Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
95.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Santos
21 matches
Atletico Paranaense
23 matches
| Santos | Statistic | Atletico Paranaense |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 32 | Goals For | 29 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 22 |
| 1.52 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.26 |
| 1.57 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 15 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.8 | Shots On Goal | 4.52 |
| 12.75 | Total Shots | 11.9 |
| 5.35 | Corners | 4.81 |
| 49.3% | Ball Possession | 47.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Atletico Paranaense's more proactive style and Santos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Paranaense. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atletico Paranaense look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Santos expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Atletico Paranaense in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Atletico Paranaense having the stronger overall control. Atletico Paranaense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 37 points while Santos sit 15 on 22, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Santos sit 15 with 22 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 29:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gabriel Barbosa (7 goals), Neymar (6 goals), Álvaro Barreal (4 goals), with creative support from Gabriel Barbosa (2 assists), Neymar (2 assists), Miguelito (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 5 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 3 place with 37 points from 21 games, Atletico Paranaense bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 11 wins, 4 draws, and 6 defeats plus a goal balance of 28:19, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by Kevin Viveros (12 goals), Steven Mendoza (4 goals), Julimar (3 goals), with creative support from Gastón Benavídez (5 assists), Lucas Esquivel (3 assists), João Cruz (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Santos won 5 times, Atletico Paranaense won 7 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:17 from Santos's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.
Santos
2
4
10
1
10
3
Lineups
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
Botafogo
Santos
União São João
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Gremio
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Palmeiras
Santos
Bahia
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Flamengo
Santos
Remo
Santos
Cruzeiro
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Mirassol
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
Flamengo
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
Vitoria
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Botafogo
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Santos
Chapecoense-sc
Santos
União São João
Santos
Vitoria
Santos
Coritiba
Santos
RB Bragantino
Santos
Fluminense
Santos
Atletico-MG
Santos
Remo
Santos
Internacional
Santos
Corinthians
Santos
Vasco DA Gama
Santos
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
Corinthians
Atletico Paranaense
Sao Paulo
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Boca Juniors
Atletico Paranaense
Remo
Atletico Paranaense
Vasco DA Gama
Atletico Paranaense
Palmeiras
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico-MG
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
RB Bragantino
Atletico Paranaense
Internacional
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 45:21 | 24 | 45 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 |
Atletico Paranaense
Away
|
23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 36:29 | 7 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 34:33 | 1 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Santos
Home
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 5 | 10 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 25 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28:39 | -11 | 23 |
L
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|