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GERMANY › 2. BUNDESLIGA
16.10.2026 16:30
Stadion der Freundschaft
Referee: Felix Bickel, Germany
Energie Cottbus
Match Timeline
1. FC Nürnberg
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
33'
Mohamed Alì Zoma ↔ William Bøving
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
34'
Adam Markhiev
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
45+1'
Henry Rorig
Energie Cottbus
⚽
56'
Justin Butler · Assist: Leonardo Bittencourt
Energie Cottbus
🟨
61'
Alexios Kalogeropoulos
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
65'
Leon Guwara ↔ fousseny doumbia
Energie Cottbus
🔄
65'
Leonardo Bittencourt ↔ Dominik Pelivan
Energie Cottbus
🔄
65'
Rayan Ghrieb ↔ Rafael Lubach
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
66'
Alexios Kalogeropoulos ↔ Styopa Mkrtchyan
1. FC Nürnberg
🟨
68'
Tolcay Cigerci
Energie Cottbus
⚽
79'
Styopa Mkrtchyan · Assist: Eric Porstner
1. FC Nürnberg
🔄
80'
Henry Rorig ↔ Christian Kinsombi
Energie Cottbus
🔄
80'
Justin Butler ↔ Dmytro Bogdanov
Energie Cottbus
🔄
82'
King Samuel Manu ↔ Tim Campulka
Energie Cottbus
🟨
90+1'
Christian Kinsombi
Energie Cottbus

Energie Cottbus vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.85
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.33
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.34
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
73.3%
1.85 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.33 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
1.34 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Energie Cottbus Win 22%
Draw 4.7%
1. FC Nürnberg Win 73.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Energie Cottbus1.68
1. FC Nürnberg3.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus
WWDLW
29 GF / 36 GA
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg
WLDWL
45 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.93
Average Goals Scored
3.46
2.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
12
BTTS Yes
10
13
Over 2.5
12
5.71
Shots on Goal
6.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Energie Cottbus Energie Cottbus 15 matches
1. FC Nürnberg 1. FC Nürnberg 13 matches
Energie Cottbus Statistic 1. FC Nürnberg
4 Wins 10
5 Draws 3
6 Losses 0
29 Goals For 45
36 Goals Against 17
1.93 Avg Goals Scored 3.46
2.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
12 BTTS Yes 10
15 Over 1.5 12
13 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 9
1 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 0
5.71 Shots On Goal 6.86
16.29 Total Shots 17.29
7.86 Corners 5.14
54% Ball Possession 56.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward 1. FC Nürnberg. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. 1. FC Nürnberg carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 16 points while Energie Cottbus sit 7 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. 1. FC Nürnberg look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

Energie Cottbus Analysis

So far, Energie Cottbus have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 8 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Ciğerci (3 goals), J. Butler (3 goals), Luca Erlein (1 goals), with creative support from T. Ciğerci (1 assists), Luca Erlein (1 assists), Lukas Michelbrink (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

1. FC Nürnberg Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 16 points from 6 games, 1. FC Nürnberg bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 16:6, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through M. Zoma (6 goals), P. Scobel (3 goals), J. Justvan (3 goals), with creative support from F. Becker (2 assists), J. Fernandez (2 assists), P. Scobel (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Energie Cottbus 4-2-3-1 / 1. FC Nürnberg 4-2-3-1

Standings

2. Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:8 11 22
D W W W W
2 8 5 3 0 21:11 10 18
D D W W D
3 8 4 3 1 22:13 9 15
W D W L D
4 8 4 3 1 8:4 4 15
W D W L W
5 8 4 2 2 15:15 0 14
L D D W W
6 8 4 1 3 14:11 3 13
L W D W L
7 8 2 5 1 11:9 2 11
D W D W D
8 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
W W D L D
9 8 2 3 3 16:17 -1 9
D L D W D
10 8 2 3 3 12:13 -1 9
W L D D L
11 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
W D L D L
12 8 2 2 4 11:15 -4 8
L D D L W
13 8 2 2 4 10:14 -4 8
W L L L D
14 8 2 2 4 8:13 -5 8
D L W L D
15 8 2 1 5 13:15 -2 7
L W L D L
16 8 2 1 5 5:9 -4 7
L L L D W
17 8 2 1 5 8:18 -10 7
L W L W L
18 8 0 5 3 7:11 -4 5
D L D L D
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