MACEDONIA FIRST LEAGUE
19.09.2026 15:00

Struga vs Aresimi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.8%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.8%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 3-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Struga Win 84.8%
Draw 4.2%
Aresimi Win 11%
Expected Goals (xG)
Struga1.96
Aresimi1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Struga Struga
WWDLW
31 GF / 17 GA
Aresimi Aresimi
WLDWL
18 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.72
Average Goals Scored
1.13
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
2.31
9
BTTS Yes
7
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Struga Struga 18 matches
Aresimi Aresimi 16 matches
Struga Statistic Aresimi
7 Wins 5
7 Draws 3
4 Losses 8
31 Goals For 18
17 Goals Against 37
1.72 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 2.31
9 BTTS Yes 7
14 Over 1.5 13
9 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 5
2 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Struga's more proactive style and Aresimi's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Aresimi. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Aresimi having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Struga arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 14 points compared to Aresimi in 6 on 8, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Struga Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 14 points from 7 games, Struga bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:5, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Aresimi Analysis

So far, Aresimi have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 8 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 6:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Struga won 3 times, Aresimi won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:2 from Struga's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
H2H summary: Struga wins 3, draws 0, Aresimi wins 1

Standings

First League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 5 1 1 16:7 9 16
D L W W W
2 7 4 2 1 13:5 8 14
D W W L W
3 7 3 3 1 17:7 10 12
D W D D L
4 6 3 1 2 9:5 4 10
W D W L L
5 6 3 1 2 5:7 -2 10
W W L W D
6 7 2 2 3 6:13 -7 8
D L D W W
7 6 2 1 3 11:8 3 7
L L L W D
8 6 2 0 4 8:11 -3 6
L L W L W
9 6 0 3 3 3:10 -7 3
L D D L D
10 6 1 0 5 3:18 -15 3
W L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL