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SPAIN › LA LIGA
15.09.2026 18:00
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Referee: M. Sesma
Alaves
Match Timeline
Valencia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
18'
Arnaut Danjuma
Valencia
🟨
21'
Antonio Blanco
Alaves
🟨
21'
Javier Guerra
Valencia
🟨
45+2'
Pepelu
Valencia
🟨
52'
Aaron Mayol
Valencia
🟨
61'
Guido Rodríguez
Valencia
🔄
63'
H. Duro ↔ L. Rioja
Valencia
🔄
67'
D. Suarez ↔ Yusi
Alaves
🔄
67'
T. Martinez ↔ M. Diaz
Alaves
🔄
70'
G. Rodriguez ↔ D. Otorbi
Valencia
⚽
78'
L. Rioja · Assist: J. Guerra
Valencia
🔄
82'
↔ J. Vazquez
Valencia
🔄
82'
P. Maffeo ↔ A. Martinez
Valencia
🔄
82'
J. De Haas ↔ I. Cordoba
Valencia
🔄
85'
A. Perez ↔ C. Alena
Alaves
🔄
85'
A. Blanco ↔ A. Guevara
Alaves
🔄
85'
A. Rebbach ↔ M. Rodriguez
Alaves

Alaves vs Valencia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.8%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 69.2%
Draw 3.5%
Valencia Win 27.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.8
Valencia0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves Alaves
WWDLW
17 GF / 7 GA
Valencia Valencia
WLDWL
10 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
0.83
0.78
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
5
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
7
5.6
Shots on Goal
2.2

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alaves Alaves 9 matches
Valencia Valencia 12 matches
Alaves Statistic Valencia
5 Wins 2
3 Draws 2
1 Losses 8
17 Goals For 10
7 Goals Against 20
1.89 Avg Goals Scored 0.83
0.78 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
5 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 5
5.6 Shots On Goal 2.2
14 Total Shots 8.4
5.4 Corners 3.8
44.2% Ball Possession 44.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 5 times, Valencia won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:20 from Alaves's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.5%)
Predicted formations: Alaves 3-5-2 / Valencia 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Alaves 3, Valencia 7
H2H summary: Alaves wins 5, draws 5, Valencia wins 5

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 34:7 27 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W W W W L
3 8 6 1 1 14:9 5 19
W D W W W
4 8 6 0 2 19:8 11 18
W L W W L
5 8 4 2 2 13:12 1 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 1 3 12:15 -3 13
W W L W D
7 8 3 2 3 12:8 4 11
L D L L W
8 8 2 4 2 12:11 1 10
L D L D W
9 8 1 5 2 8:6 2 8
D W D D D
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W
11 8 2 2 4 13:13 0 8
L W W L L
12 8 2 2 4 11:11 0 8
D L L W D
13 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W
14 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
15 8 2 2 4 13:23 -10 8
D L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 8:18 -10 8
L D L L L
17 7 1 3 3 11:15 -4 6
D L L D W
18 8 1 3 4 11:17 -6 6
D W L D L
19 8 1 2 5 6:15 -9 5
D L W L L
20 8 0 4 4 4:13 -9 4
D L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2