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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Birmingham
FT
2 - 1
Watford
St. Andrew's @ Knighthead Park
Referee: Adam Herczeg, England
Birmingham
Match Timeline
Watford
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
20'
Hector Kyprianou
Watford
🟨
24'
Tommy Doyle
Birmingham
⚽
31'
Paik Seung-Ho
Birmingham
⚽
43'
D. Gray · Assist: J. Stansfield
Birmingham
🔄
59'
T. Ince ↔ G. Chakvetadze
Watford
🔄
60'
L. Kjerrumgaard ↔ V. Semedo
Watford
🔄
60'
H. Kyprianou ↔ E. Kayembe
Watford
⚽
61'
O. Maamma · Assist: M. Bola
Watford
🔄
69'
D. Gray ↔ K. Anderson
Birmingham
🔄
73'
B. Osayi-Samuel ↔ A. Sampsted
Birmingham
🔄
73'
M. Ducksch ↔ L. Dykes
Birmingham
🟨
76'
Imrân Louza
Watford
🟨
78'
Jay Stansfield
Birmingham
🟨
80'
Patrick Roberts
Birmingham
🔄
85'
O. Maamma ↔ M. Sissoko
Watford
🔄
90+2'
J. Stansfield ↔ M. Leonard
Birmingham
🔄
90+2'
P. Roberts ↔ L. Koumas
Birmingham

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 0%
Draw 0%
Watford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham1.38
Watford1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham Birmingham
WWDLW
25 GF / 19 GA
Watford Watford
WLDWL
23 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
1.24
8
BTTS Yes
12
8
Over 2.5
9
3.71
Shots on Goal
4.76

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Birmingham Birmingham 17 matches
Watford Watford 17 matches
Birmingham Statistic Watford
7 Wins 6
4 Draws 6
6 Losses 5
25 Goals For 23
19 Goals Against 21
1.47 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 1.24
8 BTTS Yes 12
12 Over 1.5 13
8 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 1
4 Failed To Score 4
3.71 Shots On Goal 4.76
13.76 Total Shots 14.24
5.06 Corners 4.18
55.6% Ball Possession 51.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 3 times, Watford won 11 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:25 from Birmingham's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Watford 4-4-2
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 3, draws 1, Watford wins 11
Stats
Birmingham Birmingham
Watford Watford
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
5
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 6
11 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 0
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 3
8 Shots insidebox 8
5 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
418 Total passes 422
321 Passes accurate 335
1.26 expected_goals 1.03
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Birmingham
Formation
Watford
J. Beadle
J. Beadle
B. Osayi-Samuel
↓
B. Osayi-Samuel
P. Neumann
P. Neumann
C. Klarer
C. Klarer
A. Cochrane
A. Cochrane
T. Doyle
T. Doyle
Paik Seung-Ho
⚽
Paik Seung-Ho
P. Roberts
↓
P. Roberts
J. Stansfield
🎯 ↓
J. Stansfield
D. Gray
⚽ ↓
D. Gray
M. Ducksch
↓
M. Ducksch
N. Baxter
N. Baxter
J. Ngakia
J. Ngakia
K. Keben
K. Keben
M. Pollock
M. Pollock
M. Bola
🎯
M. Bola
T. Ince
↓
T. Ince
I. Louza
I. Louza
H. Kyprianou
↓
H. Kyprianou
O. Maamma
⚽ ↓
O. Maamma
M. Doumbia
M. Doumbia
L. Kjerrumgaard
↓
L. Kjerrumgaard
Birmingham 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
25
J. Beadle
G
26
B. Osayi-Samuel
↓ 73'
D
5
P. Neumann
D
4
C. Klarer
D
20
A. Cochrane
D
7
T. Doyle
🟨 24'
M
8
Paik Seung-Ho
⚽ 31'
M
16
P. Roberts
↓ 90+2' 🟨 80'
M
28
J. Stansfield
🎯 43' ↓ 90+2' 🟨 78'
M
10
D. Gray
⚽ 43' ↓ 69'
M
33
M. Ducksch
↓ 73'
F
Substitutes
21
R. Allsop
G
23
A. Sampsted
↑ 73'
D
41
E. Cashin
D
6
J. Robinson
D
12
M. Leonard
↑ 90+2'
M
14
K. Anderson
↑ 69'
M
30
L. Koumas
↑ 90+2'
F
17
L. Dykes
↑ 73'
F
9
K. Furuhashi
F
Watford 4-4-2
Starting XI
12
N. Baxter
G
2
J. Ngakia
D
4
K. Keben
D
6
M. Pollock
D
16
M. Bola
🎯 61'
D
7
T. Ince
↓ 59'
M
10
I. Louza
🟨 76'
M
5
H. Kyprianou
↓ 60' 🟨 20'
M
42
O. Maamma
⚽ 61' ↓ 85'
M
20
M. Doumbia
F
9
L. Kjerrumgaard
↓ 60'
F
Substitutes
41
A. Marriott
3
M. Alleyne
D
8
G. Chakvetadze
↑ 59'
M
17
M. Sissoko
↑ 85'
M
18
V. Semedo
↑ 60'
F
22
J. Morris
D
23
N. Mendy
M
25
J. Abankwah
D
39
E. Kayembe
↑ 60'
M
Last matches: Birmingham
15.08.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
0
0
D
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Crewe
2
1
W
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
Last matches: Watford
16.08.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
2
1
W
29.07.26
Fri
Watford
Fiorentina
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Watford
Hansa Rostock
3
0
W
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
02.05.26
Cha
Watford
Coventry
0
4
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Watford
Charlton
1
1
D
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
21.03.26
Cha
Watford
Leicester
0
0
D
17.03.26
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
3
1
W
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
0
2
L
21.02.26
Cha
Watford
Derby
2
0
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
H2H: Birmingham vs Watford
01.01.26
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
L
01.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
W
16.03.24
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
1
L
16.09.23
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
2
0
L
14.03.23
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
L
16.08.22
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
1
1
D
20.03.21
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
3
0
L
12.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
1
L
18.04.15
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
1
0
L
04.11.14
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
W
11.02.14
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
1
0
L
03.08.13
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
1
L
16.02.13
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
4
L
25.08.12
H2H
Watford
Birmingham
2
0
L
21.01.12
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
3
0
W
Last matches: Birmingham
31.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Barcelona
2
2
D
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
15.02.26
FA
Birmingham
Leeds
1
1
D
10.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Leicester
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Stoke City
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Coventry
3
2
W
29.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Southampton
1
1
D
26.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
13.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
1
1
D
22.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
4
1
W
04.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
4
0
W
01.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
4
0
W
H2H at home: Birmingham
01.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
W
16.03.24
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
1
L
16.08.22
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
1
1
D
12.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
1
L
04.11.14
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
W
03.08.13
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
1
L
16.02.13
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
4
L
21.01.12
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
3
0
W
Last matches: Watford
14.07.26
Fri
Watford
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Watford
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Watford
Middlesbrough
1
5
L
21.04.26
Cha
Watford
West Brom
0
3
L
11.04.26
Cha
Watford
Oxford United
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Watford
QPR
1
2
L
14.03.26
Cha
Watford
Stoke City
1
3
L
10.03.26
Cha
Watford
Sheffield Wednesday
1
1
D
27.02.26
Cha
Watford
Bristol City
2
1
W
14.02.26
Cha
Watford
Preston
2
2
D
07.02.26
Cha
Watford
Southampton
0
1
L
03.02.26
Cha
Watford
Hull City
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Watford
Blackburn
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Watford
Bristol City
1
5
L
29.12.25
Cha
Watford
Norwich
1
0
W
26.12.25
Cha
Watford
Leicester
2
1
W
13.12.25
Cha
Watford
Wrexham
2
2
D
22.11.25
Cha
Watford
Derby
3
2
W
04.11.25
Cha
Watford
Ipswich
1
1
D
25.10.25
Cha
Watford
Coventry
1
3
L
H2H away: Watford
01.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
L
16.03.24
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
1
W
16.08.22
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
1
1
D
12.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
1
W
04.11.14
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
L
03.08.13
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
1
W
16.02.13
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
0
4
W
21.01.12
H2H
Birmingham
Watford
3
0
L

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham Home
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford Away
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
Promotion
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Relegation