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NETHERLANDS › EREDIVISIE
15.09.2026 18:00
Johan Cruijff Arena
Referee: Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
Ajax
Match Timeline
Willem II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
41'
D. Klaassen · Assist: K. Dolberg
Ajax
⚽
45'
J. Brandt · Assist: L. Rosa
Ajax
🔄
46'
P. van Loon ↔ A. Ciranni
Willem II
🔄
46'
T. Vilhena ↔ M. Lemmens
Willem II
🔄
57'
D. Klaassen ↔ S. Amrabat
Ajax
🔄
57'
S. Berghuis ↔ V. Tsygankov
Ajax
🔄
61'
H. ter Avest ↔ A. Et Taibi
Willem II
🔄
67'
O. Wijndal ↔ Caio Henrique
Ajax
🔄
67'
J. Brandt ↔ A. Ouazane
Ajax
⚽
69'
V. Tsygankov · Assist: O. Gloukh
Ajax
🔄
70'
J. Slory ↔ C. Obi
Willem II
⚽
74'
O. Gloukh · Assist: K. Dolberg
Ajax
⚽
76'
A. Ciranni · Assist: U. van Aalst
Willem II
🔄
77'
T. Kehrer ↔ D. Janse
Ajax
🔄
84'
M. Dekker ↔ E. Gurbuz
Willem II
⚽
87'
K. Dolberg
Ajax

Ajax vs Willem II Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 51.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 88%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
51.4%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
88%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 51.4%
Draw 10.9%
Willem II Win 37.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax2.37
Willem II1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax Ajax
WWDLW
51 GF / 25 GA
Willem II Willem II
WLDWL
11 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
2.55
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
2.11
14
BTTS Yes
7
15
Over 2.5
7
8.82
Shots on Goal
2.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ajax Ajax 20 matches
Willem II Willem II 9 matches
Ajax Statistic Willem II
13 Wins 2
4 Draws 3
3 Losses 4
51 Goals For 11
25 Goals Against 19
2.55 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
1.25 Avg Goals Conceded 2.11
14 BTTS Yes 7
17 Over 1.5 8
15 Over 2.5 7
14 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 1
8.82 Shots On Goal 2.4
22.91 Total Shots 11.6
8 Corners 4.2
63.5% Ball Possession 38.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 12 times, Willem II won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:9 from Ajax's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (89.1%)
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / Willem II 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Ajax 3, Willem II 5
H2H summary: Ajax wins 12, draws 1, Willem II wins 1

Standings

Eredivisie
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 6 2 0 27:7 20 20
W W W W D
2 8 6 1 1 26:10 16 19
W L W W W
3 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
L W D W W
4 8 5 2 1 16:8 8 17
D W W W D
5
Ajax Home
8 4 3 1 22:10 12 15
D D W W L
6 8 4 2 2 20:14 6 14
W W D D L
7 8 4 2 2 14:15 -1 14
D W L W W
8 8 2 5 1 19:17 2 11
D D D D L
9 8 3 2 3 16:14 2 11
L D L D W
10 8 2 3 3 11:11 0 9
L W D L D
11 8 2 3 3 13:14 -1 9
D D L D L
12 8 2 2 4 11:19 -8 8
W D W D L
13 8 2 2 4 14:25 -11 8
W L W D L
14 8 1 3 4 13:20 -7 6
D L L D L
15 8 1 3 4 7:14 -7 6
D L D L D
16 8 1 1 6 6:21 -15 4
L L L D L
17 8 0 3 5 9:19 -10 3
D D L L D
18 8 0 2 6 7:23 -16 2
L L L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie