Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
50.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
61.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
79.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 50.2%
Draw 17.2%
Aberdeen Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.65
Aberdeen1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell
WWDLW
13 GF / 10 GA
Aberdeen
WLDWL
8 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.63
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
3
BTTS Yes
2
4
Over 2.5
2
2
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Motherwell
8 matches
Aberdeen
6 matches
| Motherwell | Statistic | Aberdeen |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 0 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 13 | Goals For | 8 |
| 10 | Goals Against | 10 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.33 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 7 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 2 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 3.33 | Total Shots | 10 |
| 1.67 | Corners | 4 |
| 34.7% | Ball Possession | 52% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 5 times, Aberdeen won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:25 from Motherwell's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.8%)
Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-3-1 / Aberdeen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 5, draws 2, Aberdeen wins 8
Last matches: Motherwell
13.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
06.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
1
W
30.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
3
0
W
23.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Genk
3
4
L
05.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Aarhus
0
4
L
16.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
1
0
W
13.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
3
2
W
11.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
3
L
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
1
3
L
07.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
21.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
5
0
W
Last matches: Aberdeen
08.08.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee
0
2
L
01.08.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Aberdeen
Linfield
2
0
W
07.07.26
Fri
Aberdeen
Ross County
3
6
L
04.07.26
Fri
Aberdeen
Twente
0
1
L
27.06.26
Fri
Aberdeen
Cove Rangers
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee
2
3
L
12.05.26
Pre
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
0
2
L
09.05.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
01.05.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Livingston
2
2
D
25.04.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
1
0
W
11.04.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Hibernian
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pre
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Rangers
1
4
L
14.03.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Falkirk
1
1
D
04.03.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Celtic
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
24.02.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee
2
3
L
15.02.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Motherwell
0
2
L
H2H: Motherwell vs Aberdeen
18.02.26
H2H
Aberdeen
Motherwell
2
0
L
15.02.26
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
Aberdeen
Motherwell
1
1
D
27.09.25
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
20.09.25
H2H
Aberdeen
Motherwell
0
1
W
29.03.25
H2H
Aberdeen
Motherwell
4
1
L
05.01.25
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
14.09.24
H2H
Aberdeen
Motherwell
2
1
L
27.04.24
H2H
Aberdeen
Motherwell
1
0
L
16.03.24
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
0
1
L
14.02.24
H2H
Aberdeen
Motherwell
3
3
D
01.11.23
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
4
L
04.02.23
H2H
Aberdeen
Motherwell
3
1
L
22.10.22
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
1
2
L
13.08.22
H2H
Aberdeen
Motherwell
2
3
W
Last matches: Motherwell
13.08.26
UEF
Motherwell
HJK Helsinki
2
0
W
09.08.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
0
0
D
23.07.26
UEF
Motherwell
HB Torshavn
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Motherwell
Genk
3
4
L
13.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
3
L
09.05.26
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
2
3
L
21.03.26
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
15.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
11.02.26
Pre
Motherwell
Rangers
1
1
D
24.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
Kilmarnock
4
0
W
03.01.26
Pre
Motherwell
ST Mirren
2
0
W
30.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Celtic
2
0
W
20.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee
1
0
W
06.12.25
Pre
Motherwell
Livingston
3
0
W
29.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Heart Of Midlothian
0
0
D
25.11.25
Pre
Motherwell
Hibernian
2
0
W
29.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Dundee Utd
2
0
W
18.10.25
Pre
Motherwell
Falkirk
1
2
L
H2H at home: Motherwell
15.02.26
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
27.09.25
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
05.01.25
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
W
16.03.24
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
0
1
L
01.11.23
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
4
L
22.10.22
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
1
2
L
Last matches: Aberdeen
08.08.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee
0
2
L
11.07.26
Fri
Aberdeen
Linfield
2
0
W
04.07.26
Fri
Aberdeen
Twente
0
1
L
27.06.26
Fri
Aberdeen
Cove Rangers
1
0
W
17.05.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee
2
3
L
01.05.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Livingston
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pre
Aberdeen
ST Mirren
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Rangers
1
4
L
28.02.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Heart Of Midlothian
0
1
L
24.02.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee Utd
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Motherwell
0
2
L
31.01.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Kilmarnock
0
3
L
06.01.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Rangers
0
2
L
03.01.26
Pre
Aberdeen
Falkirk
0
1
L
30.12.25
Pre
Aberdeen
Hibernian
0
2
L
21.12.25
Pre
Aberdeen
Celtic
1
3
L
18.12.25
UEF
Aberdeen
Sparta Praha
0
3
L
06.12.25
Pre
Aberdeen
Dundee
3
1
W
30.11.25
Pre
Aberdeen
Livingston
1
0
W
06.11.25
UEF
Aberdeen
AEK Larnaca
0
0
D
H2H away: Aberdeen
15.02.26
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
L
27.09.25
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
L
05.01.25
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
0
L
16.03.24
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
0
1
W
01.11.23
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
2
4
W
22.10.22
H2H
Motherwell
Aberdeen
1
2
W
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Motherwell
Home
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
D
W
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
Aberdeen
Away
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
L
W
|
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:9 | -5 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)