Botafogo vs Palmeiras Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
66.2%
|
2.21 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
1.86 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.18 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
5.50 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
9.00 |
Botafogo
Palmeiras
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Botafogo
28 matches
Palmeiras
33 matches
| Botafogo | Statistic | Palmeiras |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 19 |
| 7 | Draws | 10 |
| 12 | Losses | 4 |
| 40 | Goals For | 57 |
| 43 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.43 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.73 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.82 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 21 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.04 | Shots On Goal | 4.88 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 15 |
| 4.32 | Corners | 5.82 |
| 48.9% | Ball Possession | 53.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Palmeiras's more proactive style and Botafogo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Botafogo expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Palmeiras in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Palmeiras having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Palmeiras carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 51 points while Botafogo sit 11 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Palmeiras.
From their first 23 matches, Botafogo have collected 30 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 6 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 37:37 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Danilo Santos (7 goals), Arthur Cabral (7 goals), Edenilson (4 goals), with creative support from Alex Telles (3 assists), Álvaro Montoro (3 assists), Danilo Santos (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Palmeiras come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 51 points from 24 matches. The record of 15 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 44:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through José Manuel López (7 goals), Mauricio (5 goals), Allan (4 goals), with creative support from Andreas Pereira (10 assists), José Manuel López (3 assists), Allan (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo won 5 times, Palmeiras won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:22 from Botafogo's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 55:23 | 32 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Palmeiras
Away
|
28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 43:32 | 11 | 49 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 43:35 | 8 | 46 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 |
Botafogo
Home
|
28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|