Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico-MG Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sao Paulo1.17
Atletico-MG1.25
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sao Paulo
WWDLW
27 GF / 27 GA
Atletico-MG
WLDWL
30 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.3
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.17
14
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
11
4.04
Shots on Goal
4.39
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sao Paulo
23 matches
Atletico-MG
23 matches
| Sao Paulo | Statistic | Atletico-MG |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 9 |
| 6 | Draws | 6 |
| 10 | Losses | 8 |
| 27 | Goals For | 30 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.17 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.04 | Shots On Goal | 4.39 |
| 12.74 | Total Shots | 13.26 |
| 6.22 | Corners | 4.96 |
| 55.1% | Ball Possession | 48.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sao Paulo won 2 times, Atletico-MG won 7 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Sao Paulo's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1 / Atletico-MG 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Sao Paulo wins 2, draws 6, Atletico-MG wins 7
Last matches: Sao Paulo
23.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
0
1
L
16.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
1
D
08.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
1
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
Last matches: Atletico-MG
22.08.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
0
0
D
16.08.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
3
0
W
08.08.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
2
2
D
26.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
1
W
21.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Bahia
1
1
D
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
3
1
W
10.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Flamengo
0
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
11.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
1
0
W
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
H2H: Sao Paulo vs Atletico-MG
18.03.26
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
24.08.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
06.04.25
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
24.11.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
13.09.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
29.08.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
12.07.24
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
03.12.23
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
2
1
L
06.08.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
2
L
02.11.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
10.07.22
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
0
0
D
26.09.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
0
D
13.06.21
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
17.12.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
3
0
W
03.09.20
H2H
Atletico-MG
Sao Paulo
3
0
L
Last matches: Sao Paulo
16.08.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
1
D
23.07.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H at home: Sao Paulo
24.08.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
24.11.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
29.08.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
06.08.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
2
L
02.11.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
26.09.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
0
D
17.12.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
3
0
W
Last matches: Atletico-MG
22.08.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Internacional
0
0
D
08.08.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Remo
2
2
D
26.07.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Palmeiras
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Corinthians
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Santos
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Chapecoense-sc
4
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
0
1
L
14.03.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Vitoria
0
2
L
26.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
Gremio
1
2
L
04.02.26
Ser
Atletico-MG
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
H2H away: Atletico-MG
24.08.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
0
L
24.11.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
29.08.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
W
06.08.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
2
W
02.11.22
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
2
2
D
26.09.21
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
0
D
17.12.20
H2H
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
3
0
L
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 44:20 | 24 | 51 |
W
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 37 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 28:23 | 5 | 35 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 34 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 9 |
Atletico-MG
Away
|
23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 26:24 | 2 | 32 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 23:35 | -12 | 29 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Sao Paulo
Home
|
23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 27 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 14 | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33:36 | -3 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 26:36 | -10 | 24 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 24:38 | -14 | 22 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 24:46 | -22 | 14 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B