SCOTLAND PREMIERSHIP
15.09.2026 18:45
Fir Park

Motherwell vs Aberdeen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 50.2%
Odds 2.07
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.82
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
50.2%
2.07
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.82
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
79.4%
1.38
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Motherwell Win 50.2%
Draw 17.2%
Aberdeen Win 32.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Motherwell1.6
Aberdeen1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Motherwell Motherwell
WWDLW
21 GF / 21 GA
Aberdeen Aberdeen
WLDWL
8 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.62
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
6
BTTS Yes
2
8
Over 2.5
3
2.91
Shots on Goal
2.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Motherwell Motherwell 13 matches
Aberdeen Aberdeen 9 matches
Motherwell Statistic Aberdeen
5 Wins 3
3 Draws 1
5 Losses 5
21 Goals For 8
21 Goals Against 14
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.62 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
6 BTTS Yes 2
11 Over 1.5 5
8 Over 2.5 3
5 Over 3.5 1
5 Clean Sheets 3
3 Failed To Score 5
2.91 Shots On Goal 2.6
7.36 Total Shots 10
3.09 Corners 5
42.1% Ball Possession 47.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Motherwell won 5 times, Aberdeen won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:25 from Motherwell's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.8%)
Predicted formations: Motherwell 4-2-3-1 / Aberdeen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Motherwell wins 5, draws 2, Aberdeen wins 8

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 5 0 0 13:3 10 15
W W W W W
2 5 4 0 1 12:5 7 12
W W W W L
3 5 3 1 1 8:5 3 10
L W D W W
4 5 3 1 1 6:4 2 10
W W W L D
5 5 2 2 1 8:5 3 8
L W D D W
6 6 2 1 3 7:6 1 7
L D L W W
7 5 2 1 2 8:8 0 7
W D L L W
8 5 2 0 3 7:9 -2 6
L L W W L
9 6 1 2 3 6:11 -5 5
D L W L L
10 5 1 1 3 2:7 -5 4
D L L L W
11 5 0 2 3 3:7 -4 2
D L L D L
12 5 0 1 4 4:14 -10 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Premiership (Championship Group)
Premiership (Relegation Group)