GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
Union Berlin
FT
2 - 2
1. FC Köln
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Referee: Daniel Schlager, Germany
Union Berlin
Match Timeline
1. FC Köln
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Eric Martel
1. FC Köln
⚽
33'
M. Bulter · Assist: L. Waldschmidt
1. FC Köln
🟨
34'
Diogo Leite
Union Berlin
🟨
55'
Jahmai Simpson-Pusey
1. FC Köln
🔄
58'
J. Juranovic ↔ C. Trimmel
Union Berlin
🔄
58'
I. Ansah ↔ A. Ilic
Union Berlin
🔄
58'
A. Schafer ↔ L. Burcu
Union Berlin
⚽
61'
S. El Mala · Assist: K. Lund
1. FC Köln
🔄
62'
L. Waldschmidt ↔ F. Chavez
1. FC Köln
🔄
67'
S. Nsoki ↔ T. Skarke
Union Berlin
🔄
71'
J. Kaminski ↔ L. Maina
1. FC Köln
🔄
71'
M. Bulter ↔ J. Thielmann
1. FC Köln
🔄
71'
S. El Mala ↔ Y. Niang
1. FC Köln
⚽
73'
T. Rothe · Assist: C. Trimmel
Union Berlin
🔄
80'
K. Lund ↔ J. Schmied
1. FC Köln
🟨
88'
Marvin Schwäbe
1. FC Köln
🔄
88'
R. Khedira ↔ A. Kral
Union Berlin
⚽
89'
L. Burcu
Union Berlin
🟨
90+5'
Livan Burcu
Union Berlin

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 74.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
74.9%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
13.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Union Berlin Win 38.6%
Draw 36.3%
1. FC Köln Win 25.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Union Berlin1.36
1. FC Köln1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Union Berlin Union Berlin
WWDLW
35 GF / 55 GA
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
WLDWL
45 GF / 53 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.77
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
19
BTTS Yes
24
18
Over 2.5
19
3.61
Shots on Goal
4.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Union Berlin Union Berlin 31 matches
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln 31 matches
Union Berlin Statistic 1. FC Köln
8 Wins 7
8 Draws 10
15 Losses 14
35 Goals For 45
55 Goals Against 53
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.77 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
19 BTTS Yes 24
23 Over 1.5 26
18 Over 2.5 19
13 Over 3.5 13
6 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 4
3.61 Shots On Goal 4.65
12.19 Total Shots 13.55
5.03 Corners 4.55
39.1% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward 1. FC Köln. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Union Berlin have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Union Berlin expected to line up in 3-5-2 and 1. FC Köln in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward 1. FC Köln having the stronger overall control.

Union Berlin Analysis

Union Berlin sit 13 with 32 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 35:55, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through D. Doekhi (5 goals), I. Ansah (5 goals), O. Burke (5 goals), with creative support from A. Ilic (8 assists), I. Ansah (2 assists), Derrick Köhn (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1. FC Köln Analysis

1. FC Köln sit 14 with 31 points after 31 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 45:53, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through S. El Mala (11 goals), J. Kaminski (7 goals), R. Ache (7 goals), with creative support from S. El Mala (5 assists), R. Ache (4 assists), M. Bulter (4 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Union Berlin won 9 times, 1. FC Köln won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:14 from Union Berlin's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (74.9%)
Predicted formations: Union Berlin 3-5-2 / 1. FC Köln 4-4-2
H2H summary: Union Berlin wins 9, draws 3, 1. FC Köln wins 3
Stats
Union Berlin Union Berlin
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
0
2 Corner Kicks 5
7 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 2
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Goal 4
6 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 0
9 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 2
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
464 Total passes 335
352 Passes accurate 247
1.15 expected_goals 1.75
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Union Berlin
Formation
1. FC Köln
C. Klaus
C. Klaus
D. Doekhi
D. Doekhi
D. Leite
D. Leite
S. Nsoki
↓
S. Nsoki
J. Juranovic
↓
J. Juranovic
A. Schafer
↓
A. Schafer
R. Khedira
↓
R. Khedira
A. Kemlein
A. Kemlein
T. Rothe
⚽
T. Rothe
O. Burke
O. Burke
I. Ansah
↓
I. Ansah
M. Schwabe
M. Schwabe
S. Sebulonsen
S. Sebulonsen
J. Simpson-Pusey
J. Simpson-Pusey
C. Ozkacar
C. Ozkacar
K. Lund
🎯 ↓
K. Lund
T. Krauss
T. Krauss
E. Martel
E. Martel
L. Waldschmidt
🎯 ↓
L. Waldschmidt
J. Kaminski
↓
J. Kaminski
M. Bulter
⚽ ↓
M. Bulter
S. El Mala
⚽ ↓
S. El Mala
Union Berlin 3-5-2
Starting XI
25
C. Klaus
G
5
D. Doekhi
D
4
D. Leite
🟨 34'
D
34
S. Nsoki
↓ 67'
D
18
J. Juranovic
↓ 58'
M
13
A. Schafer
↓ 58'
M
8
R. Khedira
↓ 88'
M
6
A. Kemlein
M
15
T. Rothe
⚽ 73'
M
7
O. Burke
F
10
I. Ansah
↓ 58'
F
Substitutes
48
T. Wisbereit
G
28
C. Trimmel
🎯 73' ↑ 58'
D
33
A. Kral
↑ 88'
M
21
T. Skarke
↑ 67'
M
19
J. Haberer
M
39
D. Kohn
D
23
A. Ilic
↑ 58'
F
14
L. Querfeld
D
9
L. Burcu
⚽ 89' ↑ 58' 🟨 90+5'
F
1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
M. Schwabe
🟨 88'
G
28
S. Sebulonsen
D
22
J. Simpson-Pusey
🟨 55'
D
39
C. Ozkacar
D
32
K. Lund
🎯 61' ↓ 80'
D
5
T. Krauss
M
6
E. Martel
🟨 31'
M
7
L. Waldschmidt
🎯 33' ↓ 62'
M
16
J. Kaminski
↓ 71'
M
30
M. Bulter
⚽ 33' ↓ 71'
M
13
S. El Mala
⚽ 61' ↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
20
R. Zieler
G
37
L. Maina
↑ 71'
M
29
J. Thielmann
↑ 71'
M
8
D. Huseinbasic
M
27
F. Chavez
↑ 62'
M
3
D. Heintz
D
17
A. Castro-Montes
M
2
J. Schmied
↑ 80'
D
38
Y. Niang
↑ 71'
F
Last matches: Union Berlin
16.05.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
4
0
W
10.05.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
3
1
W
24.04.26
Bun
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
1
3
L
18.04.26
Bun
Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
1
2
L
11.04.26
Bun
Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim
1
3
L
05.04.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
21.03.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Bayern München
0
4
L
15.03.26
Bun
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
1
0
W
08.03.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
1
4
L
28.02.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
1
L
21.02.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
1
0
W
14.02.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
2
3
L
06.02.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
1
D
31.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim
1
3
L
24.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
0
3
L
18.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
1
1
D
15.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
1
1
D
10.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
2
2
D
05.01.26
Fri
Union Berlin
Erzgebirge Aue
2
1
W
20.12.25
Bun
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
1
0
W
Last matches: 1. FC Köln
16.05.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Bayern München
1
5
L
10.05.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
1
3
L
25.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
1
2
L
17.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
12.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
3
1
W
05.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
2
D
21.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3
3
D
14.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
07.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Borussia Dortmund
1
2
L
27.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FC Augsburg
0
2
L
21.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
2
2
D
14.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart
1
3
L
08.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
30.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
VfL Wolfsburg
1
0
W
25.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
17.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
2
1
W
14.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Bayern München
1
3
L
10.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
2
2
D
05.01.26
Fri
1. FC Köln
FC Lugano
2
1
W
20.12.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
0
1
L
H2H: Union Berlin vs 1. FC Köln
02.05.26
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
2
D
20.12.25
H2H
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
0
1
W
11.05.24
H2H
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
3
2
L
20.12.23
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
0
W
04.03.23
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
0
0
D
11.09.22
H2H
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
0
1
W
01.04.22
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
1
0
W
07.11.21
H2H
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
2
2
D
13.03.21
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
22.11.20
H2H
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
1
2
W
22.08.20
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
22.08.20
H2H
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
2
1
L
13.06.20
H2H
1. FC Köln
Union Berlin
1
2
W
08.12.19
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
0
W
31.01.19
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
0
W
Last matches: Union Berlin
16.05.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg
4
0
W
18.04.26
Bun
Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg
1
2
L
05.04.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
08.03.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Werder Bremen
1
4
L
21.02.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen
1
0
W
06.02.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Eintracht Frankfurt
1
1
D
24.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
Borussia Dortmund
0
3
L
10.01.26
Bun
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
2
2
D
12.12.25
Bun
Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
3
1
W
29.11.25
Bun
Union Berlin
1. FC Heidenheim
1
2
L
08.11.25
Bun
Union Berlin
Bayern München
2
2
D
01.11.25
Bun
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg
0
0
D
17.10.25
Bun
Union Berlin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3
1
W
28.09.25
Bun
Union Berlin
Hamburger SV
0
0
D
13.09.25
Bun
Union Berlin
1899 Hoffenheim
2
4
L
23.08.25
Bun
Union Berlin
VfB Stuttgart
2
1
W
H2H at home: Union Berlin
02.05.26
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
2
D
20.12.23
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
0
W
04.03.23
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
0
0
D
01.04.22
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
1
0
W
13.03.21
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
22.08.20
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
1
2
L
08.12.19
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
0
W
31.01.19
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
0
W
Last matches: 1. FC Köln
16.05.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Bayern München
1
5
L
17.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli
1
1
D
05.04.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
2
D
14.03.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
27.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
FC Augsburg
0
2
L
14.02.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
VfB Stuttgart
1
3
L
25.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
10.01.26
Bun
1. FC Köln
1. FC Heidenheim
2
2
D
05.01.26
Fri
1. FC Köln
FC Lugano
2
1
W
13.12.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Bayer Leverkusen
0
2
L
29.11.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Werder Bremen
1
1
D
08.11.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
3
L
25.10.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
Borussia Dortmund
0
1
L
03.10.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
1899 Hoffenheim
1
0
W
20.09.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
RB Leipzig
1
3
L
13.09.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
VfL Wolfsburg
3
3
D
24.08.25
Bun
1. FC Köln
FSV Mainz 05
1
0
W
09.05.25
2.
1. FC Köln
1. FC Nürnberg
2
1
W
27.04.25
2.
1. FC Köln
Hannover 96
0
1
L
11.04.25
2.
1. FC Köln
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1
1
D
H2H away: 1. FC Köln
02.05.26
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
2
D
20.12.23
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
0
L
04.03.23
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
0
0
D
01.04.22
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
1
0
L
13.03.21
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
1
L
22.08.20
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
1
2
W
08.12.19
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
0
L
31.01.19
H2H
Union Berlin
1. FC Köln
2
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Bayern München
34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2
Borussia Dortmund
34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3
RB Leipzig
34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4
VfB Stuttgart
34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5
1899 Hoffenheim
34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6
Bayer Leverkusen
34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7
SC Freiburg
34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8
Eintracht Frankfurt
34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9
FC Augsburg
34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10
FSV Mainz 05
34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11
Union Berlin Home
34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach
34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13
Hamburger SV
34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14
1. FC Köln Away
34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15
Werder Bremen
34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16
VfL Wolfsburg
34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17
1. FC Heidenheim
34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18
FC St. Pauli
34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D