BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Mangueirão
Referee: Daiane Caroline Muniz Dos Santos, Brazil
Remo
Match Timeline
Coritiba
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
47'
Ze Welison
Coritiba
🔄
53'
Jacy ↔ Rodrigo Moledo
Coritiba
🟨
56'
Tiago Coser
Coritiba
🔄
59'
Tissi ↔ Vini Paulista
Coritiba
🔄
59'
Fernando Sobral ↔ Felipe Jonatan
Coritiba
61'
Ze Ricardo · Assist: D. Tchamba
Remo
64'
Yago Pikachu · Assist: Yago Pikachu
Remo
64'
Yago Pikachu
Remo
🟨
66'
Gabriel Taliari
Remo
🔄
70'
Breno Lopes ↔ Fabinho
Coritiba
🔄
70'
J. Lavega ↔ Paulo Roberto
Coritiba
76'
Fabinho · Assist: Paulo Roberto
Coritiba
🟨
78'
Ze Welison
Remo
🔄
79'
Yago Pikachu ↔ Alef Manga
Remo
🔄
79'
Ze Welison ↔ Vitor Bueno
Remo
🔄
84'
L. Picco ↔ David Braga
Remo
90+3'
Pedro Rocha · Assist: S. Gomez
Coritiba
🔄
90+5'
A. Galeano ↔ Gabriel Poveda
Remo
🟨
90+7'
Marllon
Remo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.6%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.04
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.6%
1.33
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.80
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.04
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
72.3%
1.42
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00
Probability Distribution
Remo Win 48%
Draw 5.4%
Coritiba Win 46.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Remo1.22
Coritiba1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Remo Remo
WWDLW
28 GF / 39 GA
Coritiba Coritiba
WLDWL
30 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.63
Average Goals Conceded
1.29
14
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
11
3.75
Shots on Goal
3.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Remo Remo 24 matches
Coritiba Coritiba 24 matches
Remo Statistic Coritiba
5 Wins 9
8 Draws 7
11 Losses 8
28 Goals For 30
39 Goals Against 31
1.17 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Avg Goals Conceded 1.29
14 BTTS Yes 12
20 Over 1.5 17
12 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 7
3.75 Shots On Goal 3.25
11.67 Total Shots 10.79
4.33 Corners 3.46
42.5% Ball Possession 39.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Coritiba carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 10 with 31 points while Remo sit 18 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Coritiba.

Remo Analysis

Remo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 23 points from 24 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 28:39, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jajá (7 goals), Alef Manga (5 goals), Gabriel Taliari (4 goals), with creative support from Alef Manga (3 assists), Vitor Bueno (3 assists), Patrick de Paula (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Coritiba Analysis

Coritiba are currently 10 in the standings with 31 points from 23 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 28:30 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Breno Lopes (8 goals), Joaquín Lavega (5 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (8 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Remo won 1 times, Coritiba won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Remo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Remo 4-2-3-1 / Coritiba 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Remo 3, Coritiba 5
H2H summary: Remo wins 1, draws 2, Coritiba wins 2

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 25 15 7 3 45:21 24 52
D W L D W
2 24 14 6 4 48:21 27 48
W L W W D
3 25 13 6 6 37:25 12 45
D W D W D
4 25 11 9 5 39:32 7 42
D W W D D
5 25 10 10 5 37:30 7 40
W W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 35:36 -1 39
L W W W W
7 24 10 6 8 32:28 4 36
W D W D W
8 24 10 5 9 29:25 4 35
L W D L D
9 24 9 7 8 30:31 -1 34
W D W L D
10 25 8 8 9 26:25 1 32
L L L W D
11 24 8 6 10 29:28 1 30
W L D L D
12 24 8 6 10 37:40 -3 30
L L L D W
13 25 8 5 12 24:37 -13 29
L L W L L
14 24 7 8 9 34:36 -2 29
W D W L D
15 24 7 7 10 27:32 -5 28
W L L W D
16 24 6 7 11 27:37 -10 25
D D L L W
17 24 6 7 11 27:39 -12 25
W L L D D
18 25 5 10 10 26:31 -5 25
L D D D D
19
Remo Home
24 5 8 11 28:39 -11 23
L D D L W
20 24 2 8 14 25:49 -24 14
L W D L D
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B