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CHINA › SUPER LEAGUE
16.10.2026 11:35
Zhengzhou Hanghai Stadium
Referee: Haixin Li, China
Henan Jianye
Match Timeline
Tianjin Teda
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
15'
Haliq Ablahan
Henan Jianye
⚽
27'
Guilherme Schettine · Assist: Xadas
Tianjin Teda
🟨
35'
Xadas
Tianjin Teda
🔄
46'
Haliq Ablahan ↔ Yin Congyao
Henan Jianye
🔄
60'
Lucas Maia ↔ O. Gerbig
Henan Jianye
🔄
60'
Wang Zhenghao ↔ Ba Dun
Tianjin Teda
🔄
60'
Xadas ↔ Wang Qiuming
Tianjin Teda
🔄
72'
Pedro Maranhao ↔ A. Abudulam
Henan Jianye
🔄
72'
Zhong Yihao ↔ Zheng Dalun
Henan Jianye
🔄
72'
Guilherme Schettine ↔ Ji Shengpan
Tianjin Teda
🟨
83'
Yin Congyao
Henan Jianye
🟨
84'
Yan Bingliang
Tianjin Teda
🔄
84'
Shinar Yeljan ↔ Yang Yilin
Henan Jianye

Henan Jianye vs Tianjin Teda Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 63.2%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.80
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds 1.98
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
63.2%
1.28 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.80 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
1.98 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.20 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Henan Jianye Win 42%
Draw 21.3%
Tianjin Teda Win 36.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Henan Jianye1.25
Tianjin Teda1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Henan Jianye Henan Jianye
WWDLW
35 GF / 37 GA
Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda
WLDWL
37 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.37
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
17
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
13
4.15
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Henan Jianye Henan Jianye 27 matches
Tianjin Teda Tianjin Teda 28 matches
Henan Jianye Statistic Tianjin Teda
8 Wins 10
10 Draws 8
9 Losses 10
35 Goals For 37
37 Goals Against 33
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.37 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
17 BTTS Yes 15
21 Over 1.5 20
15 Over 2.5 13
5 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 6
4.15 Shots On Goal 3.67
12.78 Total Shots 10.7
5.63 Corners 4.37
52.4% Ball Possession 42.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Tianjin Teda's more proactive style and Henan Jianye's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Henan Jianye expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Tianjin Teda in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Tianjin Teda having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Tianjin Teda. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Henan Jianye Analysis

Henan Jianye are currently 12 in the standings with 27 points from 26 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 33:35 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by Gustavo (12 goals), Bruno Nazário (7 goals), Yihao Zhong (3 goals), with creative support from Bruno Nazário (5 assists), Shangyuan Wang (4 assists), Gustavo (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Tianjin Teda Analysis

With 25 points from 26 games and a place of 14, Tianjin Teda still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 9 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 36:32 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Alberto Quiles (8 goals), Bruno Xadas (5 goals), Guilherme Schettine (4 goals), with creative support from Bruno Xadas (6 assists), Guilherme Schettine (2 assists), Zhenghao Wang (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Henan Jianye won 3 times, Tianjin Teda won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:19 from Henan Jianye's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.7%)
Predicted formations: Henan Jianye 4-2-3-1 / Tianjin Teda 5-3-2
H2H summary: Henan Jianye wins 3, draws 4, Tianjin Teda wins 8

Standings

Super League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 15 7 5 51:31 20 52
L D W L W
2 27 13 4 10 42:42 0 43
W W D W D
3 27 12 10 5 52:33 19 41
W D D D W
4 27 13 5 9 47:44 3 38
D D W L W
5 27 11 5 11 55:58 -3 38
L W L D W
6 27 8 14 5 31:36 -5 38
L D D W D
7 27 11 8 8 44:35 9 36
W D W W D
8 27 13 5 9 59:47 12 34
W W L W L
9 27 7 11 9 28:33 -5 32
D L D L D
10 28 11 8 9 38:32 6 31
W W W W D
11 27 10 6 11 47:47 0 31
L W L W D
12 27 8 5 14 36:47 -11 29
D D L D W
13 28 8 10 10 35:38 -3 28
L D D D D
14 27 7 5 15 35:48 -13 26
D L L L D
15 27 5 12 10 40:47 -7 22
D L D D W
16 27 6 3 18 34:56 -22 14
L L L L L
AFC Champions League Elite League Stage
AFC Champions League 2 Group Stage
Relegation