ROMANIA › LIGA I
21.09.2026 15:00
Stadionul Oțelul
Referee: Rares George Vidican, Romania
Oţelul
Match Timeline
Corvinul Hunedoara
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
D. N. Pirvulescu
Corvinul Hunedoara
🟨
22'
Antoniu Manolache
Corvinul Hunedoara
🟨
30'
Teodor Lungu
Oţelul
🟨
45+1'
Flavius Iacob
Corvinul Hunedoara
🔄
46'
M. Ivancevic ↔ F. Ilie
Corvinul Hunedoara
🟨
49'
Emmanuel Yeboah
Corvinul Hunedoara
⚽
51'
M. Silva
Oţelul
🟨
53'
Sérgio Ribeiro
Corvinul Hunedoara
🔄
57'
A. Fabry ↔ G. Uche Goodlad
Corvinul Hunedoara
🔄
57'
R. Espinosa ↔ A. Gillard
Corvinul Hunedoara
🟨
60'
Nicolae Pîrvulescu
Corvinul Hunedoara
🟨
61'
Andrézinho
Oţelul
⚽
62'
G. Uche Goodlad · Assist: E. Yeboah
Corvinul Hunedoara
⚽
64'
D. Bordun · Assist: M. Silva
Oţelul
🔄
70'
T. Lungu ↔ R. Brito
Oţelul
🔄
70'
S. Ribeiro ↔ D. Hrezdac
Corvinul Hunedoara
🔄
70'
D. N. Pirvulescu ↔ M. Hayatu
Corvinul Hunedoara
VAR
73'
Ángel Gillard
Corvinul Hunedoara
⚽
73'
A. Gillard · Assist: A. Manolache
Corvinul Hunedoara
🔄
75'
Joao Paulino ↔ M. Frunza
Oţelul
🟨
81'
Paul Iacob
Oţelul
🟨
82'
Miguel Silva
Oţelul
🔄
83'
Andrezinho ↔ Ze Turbo
Oţelul
🟨
90'
Patrick Fernandes
Oţelul
🟨
90+1'
Denis Hrezdac
Corvinul Hunedoara

Oţelul vs Corvinul Hunedoara Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 64.3%
Odds 3.13
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.71
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
64.3%
3.13 ▥
BTTS No
60.3%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.71 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.51 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Oţelul Win 64.3%
Draw 16.9%
Corvinul Hunedoara Win 18.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Oţelul0.9
Corvinul Hunedoara1.03
Recent Form (Last 5)
Oţelul Oţelul
WWDLW
12 GF / 13 GA
Corvinul Hunedoara Corvinul Hunedoara
WLDWL
16 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
6
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
3.22
Shots on Goal
4.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Oţelul Oţelul 12 matches
Corvinul Hunedoara Corvinul Hunedoara 16 matches
Oţelul Statistic Corvinul Hunedoara
3 Wins 5
6 Draws 5
3 Losses 6
12 Goals For 16
13 Goals Against 12
1 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
6 BTTS Yes 4
7 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 0
3 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 7
3.22 Shots On Goal 4.33
10.67 Total Shots 15.22
4.11 Corners 4.56
52.9% Ball Possession 47.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and Corvinul Hunedoara's more proactive style and Oţelul's more cautious structure points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Oţelul expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Corvinul Hunedoara in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Corvinul Hunedoara having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Corvinul Hunedoara. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Oţelul Analysis

Oţelul are currently 10 in the standings with 10 points from 8 matches. The record of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 9:9 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Patrick (3 goals), Pedro Nuno (1 goals), Andrézinho (1 goals), with creative support from Pedro Nuno (4 assists), Andrézinho (1 assists), A. Ciobanu (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Corvinul Hunedoara Analysis

So far, Corvinul Hunedoara have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 10 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Fábry (1 goals), N. Pîrvulescu (1 goals), R. Espinosa (1 goals), with creative support from A. Fábry (1 assists), N. Pîrvulescu (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Oţelul won 0 times, Corvinul Hunedoara won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Oţelul's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.1%)
Predicted formations: Oţelul 4-3-3 / Corvinul Hunedoara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Oţelul wins 0, draws 1, Corvinul Hunedoara wins 0

Standings

Liga I
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 23:7 16 23
W W W D W
2 10 6 3 1 14:6 8 21
W W W D W
3 10 6 2 2 24:9 15 20
W W W D W
4 10 6 1 3 13:12 1 19
W D W W L
5 9 5 0 4 14:13 1 15
W W L L L
6 10 3 5 2 14:14 0 14
L W D D D
7 10 3 4 3 11:9 2 13
W L L D D
8 9 4 1 4 15:14 1 13
W L D W W
9 10 3 4 3 7:10 -3 13
L W L W D
10 10 3 3 4 14:15 -1 12
W L W W D
11 10 3 3 4 13:17 -4 12
L D L L L
12 10 2 5 3 14:12 2 11
L D W D W
13 10 3 2 5 6:10 -4 11
L D L L L
14 10 2 4 4 11:15 -4 10
L L L D W
15 10 2 2 6 9:22 -13 8
L L W D L
16 10 0 1 9 6:23 -17 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Superliga (Championship Group)
Superliga (Relegation Group)