GEORGIA EROVNULI LIGA
21.09.2026 15:00
David Petriashvili Stadium

Rustavi vs FC Iberia 1999 Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
80.5%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
83.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Rustavi Win 80.5%
Draw 13.4%
FC Iberia 1999 Win 6.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Rustavi1.27
FC Iberia 19991.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Rustavi Rustavi
WWDLW
40 GF / 32 GA
FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999
WLDWL
47 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.31
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
17
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
18
1
Shots on Goal
1.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Rustavi Rustavi 32 matches
FC Iberia 1999 FC Iberia 1999 36 matches
Rustavi Statistic FC Iberia 1999
14 Wins 15
9 Draws 9
9 Losses 12
40 Goals For 47
32 Goals Against 47
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.31
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
17 BTTS Yes 20
22 Over 1.5 28
16 Over 2.5 18
3 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 9
7 Failed To Score 9
1 Shots On Goal 1.93
1.5 Total Shots 1.86
1.25 Corners 2.5
12.5% Ball Possession 24%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FC Iberia 1999. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. FC Iberia 1999 arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Rustavi Analysis

Rustavi come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 43 points from 25 matches. The record of 12 wins, 7 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 31:21 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 9 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

FC Iberia 1999 Analysis

FC Iberia 1999 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 40 points from 24 matches. Across the season they have posted 12 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 33:27 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 5 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Rustavi won 3 times, FC Iberia 1999 won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Rustavi's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.9%)
Predicted formations: Rustavi 4-3-3 / FC Iberia 1999 4-3-3
H2H summary: Rustavi wins 3, draws 1, FC Iberia 1999 wins 6

Standings

Umaglesi Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 12 8 6 43:34 9 44
D W W W W
2 25 12 7 6 31:21 10 43
D L D W W
3 24 12 4 8 33:27 6 40
W L W L L
4 24 10 9 5 36:27 9 39
D D W L W
5 25 11 4 10 33:27 6 37
D W W L D
6 25 8 9 8 38:29 9 33
D D L D W
7 25 9 5 11 34:46 -12 32
L L D W L
8 25 6 10 9 24:32 -8 28
D L W L D
9 26 5 10 11 33:39 -6 25
L D D L L
10 25 2 10 13 19:42 -23 16
D D W L L
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2