Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 0%
Draw 0%
Valencia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.5
Valencia0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves
WWDLW
10 GF / 3 GA
Valencia
WLDWL
9 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
5
5.5
Shots on Goal
2.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alaves
6 matches
Valencia
8 matches
| Alaves | Statistic | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 2 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 4 |
| 10 | Goals For | 9 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.13 |
| 0.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 2.5 |
| 16.5 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 6 | Corners | 4.5 |
| 52% | Ball Possession | 43% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 5 times, Valencia won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:20 from Alaves's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Alaves 5-3-2 / Valencia 5-4-1
H2H summary: Alaves wins 5, draws 5, Valencia wins 5
Last matches: Alaves
20.08.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
15.08.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
3
0
W
07.08.26
Fri
Alaves
Racing Santander
1
1
D
31.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Castellón
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Girona
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Eibar
1
1
D
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
17.05.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
0
W
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
09.05.26
La
Alaves
Elche
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
21.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
22.03.26
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
08.03.26
La
Alaves
Valencia
2
3
L
27.02.26
La
Alaves
Levante
0
2
L
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
Last matches: Valencia
25.08.26
La
Valencia
Real Betis
0
1
L
22.08.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
0
0
D
08.08.26
Fri
Valencia
Newcastle
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Valencia
Stoke City
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Derby
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Castellón
1
2
L
22.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Eldense
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Petro de Luanda
1
3
L
23.05.26
La
Valencia
Barcelona
3
1
W
17.05.26
La
Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
W
14.05.26
La
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
10.05.26
La
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
0
2
L
25.04.26
La
Valencia
Girona
2
1
W
21.04.26
La
Valencia
Mallorca
1
1
D
11.04.26
La
Valencia
Elche
0
1
L
05.04.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
2
3
L
21.03.26
La
Valencia
Sevilla
2
0
W
14.03.26
La
Valencia
Oviedo
0
1
L
08.03.26
La
Valencia
Alaves
3
2
W
H2H: Alaves vs Valencia
08.03.26
H2H
Valencia
Alaves
3
2
L
20.10.25
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
0
0
D
14.05.25
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
1
0
W
22.12.24
H2H
Valencia
Alaves
2
2
D
24.07.24
H2H
Valencia
Alaves
0
1
W
05.05.24
H2H
Valencia
Alaves
0
1
W
02.09.23
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
1
0
W
29.07.23
H2H
Valencia
Alaves
2
0
L
13.02.22
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
2
1
W
27.08.21
H2H
Valencia
Alaves
3
0
L
24.04.21
H2H
Valencia
Alaves
1
1
D
22.11.20
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
2
2
D
06.03.20
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
1
1
D
05.10.19
H2H
Valencia
Alaves
2
1
L
12.05.19
H2H
Valencia
Alaves
3
1
L
Last matches: Alaves
15.08.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
3
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Castellón
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Eibar
1
1
D
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Alaves
Real Sociedad
2
3
L
25.01.26
La
Alaves
Real Betis
2
1
W
14.01.26
Cop
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
1
D
17.12.25
Cop
Alaves
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.12.25
La
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
06.12.25
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
1
0
W
22.11.25
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
02.11.25
La
Alaves
Espanyol
2
1
W
H2H at home: Alaves
20.10.25
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
0
0
D
14.05.25
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
1
0
W
02.09.23
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
1
0
W
13.02.22
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
2
1
W
22.11.20
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
2
2
D
06.03.20
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
1
1
D
Last matches: Valencia
01.08.26
Fri
Valencia
Stoke City
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Derby
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Valencia
Petro de Luanda
1
3
L
17.05.26
La
Valencia
Real Sociedad
4
3
W
10.05.26
La
Valencia
Athletic Club
1
0
W
21.04.26
La
Valencia
Mallorca
1
1
D
11.04.26
La
Valencia
Elche
0
1
L
21.03.26
La
Valencia
Sevilla
2
0
W
14.03.26
La
Valencia
Oviedo
0
1
L
22.02.26
La
Valencia
Villarreal
1
2
L
15.02.26
La
Valencia
Levante
2
0
W
01.02.26
La
Valencia
Real Betis
1
2
L
18.01.26
La
Valencia
Getafe
1
0
W
15.01.26
Cop
Valencia
Burgos
2
0
W
03.01.26
La
Valencia
Celta Vigo
1
4
L
16.12.25
Cop
Valencia
Sporting Gijon
2
0
W
13.12.25
La
Valencia
Atletico Madrid
1
2
L
04.12.25
Cop
Valencia
FC Cartagena
2
1
W
01.12.25
La
Valencia
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
01.11.25
La
Valencia
Real Madrid
0
4
L
H2H away: Valencia
20.10.25
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
0
0
D
14.05.25
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
1
0
L
02.09.23
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
1
0
L
13.02.22
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
2
1
L
22.11.20
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
2
2
D
06.03.20
H2H
Alaves
Valencia
1
1
D
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Alaves
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 15 |
Valencia
Away
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:6 | -5 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 20 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
L
L
|
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