Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.28
Atletico-MG1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo
WWDLW
23 GF / 20 GA
Atletico-MG
WLDWL
22 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.28
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
10
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
8
4.11
Shots on Goal
4.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
18 matches
Atletico-MG
18 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 7 |
| 4 | Draws | 3 |
| 7 | Losses | 8 |
| 23 | Goals For | 22 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 23 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1.11 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 11 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.11 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 11.83 | Total Shots | 13.56 |
| 6.56 | Corners | 4.89 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 48.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 2 times, Atletico-MG won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1 / Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 2, draws 6, Atletico-MG wins 7
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
Last matches: Atletico-MG
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
11.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
3
3
D
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
2
D
H2H: Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG
18.03.26
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
24.08.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
06.04.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
24.11.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
13.09.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
29.08.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
12.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
03.12.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
06.08.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
2
L
02.11.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
10.07.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
26.09.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
0
D
13.06.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
17.12.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
3
0
W
03.09.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
3
0
L
Last matches: Sao Paulo
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Sao Paulo
24.08.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
29.08.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
06.08.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
2
L
02.11.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
26.09.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
0
D
17.12.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
3
0
W
Last matches: Atletico-MG
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
H2H away: Atletico-MG
24.08.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
24.11.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
29.08.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
W
06.08.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
2
W
02.11.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
26.09.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
0
D
17.12.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
3
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 8 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
| 9 |
Atletico-MG
Away
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B