Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Ajax Win 0%
Draw 0%
Willem II Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ajax2.15
Willem II1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ajax
WWDLW
32 GF / 16 GA
Willem II
WLDWL
8 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
2.13
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
2.17
10
BTTS Yes
5
10
Over 2.5
5
8.17
Shots on Goal
1.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ajax
15 matches
Willem II
6 matches
| Ajax | Statistic | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Draws | 1 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 32 | Goals For | 8 |
| 16 | Goals Against | 13 |
| 2.13 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.07 | Avg Goals Conceded | 2.17 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 8.17 | Shots On Goal | 1.5 |
| 24.17 | Total Shots | 11 |
| 10 | Corners | 1.5 |
| 67.2% | Ball Possession | 31.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Ajax won 12 times, Willem II won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 37:9 from Ajax's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Ajax 4-3-3 / Willem II 4-4-1-1
H2H summary: Ajax wins 12, draws 1, Willem II wins 1
Last matches: Ajax
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
13.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
2
2
D
09.08.26
Ere
Ajax
PEC Zwolle
2
0
W
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
02.08.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
23.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
25.04.26
Ere
Ajax
NAC Breda
2
0
W
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Heracles
3
0
W
Last matches: Willem II
15.08.26
Ere
Willem II
NEC Nijmegen
1
4
L
08.08.26
Ere
Willem II
GO Ahead Eagles
1
4
L
01.08.26
Fri
Willem II
OFI
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Willem II
KV Mechelen
1
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Willem II
FC Eindhoven
2
2
D
04.07.26
Fri
Willem II
Quick Boys
1
2
L
23.05.26
Eer
Willem II
FC Volendam
2
1
W
20.05.26
Eer
Willem II
FC Volendam
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Almere City FC
2
0
W
13.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Almere City FC
1
0
W
09.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
1
D
05.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
0
W
05.05.26
Ere
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
0
W
24.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Dordrecht
2
1
W
17.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong AZ
3
0
W
12.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Almere City FC
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Roda
1
0
W
03.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong PSV U21
1
0
W
28.03.26
Eer
Willem II
De Graafschap
0
2
L
22.03.26
Eer
Willem II
MVV
5
0
W
H2H: Ajax vs Willem II
13.04.25
H2H
Willem II
Ajax
1
2
W
27.10.24
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
1
0
W
19.02.22
H2H
Willem II
Ajax
0
1
W
02.12.21
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
5
0
W
28.01.21
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
3
1
W
23.12.20
H2H
Willem II
Ajax
1
1
D
26.04.20
H2H
Willem II
Ajax
0
0
D
06.12.19
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
0
2
L
05.05.19
H2H
Willem II
Ajax
0
4
W
06.04.19
H2H
Willem II
Ajax
1
4
W
03.11.18
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
2
0
W
24.12.17
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
3
1
W
28.10.17
H2H
Willem II
Ajax
1
3
W
14.05.17
H2H
Willem II
Ajax
1
3
W
21.09.16
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
5
0
W
Last matches: Ajax
16.08.26
Ere
Ajax
Heerenveen
2
2
D
06.08.26
UEF
Ajax
Shelbourne
3
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Ajax
Vojvodina
4
1
W
26.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Burnley
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Ajax
VfL Bochum
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Ajax
AEK Larnaca
1
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Ajax
Panathinaikos
1
3
L
24.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
1
D
21.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Groningen
2
0
W
10.05.26
Ere
Ajax
Utrecht
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ere
Ajax
PSV Eindhoven
2
2
D
16.04.26
Fri
Ajax
Twente
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ere
Ajax
Twente
1
2
L
25.03.26
Fri
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
2
D
14.03.26
Ere
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
4
0
W
21.02.26
Ere
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
1
1
D
14.02.26
Ere
Ajax
Fortuna Sittard
4
1
W
28.01.26
UEF
Ajax
Olympiakos Piraeus
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ere
Ajax
FC Volendam
2
0
W
H2H at home: Ajax
27.10.24
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
1
0
W
02.12.21
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
5
0
W
28.01.21
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
3
1
W
06.12.19
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
0
2
L
03.11.18
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
2
0
W
24.12.17
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
3
1
W
21.09.16
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
5
0
W
Last matches: Willem II
08.08.26
Ere
Willem II
GO Ahead Eagles
1
4
L
23.05.26
Eer
Willem II
FC Volendam
2
1
W
13.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Almere City FC
1
0
W
05.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
0
W
05.05.26
Ere
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
0
W
24.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Dordrecht
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Roda
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eer
Willem II
MVV
5
0
W
13.03.26
Eer
Willem II
FC OSS
3
1
W
27.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Emmen
3
0
W
16.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong Utrecht
1
1
D
02.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong Ajax
1
2
L
18.01.26
Eer
Willem II
FC Eindhoven
2
0
W
21.12.25
Eer
Willem II
Helmond Sport
2
2
D
28.11.25
Eer
Willem II
Den Bosch
1
2
L
21.11.25
Eer
Willem II
VVV Venlo
2
0
W
03.11.25
Eer
Willem II
Jong PSV U21
1
2
L
20.10.25
Eer
Willem II
Jong AZ
0
4
L
17.10.25
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
3
2
W
27.09.25
Eer
Willem II
Vitesse
2
1
W
H2H away: Willem II
27.10.24
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
1
0
L
02.12.21
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
5
0
L
28.01.21
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
3
1
L
06.12.19
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
0
2
W
03.11.18
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
2
0
L
24.12.17
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
3
1
L
21.09.16
H2H
Ajax
Willem II
5
0
L
Standings
Eredivisie
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Ajax
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Willem II
Away
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie