
↓ 65'
M
12
J. Knight
M
18
E. Riis
↓ 65'
F
Substitutes
32
L. Thomas
G
16
R. Dickie
D
14
T. Horvat
↑ 65'
M
19
G. Tanner
↑ 87'
D
11
D. Burgzorg
🎯 90' ↑ 65'
F
30
S. Armstrong
↑ 78'
F
20
S. Bell
⚽ 90' ↑ 65'
F
44
G. Earthy
M
24
S. Naylor
D
Norwich 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Kovacevic
G
35
K. Fisher
D
6
H. Darling
D
33
J. Cordoba
⚽ 79'
D
8
L. Gibbs
D
7
P. Mattsson
M
23
K. McLean
🎯 79' ↓ 90+1' 🟨 72'
M
29
O. Schwartau
🎯 70' ↓ 84'
M
25
P. Maghoma
🎯 75' ↓ 77'
M
21
A. Ahmed
↓ 83'
M
37
M. Toure
⚽ 51' ⚽ 70' ⚽ 75' ↓ 77' 🟨 54'
F
Substitutes
32
D. Grimshaw
G
20
A. Slimane
↑ 77'
M
18
A. Forson
↑ 84'
M
30
M. Kvistgaarden
↑ 77'
F
16
J. Wright
↑ 90+1'
M
3
J. Stacey
D
26
S. Field
M
15
R. McConville
D
46
E. Mundle Smith
↑ 83'
F
Last matches: Bristol City
02.05.26
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
2
2
D
11.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
QPR
0
0
D
06.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Charlton
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
1
1
D
10.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
0
2
L
07.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
2
L
03.03.26
FA
Bristol City
Port Vale
0
1
L
27.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Watford
1
2
L
24.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Blackburn
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Swansea
0
1
L
17.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Wrexham
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Hull City
3
2
W
30.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Derby
0
5
L
24.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Ipswich
0
2
L
17.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Oxford United
0
0
D
Last matches: Norwich
02.05.26
Cha
Norwich
Hull City
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Swansea
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Derby
2
1
W
11.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Ipswich
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Millwall
2
1
W
03.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Portsmouth
1
1
D
21.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Charlton
1
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Southampton
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Preston
2
0
W
11.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Utd
2
1
W
08.03.26
FA
Norwich
Leeds
0
3
L
28.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Leicester
2
0
W
25.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Birmingham
1
2
L
14.02.26
FA
Norwich
West Brom
3
1
W
10.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Oxford United
3
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Blackburn
2
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
26.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Coventry
2
1
W
20.01.26
Cha
Norwich
West Brom
5
0
W
H2H: Bristol City vs Norwich
18.04.26
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
L
18.10.25
H2H
Norwich
Bristol City
0
1
W
14.03.25
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
2
1
W
09.11.24
H2H
Norwich
Bristol City
0
2
W
20.04.24
H2H
Norwich
Bristol City
1
1
D
03.12.23
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
1
2
L
29.08.23
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
0
1
L
11.02.23
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
1
0
W
14.09.22
H2H
Norwich
Bristol City
3
2
L
20.01.21
H2H
Norwich
Bristol City
2
0
L
31.10.20
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
1
3
L
23.02.19
H2H
Norwich
Bristol City
3
2
L
15.12.18
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
2
2
D
13.01.18
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
0
1
L
23.09.17
H2H
Norwich
Bristol City
0
0
D
Last matches: Bristol City
02.05.26
Cha
Bristol City
Stoke City
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
21.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
West Brom
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Bristol City
Coventry
0
2
L
27.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Watford
1
2
L
17.02.26
Cha
Bristol City
Wrexham
2
2
D
30.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Derby
0
5
L
24.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
10.01.26
FA
Bristol City
Watford
5
1
W
04.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Preston
0
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Bristol City
Portsmouth
5
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Middlesbrough
2
0
W
10.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Leicester
2
2
D
06.12.25
Cha
Bristol City
Millwall
0
1
L
22.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Swansea
3
0
W
04.11.25
Cha
Bristol City
Blackburn
0
1
L
25.10.25
Cha
Bristol City
Birmingham
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Bristol City
Southampton
3
1
W
04.10.25
Cha
Bristol City
QPR
1
2
L
30.09.25
Cha
Bristol City
Ipswich
1
1
D
H2H at home: Bristol City
18.04.26
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
L
14.03.25
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
2
1
W
03.12.23
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
1
2
L
29.08.23
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
0
1
L
11.02.23
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
1
0
W
31.10.20
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
1
3
L
15.12.18
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
2
2
D
13.01.18
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
0
1
L
Last matches: Norwich
02.05.26
Cha
Norwich
Hull City
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Norwich
Millwall
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Charlton
1
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Norwich
Southampton
0
1
L
08.03.26
FA
Norwich
Leeds
0
3
L
28.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Leicester
2
0
W
10.02.26
Cha
Norwich
Oxford United
3
0
W
31.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Middlesbrough
0
1
L
20.01.26
Cha
Norwich
West Brom
5
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Norwich
Wrexham
2
1
W
01.01.26
Cha
Norwich
QPR
2
1
W
20.12.25
Cha
Norwich
Preston
1
1
D
09.12.25
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
06.12.25
Cha
Norwich
Watford
2
3
L
22.11.25
Cha
Norwich
Birmingham
1
4
L
05.11.25
Cha
Norwich
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Norwich
Swansea
1
2
L
21.10.25
Cha
Norwich
Derby
0
1
L
05.10.25
Cha
Norwich
Ipswich
1
3
L
27.09.25
Cha
Norwich
Stoke City
1
1
D
H2H away: Norwich
18.04.26
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
2
4
W
14.03.25
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
2
1
L
03.12.23
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
1
2
W
29.08.23
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
0
1
W
11.02.23
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
1
0
L
31.10.20
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
1
3
W
15.12.18
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
2
2
D
13.01.18
H2H
Bristol City
Norwich
0
1
W

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Bristol City 5 missing
-
R. Atkinson
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
R. Dickie
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
L. McNally
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Williams
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
M. Bird
Questionable Injury
OUT
Norwich 10 missing
-
H. Amass
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. Crnac
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
P. A. Diallo
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
S. Duffy
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
G. Forsyth
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
M. Jurasek
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
L. Mahovo
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
J. Makama
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
J. Schlupp
Questionable Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
M. Topic
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT