Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
67.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
77.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72.7%
|
- |
Spezia
Sudtirol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spezia
36 matches
Sudtirol
35 matches
| Spezia | Statistic | Sudtirol |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 8 |
| 11 | Draws | 16 |
| 18 | Losses | 11 |
| 35 | Goals For | 37 |
| 54 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 0.97 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.14 |
| 20 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 27 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 12 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 3.97 | Shots On Goal | 3.51 |
| 11.31 | Total Shots | 12.17 |
| 4.92 | Corners | 4.29 |
| 48.8% | Ball Possession | 40.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sudtirol carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 40 points while Spezia sit 20 on 30, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Spezia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sudtirol. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Spezia expected to line up in 3-5-1-1 and Sudtirol in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sudtirol having the stronger overall control.
Spezia sit 20 with 30 points after 34 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 32:51 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on G. Artistico (11 goals), G. Aurelio (5 goals), G. Lapadula (3 goals), with creative support from G. Aurelio (3 assists), P. Beruatto (3 assists), V. Vlahovic (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 5 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 34 matches, Sudtirol have collected 40 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 16 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 36:37 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by S. Merkaj (9 goals), E. Pecorino (8 goals), D. Casiraghi (4 goals), with creative support from D. Casiraghi (7 assists), S. Molina (4 assists), R. Odogwu (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 10 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Spezia won 3 times, Sudtirol won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:8 from Spezia's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.
Spezia
9
1
6
3
4
1
Lineups
Spezia
Pescara
Spezia
Venezia
Spezia
Catanzaro
Spezia
Mantova
Spezia
Carrarese
Spezia
Juve Stabia
Spezia
Empoli
Spezia
Modena
Spezia
Monza
Spezia
Padova
Spezia
Reggiana
Spezia
Cesena
Spezia
Frosinone
Spezia
Bari
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Spezia
Sampdoria
Spezia
Avellino
Spezia
Palermo
Spezia
Sudtirol
Spezia
Pescara
Sudtirol
1. FC Kaiserslautern
Sudtirol
Bari
Sudtirol
Bari
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia
Sudtirol
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
Mantova
Sudtirol
Modena
Sudtirol
Cesena
Sudtirol
Frosinone
Sudtirol
Avellino
Sudtirol
Pescara
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
Sudtirol
Reggiana
Sudtirol
Venezia
Sudtirol
Palermo
Sudtirol
Bari
Sudtirol
Monza
Sudtirol
Carrarese
Sudtirol
Catanzaro
Sudtirol
Padova
Spezia
Venezia
Spezia
Mantova
Spezia
Empoli
Spezia
Monza
Spezia
Reggiana
Spezia
Frosinone
Spezia
Virtus Entella
Spezia
Avellino
Spezia
Pescara
Spezia
Modena
Spezia
Sampdoria
Spezia
Bari
Spezia
Padova
Spezia
Cesena
Spezia
Palermo
Spezia
Juve Stabia
Spezia
Catanzaro
Spezia
Carrarese
Spezia
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
Bari
Sudtirol
Sampdoria
Sudtirol
Cesena
Sudtirol
Avellino
Sudtirol
Reggiana
Sudtirol
Palermo
Sudtirol
Bari
Sudtirol
Carrarese
Sudtirol
Empoli
Sudtirol
Juve Stabia
Sudtirol
Virtus Entella
Sudtirol
Monza
Sudtirol
Modena
Sudtirol
Padova
Sudtirol
Venezia
Sudtirol
Mantova
Sudtirol
Pescara
Sudtirol
Frosinone
Sudtirol
Catanzaro
Sudtirol
Como
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 |
Sudtirol
Away
|
38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 |
Spezia
Home
|
38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|