SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
15.09.2026 18:45
Easter Road

Hibernian vs Kilmarnock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds 5.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.75
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds 1.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.5%
5.30
BTTS Yes
86%
1.75
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
1.72
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
70.3%
1.38
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
10.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Hibernian Win 42.9%
Draw 3.6%
Kilmarnock Win 53.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hibernian1.86
Kilmarnock1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hibernian Hibernian
WWDLW
22 GF / 19 GA
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
WLDWL
11 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.57
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
2.29
10
BTTS Yes
3
10
Over 2.5
5
3.27
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hibernian Hibernian 14 matches
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 7 matches
Hibernian Statistic Kilmarnock
6 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
6 Losses 4
22 Goals For 11
19 Goals Against 16
1.57 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 2.29
10 BTTS Yes 3
11 Over 1.5 5
10 Over 2.5 5
4 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
3.27 Shots On Goal 4
8.73 Total Shots 10.6
4.18 Corners 5
39.1% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Hibernian won 9 times, Kilmarnock won 1 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:10 from Hibernian's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Hibernian 4-1-4-1 / Kilmarnock 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Hibernian wins 9, draws 5, Kilmarnock wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 6 0 0 14:3 11 18
W W W W W
2 6 4 1 1 7:4 3 13
W W W W L
3 5 4 0 1 12:5 7 12
W W W W L
4 6 3 1 2 8:6 2 10
L L W D W
5 5 2 2 1 8:5 3 8
L W D D W
6 6 2 1 3 7:6 1 7
L D L W W
7 6 2 1 3 8:9 -1 7
L W D L L
8 5 2 0 3 7:9 -2 6
L L W W L
9 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D L W L L
10 5 1 1 3 2:7 -5 4
D L L L W
11 5 0 2 3 3:7 -4 2
D L L D L
12 5 0 1 4 4:14 -10 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)