Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Birmingham Win 0%
Draw 0%
Derby Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Birmingham2
Derby1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Birmingham
WWDLW
7 GF / 1 GA
Derby
WLDWL
3 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
2.33
Average Goals Scored
1.5
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
1
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Birmingham
3 matches
Derby
2 matches
| Birmingham | Statistic | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 1 |
| 0 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 7 | Goals For | 3 |
| 1 | Goals Against | 3 |
| 2.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.5 |
| 0.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.5 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 1 |
| 2 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 1 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Birmingham won 3 times, Derby won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:27 from Birmingham's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Birmingham 4-2-3-1 / Derby 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Birmingham wins 3, draws 4, Derby wins 8
Last matches: Birmingham
22.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Burton Albion
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Solihull Moors
3
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
02.05.26
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
1
1
D
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
18.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Hull City
1
1
D
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
06.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Ipswich
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
21.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
07.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
0
1
L
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
25.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
0
3
L
21.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
2
1
W
15.02.26
FA
Birmingham
Leeds
1
1
D
10.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Leicester
2
1
W
Last matches: Derby
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
02.05.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
1
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Derby
Oxford United
1
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Derby
Stoke City
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
21.03.26
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
W
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
07.03.26
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
2
1
W
28.02.26
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
3
1
W
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
14.02.26
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
0
W
07.02.26
Cha
Derby
Ipswich
1
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
23.01.26
Cha
Derby
West Brom
1
1
D
H2H: Birmingham vs Derby
21.03.26
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
L
26.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
30.01.22
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
2
2
D
10.09.21
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
0
W
24.04.21
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
2
W
29.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
4
L
22.07.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
3
L
28.09.19
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
2
L
19.04.19
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
2
D
03.11.18
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
3
1
L
13.01.18
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
3
L
23.09.17
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
08.04.17
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
2
L
27.12.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
1
0
L
16.01.16
H2H
Derby
Birmingham
0
3
W
Last matches: Birmingham
10.07.26
Fri
Birmingham
Huddersfield
3
1
W
25.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Bristol City
2
1
W
22.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Preston
2
1
W
12.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Wrexham
2
0
W
03.04.26
Cha
Birmingham
Blackburn
0
1
L
14.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Sheffield Utd
1
1
D
11.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
QPR
1
0
W
02.03.26
Cha
Birmingham
Middlesbrough
1
3
L
15.02.26
FA
Birmingham
Leeds
1
1
D
10.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
West Brom
0
0
D
07.02.26
Cha
Birmingham
Leicester
2
1
W
24.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Stoke City
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Birmingham
Coventry
3
2
W
29.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Southampton
1
1
D
26.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
13.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Charlton
1
1
D
01.12.25
Cha
Birmingham
Watford
2
1
W
22.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Norwich
4
1
W
04.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Millwall
4
0
W
01.11.25
Cha
Birmingham
Portsmouth
4
0
W
H2H at home: Birmingham
26.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
10.09.21
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
0
W
29.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
4
L
22.07.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
3
L
19.04.19
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
2
D
13.01.18
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
3
L
08.04.17
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
2
L
Last matches: Derby
24.07.26
Fri
Derby
SC Freiburg
1
3
L
17.07.26
Fri
Derby
Alfreton Town
2
0
W
25.04.26
Cha
Derby
QPR
3
2
W
21.04.26
Cha
Derby
Norwich
1
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Derby
Southampton
1
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Derby
Coventry
2
3
L
16.03.26
Cha
Derby
Portsmouth
1
0
W
10.03.26
Cha
Derby
Millwall
0
1
L
24.02.26
Cha
Derby
Hull City
2
4
L
21.02.26
Cha
Derby
Watford
0
2
L
30.01.26
Cha
Derby
Bristol City
5
0
W
20.01.26
Cha
Derby
Charlton
2
1
W
17.01.26
Cha
Derby
Preston
1
0
W
29.12.25
Cha
Derby
Leicester
1
2
L
26.12.25
Cha
Derby
Birmingham
1
1
D
15.12.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Wednesday
3
0
W
29.11.25
Cha
Derby
Middlesbrough
1
2
L
25.11.25
Cha
Derby
Swansea
2
1
W
08.11.25
Cha
Derby
Blackburn
2
1
W
01.11.25
Cha
Derby
Sheffield Utd
3
1
W
H2H away: Derby
26.12.25
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
1
D
10.09.21
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
0
L
29.12.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
4
W
22.07.20
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
3
W
19.04.19
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
2
2
D
13.01.18
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
0
3
W
08.04.17
H2H
Birmingham
Derby
1
2
W
Standings
Championship
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Birmingham
Home
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 4 |
Derby
Away
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
| 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
?
|
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One