Southend
Match Timeline
Carlisle
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Southend Win 0%
Draw 0%
Carlisle Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southend1.47
Carlisle1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southend
WWDLW
30 GF / 14 GA
Carlisle
WLDWL
40 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
2.11
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
8
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Southend
18 matches
Carlisle
19 matches
| Southend | Statistic | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 13 |
| 5 | Draws | 3 |
| 4 | Losses | 3 |
| 30 | Goals For | 40 |
| 14 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.11 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.16 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 15 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Southend won 1 times, Carlisle won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:9 from Southend's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
H2H summary: Southend wins 1, draws 2, Carlisle wins 3
Lineups
Southend
Formation
Carlisle
N. Hayes
N. Ralph
B. Goodliffe
H. Taylor
H. Boyes
S. Austin
C. Miley
O. Coker
G. Scott-Morriss
J. Walker
A. Dallas
G. Breeze
J. Williams
M. Feeney
A. Hayden
C. Harper
J. Luamba
H. Macadam
A. Gilliead
R. Linney
G. Kelly
C. Conn-Clarke
Southend
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
N. Hayes
3
N. Ralph
🎯 31'
6
B. Goodliffe
16
H. Taylor
33
H. Boyes
↓ 78'
10
S. Austin
⚽ 31'
↓ 63'
17
C. Miley
28
O. Coker
↓ 79'
2
G. Scott-Morriss
11
J. Walker
↓ 79'
9
A. Dallas
🟨 33'
Substitutes
30
C. Andeng Ndi
15
J. Gubbins
22
K. Appiah-Forson
↑ 63'
7
J. Bridge
↑ 78'
19
L. Chambers-Parillon
↑ 79'
23
Morton
14
T. Hopper
↑ 79'
Carlisle
4-4-2
(estimated)
Starting XI
1
G. Breeze
22
J. Williams
🎯 19'
🟨 36'
5
M. Feeney
6
A. Hayden
3
C. Harper
11
J. Luamba
↓ 26'
37
H. Macadam
20
A. Gilliead
10
R. Linney
⚽ 29'
↓ 90+4'
9
G. Kelly
38
C. Conn-Clarke
⚽ 19'
🎯 29'
↓ 90+4'
Substitutes
25
H. Lewis
2
A. Davies
↑ 26'
🟨 45+7'
18
J. Ellis
↑ 59'
🟨 90+4'
24
J. Grant
↑ 90+4'
8
C. Whelan
7
D. Ajiboye
29
L. Armstrong
↑ 90+4'
Last matches: Southend
15.08.26
Nat
Southend
Scunthorpe
1
0
W
08.08.26
Nat
Southend
Altrincham
3
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Southend
Aveley
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Southend
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Southend
Northampton
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Southend
West Ham
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Southend
Cambridge United
1
2
L
17.05.26
FA
Southend
Wealdstone
0
0
D
28.04.26
Nat
Southend
Scunthorpe
0
1
L
25.04.26
Nat
Southend
Wealdstone
2
1
W
21.04.26
Nat
Southend
Hartlepool
3
4
L
18.04.26
Nat
Southend
FC Halifax Town
6
2
W
14.04.26
Nat
Southend
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Southend
Solihull Moors
0
0
D
06.04.26
Nat
Southend
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
03.04.26
Nat
Southend
Braintree
3
2
W
31.03.26
Nat
Southend
Yeovil Town
2
1
W
28.03.26
FA
Southend
Southport
3
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Southend
Woking
1
1
D
21.03.26
Nat
Southend
Altrincham
0
1
L
Last matches: Carlisle
15.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
1
1
D
08.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Worthing
2
3
L
01.08.26
Fri
Carlisle
Derby County U21
3
0
W
28.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Salford City
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
4
2
W
03.05.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
1
2
L
25.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Brackley Town
3
0
W
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Sutton Utd
3
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
03.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
0
0
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
21.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
6
2
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
25.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
1
3
L
21.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
3
0
W
H2H: Southend vs Carlisle
07.03.26
H2H
Carlisle
Southend
2
2
D
08.11.25
H2H
Southend
Carlisle
1
2
L
03.04.21
H2H
Southend
Carlisle
0
2
L
19.09.20
H2H
Carlisle
Southend
2
0
L
28.02.15
H2H
Southend
Carlisle
2
0
W
23.08.14
H2H
Carlisle
Southend
1
1
D
Last matches: Southend
15.08.26
Nat
Southend
Scunthorpe
1
0
W
01.08.26
Fri
Southend
Aveley
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Southend
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Southend
Northampton
1
3
L
18.07.26
Fri
Southend
West Ham
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Southend
Cambridge United
1
2
L
17.05.26
FA
Southend
Wealdstone
0
0
D
25.04.26
Nat
Southend
Wealdstone
2
1
W
11.04.26
Nat
Southend
Solihull Moors
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Southend
Braintree
3
2
W
31.03.26
Nat
Southend
Yeovil Town
2
1
W
25.03.26
Nat
Southend
Woking
1
1
D
17.03.26
Nat
Southend
Rochdale
3
2
W
14.03.26
Nat
Southend
Forest Green
2
0
W
10.03.26
Nat
Southend
Gateshead
1
1
D
03.03.26
Nat
Southend
Truro City
1
1
D
24.02.26
Nat
Southend
Boreham Wood
0
2
L
14.02.26
Nat
Southend
Morecambe
5
1
W
20.01.26
Nat
Southend
Eastleigh
4
1
W
30.12.25
Nat
Southend
Sutton Utd
1
0
W
H2H at home: Southend
08.11.25
H2H
Southend
Carlisle
1
2
L
03.04.21
H2H
Southend
Carlisle
0
2
L
28.02.15
H2H
Southend
Carlisle
2
0
W
Last matches: Carlisle
15.08.26
Nat
Carlisle
Yeovil Town
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Carlisle
Derby County U21
3
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Carlisle
Darlington 1883
4
2
W
18.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Truro City
1
0
W
06.04.26
Nat
Carlisle
Morecambe
2
2
D
28.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Braintree
2
1
W
24.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
FC Halifax Town
1
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Tamworth
1
2
L
10.03.26
Nat
Carlisle
Aldershot Town
2
0
W
28.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Eastleigh
2
1
W
25.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Hartlepool
1
3
L
14.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Forest Green
3
1
W
07.02.26
Nat
Carlisle
Rochdale
0
1
L
17.01.26
Nat
Carlisle
Solihull Moors
3
3
D
10.01.26
FA
Carlisle
Chatham Town
0
1
L
26.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Gateshead
3
0
W
21.12.25
Nat
Carlisle
Boreham Wood
0
2
L
13.12.25
FA
Carlisle
Harborough Town
2
1
W
07.12.25
FA
Carlisle
Blackpool
1
4
L
22.11.25
Nat
Carlisle
Boston United
2
1
W
H2H away: Carlisle
08.11.25
H2H
Southend
Carlisle
1
2
W
03.04.21
H2H
Southend
Carlisle
0
2
W
28.02.15
H2H
Southend
Carlisle
2
0
L
Standings
Conference: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 33 | 9 | 4 | 114:41 | 73 | 108 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 33 | 7 | 6 | 88:41 | 47 | 106 |
D
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 |
Carlisle
Away
|
46 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 87:51 | 36 | 95 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
| 4 | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 95:58 | 37 | 90 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 77:62 | 15 | 82 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Southend
Home
|
46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 83:47 | 36 | 81 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 7 | 46 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 82:52 | 30 | 81 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 69:66 | 3 | 70 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 54:59 | -5 | 68 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 69:54 | 15 | 63 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 63:71 | -8 | 62 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 63:67 | -4 | 59 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 55:65 | -10 | 57 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 71:72 | -1 | 56 |
W
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 67:74 | -7 | 56 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 15 | 6 | 25 | 48:68 | -20 | 51 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 57:80 | -23 | 50 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 14 | 8 | 24 | 54:90 | -36 | 50 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | 59:79 | -20 | 47 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 13 | 7 | 26 | 69:87 | -18 | 46 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 40:75 | -35 | 42 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 66:103 | -37 | 38 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 8 | 12 | 26 | 38:76 | -38 | 36 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 42:72 | -30 | 34 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation