Alaves
Match Timeline
Valencia
Alaves vs Valencia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
1 agree /
0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.2%
|
1.78 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.16 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.8%
|
1.21 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.00 |
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 69.2%
Draw 3.5%
Valencia Win 27.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.8
Valencia0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves
WWDLW
17 GF / 7 GA
Valencia
WLDWL
10 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
7
5.6
Shots on Goal
2.2
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alaves
9 matches
Valencia
12 matches
| Alaves | Statistic | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 1 | Losses | 8 |
| 17 | Goals For | 10 |
| 7 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.83 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 5.6 | Shots On Goal | 2.2 |
| 14 | Total Shots | 8.4 |
| 5.4 | Corners | 3.8 |
| 44.2% | Ball Possession | 44.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 5 times, Valencia won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:20 from Alaves's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Alaves 3-5-2 / Valencia 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Alaves 3, Valencia 7
H2H summary: Alaves wins 5, draws 5, Valencia wins 5
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31:7 | 24 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9:7 | 2 | 16 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18:8 | 10 | 15 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 13 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 6 |
Alaves
Home
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 10 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 8 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 8 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 7 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11:21 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:17 | -6 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 |
Valencia
Away
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
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