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15.09.2026 18:45
Fir Park
Referee: S. McLean
Motherwell
Match Timeline
Aberdeen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Lewis Mayo
Aberdeen
⚽
38'
G. Molloy
Aberdeen
🟨
40'
Tom Sparrow
Motherwell
🔄
46'
L. Mayo ↔ J. Milne
Aberdeen
⚽
46'
C. Ronan · Assist: K. Nisbet
Aberdeen
🟨
53'
Emmanuel Longelo
Motherwell
🔄
53'
J. Kanga ↔ I. Said
Motherwell
🔄
53'
T. Maswanhise ↔ S. Palmer-Houlden
Motherwell
🟨
63'
Aremu Afeez
Aberdeen
🔄
65'
A. Aremu ↔ A. Briedl
Aberdeen
🔄
68'
J. Hodge ↔ D. Levitt
Motherwell
🔄
68'
R. Charles-Cook ↔ W. Vogt
Motherwell
🔄
72'
F. Marshall ↔ S. Armstrong
Aberdeen
🔄
72'
T. Olusanya ↔ A. Mouloua
Aberdeen
🔄
75'
A. Lowry ↔ E. Bjorgolfsson
Motherwell
🟨
76'
Ayoub Mouloua
Aberdeen
⚽
76'
A. Mouloua · Assist: C. Ronan
Aberdeen
🔄
79'
M. Knoester ↔ D. Happe
Aberdeen
⚽
87'
K. Nisbet · Assist: M. Muller
Aberdeen

Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
79.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 50.2%
Draw 17.2%
Aberdeen Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.6
Aberdeen1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell Motherwell
L W D L L
8 GF / 11 GA
Aberdeen Aberdeen
D L L L W
2 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
6
BTTS Yes
2
8
Over 2.5
3
2.91
Shots on Goal
2.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motherwell Motherwell 13 matches
Aberdeen Aberdeen 9 matches
Motherwell Statistic Aberdeen
5 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
5 Losses 5
21 Goals For 8
21 Goals Against 14
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
6 BTTS Yes 2
11 Over 1.5 5
8 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 5
2.91 Shots On Goal 2.4
7.36 Total Shots 9.8
3.09 Corners 5
42.1% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 5 times, Aberdeen won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:25 from Motherwell's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.8%)
Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-2-2 / Aberdeen 5-3-2
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 5, draws 2, Aberdeen wins 8

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 9 1 2 27:10 17 28
L D W W W
2 12 8 3 1 21:9 12 27
W D W D W
3 11 6 2 3 24:17 7 20
D W L W D
4 12 5 3 4 15:12 3 18
W W W W L
5 12 5 2 5 18:15 3 17
L W L D W
6 12 4 5 3 17:17 0 17
D D W D W
7 13 4 5 4 17:20 -3 17
W D D L D
8 13 4 2 7 12:22 -10 14
L L D W L
9 13 3 4 6 15:21 -6 13
D W D L L
10 12 3 2 7 15:17 -2 11
W D L L L
11 12 3 2 7 12:18 -6 11
L L L W L
12 12 2 3 7 13:28 -15 9
D L L W L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)