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GERMANY › BUNDESLIGA
--.--.---- --:--
RB Leipzig
FT
2 - 1
Hamburger SV
Red Bull Arena
Referee: Tobias Welz, Germany
RB Leipzig
Match Timeline
Hamburger SV
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
18'
Nicolás Capaldo
Hamburger SV
🟨
43'
Christoph Baumgartner
RB Leipzig
⚽
45'
C. Baumgartner · Assist: A. Nusa
RB Leipzig
⚽
48'
A. S. Lokonga · Assist: M. Muheim
Hamburger SV
⚽
50'
C. Baumgartner · Assist: Romulo Cardoso
RB Leipzig
🔄
61'
J. Bakayoko ↔ E. Banzuzi
RB Leipzig
🔄
61'
A. Ouedraogo ↔ Y. Diomande
RB Leipzig
🔄
76'
A. S. Lokonga ↔ I. Pherai
Hamburger SV
🔄
76'
R. Konigsdorffer ↔ Y. Poulsen
Hamburger SV
🔄
78'
C. Baumgartner ↔ X. Schlager
RB Leipzig
🟨
79'
Yan Diomande
RB Leipzig
🔄
84'
W. Mikelbrencis ↔ F. Balde
Hamburger SV
🟨
90+5'
Conrad Harder
RB Leipzig
🔄
90'
A. Nusa ↔ L. Klostermann
RB Leipzig
🔄
90+1'
Romulo Cardoso ↔ C. Harder
RB Leipzig
🔄
90+1'
N. Capaldo ↔ G. Ramos
Hamburger SV
🔄
90'
R. Philippe ↔ R. Glatzel
Hamburger SV

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
RB Leipzig Win 0%
Draw 0%
Hamburger SV Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
RB Leipzig1.33
Hamburger SV1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
WWDLW
8 GF / 8 GA
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
WLDWL
6 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
2
BTTS Yes
1
2
Over 2.5
3
4.33
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

RB Leipzig RB Leipzig 6 matches
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV 6 matches
RB Leipzig Statistic Hamburger SV
4 Wins 2
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
8 Goals For 6
8 Goals Against 8
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
2 BTTS Yes 1
4 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
1 Failed To Score 4
4.33 Shots On Goal 5
16.83 Total Shots 12.33
6.83 Corners 2.67
48.8% Ball Possession 44.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, RB Leipzig won 6 times, Hamburger SV won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:7 from RB Leipzig's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

Predicted formations: RB Leipzig 4-3-3 / Hamburger SV 3-4-3
H2H summary: RB Leipzig wins 6, draws 1, Hamburger SV wins 1
Stats
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
3 Corner Kicks 5
13 Fouls 12
0 Offsides 1
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 3
4 Shots off Goal 7
2 Blocked Shots 5
5 Shots insidebox 10
5 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
468 Total passes 518
393 Passes accurate 446
1.06 expected_goals 1.53
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

RB Leipzig
Formation
Hamburger SV
P. Gulacsi
P. Gulacsi
R. Baku
R. Baku
W. Orban
W. Orban
C. Lukeba
C. Lukeba
D. Raum
D. Raum
A. Ouedraogo
↓
A. Ouedraogo
N. Seiwald
N. Seiwald
C. Baumgartner
⚽ 2 ↓
C. Baumgartner
J. Bakayoko
↓
J. Bakayoko
Romulo Cardoso
🎯 ↓
Romulo Cardoso
A. Nusa
🎯 ↓
A. Nusa
D. Heuer Fernandes
D. Heuer Fernandes
N. Capaldo
↓
N. Capaldo
L. Vuskovic
L. Vuskovic
D. Elfadli
D. Elfadli
W. Mikelbrencis
↓
W. Mikelbrencis
A. S. Lokonga
⚽ ↓
A. S. Lokonga
N. Remberg
N. Remberg
M. Muheim
🎯
M. Muheim
R. Philippe
↓
R. Philippe
R. Konigsdorffer
↓
R. Konigsdorffer
J. Dompe
J. Dompe
RB Leipzig 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
P. Gulacsi
G
17
R. Baku
D
4
W. Orban
D
23
C. Lukeba
D
22
D. Raum
D
20
A. Ouedraogo
↓ 61'
M
13
N. Seiwald
M
14
C. Baumgartner
⚽ 45' ⚽ 50' ↓ 78' 🟨 43'
M
9
J. Bakayoko
↓ 61'
F
40
Romulo Cardoso
🎯 50' ↓ 90+1'
F
7
A. Nusa
🎯 45' ↓ 90'
F
Substitutes
26
M. Vandevoordt
G
16
L. Klostermann
↑ 90'
D
5
E. Bitshiabu
D
33
A. Maksimovic
M
24
X. Schlager
↑ 78'
M
6
E. Banzuzi
↑ 61'
M
49
Y. Diomande
↑ 61' 🟨 79'
F
27
T. Gomis
F
11
C. Harder
↑ 90+1' 🟨 90+5'
F
Hamburger SV 3-4-3
Starting XI
1
D. Heuer Fernandes
G
24
N. Capaldo
↓ 90+1' 🟨 18'
D
44
L. Vuskovic
D
8
D. Elfadli
D
2
W. Mikelbrencis
↓ 84'
M
6
A. S. Lokonga
⚽ 48' ↓ 76'
M
21
N. Remberg
M
28
M. Muheim
🎯 48'
M
14
R. Philippe
↓ 90'
F
11
R. Konigsdorffer
↓ 76'
F
7
J. Dompe
F
Substitutes
26
D. Peretz
G
13
G. Ramos
↑ 90+1'
D
25
J. Torunarigha
D
10
I. Pherai
↑ 76'
M
23
J. Meffert
M
9
R. Glatzel
↑ 90'
F
15
Y. Poulsen
↑ 76'
F
38
A. Rossing-Lelesiit
F
45
F. Balde
↑ 84'
F
Last matches: RB Leipzig
15.08.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
1
3
L
08.08.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Leeds
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Verl
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Altglienicke
2
1
W
29.05.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Mamelodi Sundowns
1
3
L
16.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
1
4
L
09.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
02.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
1
4
L
24.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
3
1
W
18.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
3
1
W
11.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
0
W
04.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
2
1
W
20.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
5
0
W
15.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
0
1
L
07.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
2
1
W
01.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
21.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
2
2
D
15.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
2
1
W
Last matches: Hamburger SV
15.08.26
Fri
Hamburger SV
Toulouse
2
1
W
08.08.26
Fri
Hamburger SV
Lille
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Hamburger SV
Everton
1
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Hamburger SV
Rapid Vienna
2
3
L
16.05.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
10.05.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
3
2
W
02.05.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
1
W
25.04.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
1899 Hoffenheim
1
2
L
18.04.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
1
3
L
12.04.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
0
4
L
04.04.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
FC Augsburg
1
1
D
21.03.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund
2
3
L
14.03.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
1
1
D
07.03.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
VfL Wolfsburg
2
1
W
04.03.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
0
1
L
01.03.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
1
2
L
20.02.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
14.02.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
3
2
W
07.02.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim
2
0
W
H2H: RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV
01.03.26
H2H
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
1
2
W
18.10.25
H2H
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
18.10.22
H2H
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
4
0
W
23.04.19
H2H
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
1
3
W
27.01.18
H2H
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
08.09.17
H2H
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
0
2
W
11.02.17
H2H
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
0
3
L
17.09.16
H2H
Hamburger SV
RB Leipzig
0
4
W
Last matches: RB Leipzig
01.08.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
Verl
4
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
RB Leipzig
FC Ingolstadt 04
1
0
W
09.05.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC St. Pauli
2
1
W
24.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Union Berlin
3
1
W
11.04.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1
0
W
20.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
1899 Hoffenheim
5
0
W
07.03.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
2
1
W
21.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Borussia Dortmund
2
2
D
15.02.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfL Wolfsburg
2
2
D
31.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
FSV Mainz 05
1
2
L
17.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayern München
1
5
L
14.01.26
Bun
RB Leipzig
SC Freiburg
2
0
W
20.12.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
1
3
L
06.12.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Eintracht Frankfurt
6
0
W
23.11.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen
2
0
W
01.11.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
VfB Stuttgart
3
1
W
20.09.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Köln
3
1
W
30.08.25
Bun
RB Leipzig
1. FC Heidenheim
2
0
W
H2H at home: RB Leipzig
18.10.25
H2H
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
2
1
W
18.10.22
H2H
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
4
0
W
27.01.18
H2H
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
11.02.17
H2H
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
0
3
L
Last matches: Hamburger SV
15.08.26
Fri
Hamburger SV
Toulouse
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim
3
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Hamburger SV
Rapid Vienna
2
3
L
16.05.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
Bayer Leverkusen
1
1
D
02.05.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
1
W
18.04.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
1
3
L
12.04.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
VfB Stuttgart
0
4
L
21.03.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
Borussia Dortmund
2
3
L
07.03.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
VfL Wolfsburg
2
1
W
20.02.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
FSV Mainz 05
1
1
D
07.02.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
1. FC Heidenheim
2
0
W
23.01.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
FC St. Pauli
0
0
D
10.01.26
Bun
Hamburger SV
SC Freiburg
1
2
L
13.12.25
Bun
Hamburger SV
1899 Hoffenheim
1
4
L
22.11.25
Bun
Hamburger SV
FC Augsburg
0
1
L
02.11.25
Bun
Hamburger SV
1. FC Köln
1
4
L
28.09.25
Bun
Hamburger SV
Union Berlin
0
0
D
13.09.25
Bun
Hamburger SV
Bayern München
0
5
L
24.08.25
Bun
Hamburger SV
Borussia Mönchengladbach
0
0
D
18.05.25
2.
Hamburger SV
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2
3
L
H2H away: Hamburger SV
18.10.25
H2H
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
2
1
L
18.10.22
H2H
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
4
0
L
27.01.18
H2H
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
1
1
D
11.02.17
H2H
RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV
0
3
W

Standings

Bundesliga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Bayern München
34 28 5 1 122:36 86 89
W W D W W
2
Borussia Dortmund
34 22 7 5 70:34 36 73
W W L W L
3
RB Leipzig Home
34 20 5 9 66:47 19 65
L W L W W
4
VfB Stuttgart
34 18 8 8 71:49 22 62
D W D D L
5
1899 Hoffenheim
34 18 7 9 65:52 13 61
L W D W W
6
Bayer Leverkusen
34 17 8 9 68:47 21 59
D L W W L
7
SC Freiburg
34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
W L D L W
8
Eintracht Frankfurt
34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
D L L D L
9
FC Augsburg
34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
L W W D W
10
FSV Mainz 05
34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
W L W L D
11
Union Berlin
34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
W W D L L
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach
34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
W L W D D
13
Hamburger SV Away
34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
D W W L L
14
1. FC Köln
34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
L L D L D
15
Werder Bremen
34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
L L L D W
16
VfL Wolfsburg
34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
L D W L D
17
1. FC Heidenheim
34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
L W D W L
18
FC St. Pauli
34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26
L L L L D
Champions League
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation