Plymouth
Match Timeline
Port Vale
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
57.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.3%
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Plymouth Win 88%
Draw 0%
Port Vale Win 12%
Expected Goals (xG)
Plymouth1.46
Port Vale1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Plymouth
WWDLW
70 GF / 62 GA
Port Vale
WLDWL
42 GF / 64 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
0.86
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
23
BTTS Yes
15
25
Over 2.5
18
4.56
Shots on Goal
3.06
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Plymouth
45 matches
Port Vale
49 matches
| Plymouth | Statistic | Port Vale |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 14 |
| 7 | Draws | 12 |
| 18 | Losses | 23 |
| 70 | Goals For | 42 |
| 62 | Goals Against | 64 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.86 |
| 1.38 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.31 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 34 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 25 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 12 | Clean Sheets | 17 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 24 |
| 4.56 | Shots On Goal | 3.06 |
| 12.96 | Total Shots | 10.86 |
| 5.38 | Corners | 4.88 |
| 47% | Ball Possession | 44.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Plymouth won 3 times, Port Vale won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:20 from Plymouth's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.82 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Plymouth 4-4-2 / Port Vale 3-4-3
H2H summary: Plymouth wins 3, draws 1, Port Vale wins 7
Stats
Plymouth
Port Vale
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
1
1
Blocked Shots
7
7
Blocked Shots
9
9
Lineups
Plymouth
Formation
Port Vale
C. Hazard
J. Edwards
M. Ross
A. Mitchell
W. Harding
R. Curtis
M. Boateng
C. Watts
O. Dale
L. Tolaj
A. Pepple
J. Gauci
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
C. Humphreys
C. Hall
O. Hernandez
R. Croasdale
J. Shipley
J. Headley
B. Waine
M. Sherif
E. Archer
Plymouth
4-4-2
Starting XI
1
C. Hazard
G
🟥 5'
8
J. Edwards
D
2
M. Ross
D
15
A. Mitchell
D
45
W. Harding
D
28
R. Curtis
M
↓ 66'
19
M. Boateng
M
17
C. Watts
M
↓ 8'
35
O. Dale
M
🟨 64'
9
L. Tolaj
F
🎯 3'
27
A. Pepple
F
⚽ 3'
⚽ 47'
↓ 73'
Substitutes
21
L. Ashby-Hammond
G
↑ 8'
5
J. Pleguezuelo
D
4
B. Wiredu
M
↑ 73'
🟨 82'
10
X. Amaechi
F
29
M. Sorinola
D
↑ 66'
23
B. Ibrahim
M
18
O. Oseni
Port Vale
3-4-3
Starting XI
46
J. Gauci
G
6
J. Lawrence-Gabriel
D
25
C. Humphreys
D
5
C. Hall
D
⚽ 14'
↓ 46'
🟨 25'
50
O. Hernandez
M
18
R. Croasdale
M
↓ 56'
26
J. Shipley
M
🎯 14'
↓ 56'
3
J. Headley
M
↓ 80'
19
B. Waine
F
21
M. Sherif
11
E. Archer
F
↓ 71'
🟨 16'
Substitutes
13
B. Amos
G
28
G. Ward
M
↑ 56'
15
L. Gordon
D
↑ 46'
10
D. Brown
F
↑ 80'
33
G. Hall
M
↑ 71'
12
R. Walters
M
↑ 56'
35
T. Magloire
D
Last matches: Plymouth
04.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Tavistock
4
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bristol City
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Truro City
1
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Torquay
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bath City
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Plymouth Parkway
4
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Plymouth
Northampton
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bradford
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Exeter City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Barnsley
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bolton
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Huddersfield
3
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stevenage
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Reading
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Wigan
3
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Doncaster
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Rotherham
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Cardiff
5
2
W
17.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Leyton Orient
3
1
W
Last matches: Port Vale
01.08.26
Fri
Port Vale
Blackpool
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Real Murcia
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Wigan
3
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Tamworth
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Port Vale
Lincoln
0
2
L
28.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Stockport County
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Cardiff
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Wigan
0
0
D
16.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Peterborough
3
1
W
14.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Barnsley
0
0
D
07.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Rotherham
1
0
W
04.04.26
FA
Port Vale
Chelsea
0
7
L
28.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Wycombe
0
4
L
24.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Doncaster
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Bolton
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Blackpool
2
3
L
14.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Huddersfield
0
0
D
11.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Bradford
0
2
L
08.03.26
FA
Port Vale
Sunderland
1
0
W
03.03.26
FA
Port Vale
Bristol City
1
0
W
H2H: Plymouth vs Port Vale
25.04.26
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
2
1
W
22.11.25
H2H
Port Vale
Plymouth
0
1
W
07.05.23
H2H
Port Vale
Plymouth
1
3
W
02.12.22
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
0
2
L
25.04.20
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
0
0
D
14.09.19
H2H
Port Vale
Plymouth
1
0
L
14.01.14
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
2
3
L
05.01.14
H2H
Port Vale
Plymouth
2
2
D
05.01.13
H2H
Port Vale
Plymouth
4
0
L
15.09.12
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
1
3
L
28.01.12
H2H
Port Vale
Plymouth
1
0
L
10.09.11
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
0
2
L
Last matches: Plymouth
01.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bristol City
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Exeter City
2
2
D
03.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bolton
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Huddersfield
3
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stevenage
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Doncaster
2
1
W
21.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Cardiff
5
2
W
07.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Lincoln
1
4
L
27.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Mansfield Town
1
1
D
24.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Luton
1
0
W
04.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Burton Albion
3
0
W
29.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Wycombe
1
1
D
26.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Reading
1
4
L
13.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Rotherham
1
0
W
06.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Bradford
0
1
L
29.11.25
Lea
Plymouth
Northampton
0
3
L
18.10.25
Lea
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
1
2
L
04.10.25
Lea
Plymouth
Wigan
1
1
D
20.09.25
Lea
Plymouth
Peterborough
0
1
L
06.09.25
Lea
Plymouth
Stockport County
4
2
W
H2H at home: Plymouth
25.04.26
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
2
1
W
02.12.22
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
0
2
L
25.04.20
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
0
0
D
14.01.14
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
2
3
L
15.09.12
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
1
3
L
10.09.11
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
0
2
L
Last matches: Port Vale
01.08.26
Fri
Port Vale
Blackpool
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Port Vale
Wigan
3
1
W
28.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Stockport County
2
1
W
22.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Cardiff
0
1
L
16.04.26
Lea
Port Vale
Peterborough
3
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Port Vale
Chelsea
0
7
L
28.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Wycombe
0
4
L
24.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Doncaster
0
1
L
17.03.26
Lea
Port Vale
Blackpool
2
3
L
24.02.26
Lea
Port Vale
Northampton
1
0
W
17.02.26
Lea
Port Vale
Stevenage
1
2
L
31.01.26
Lea
Port Vale
Leyton Orient
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Port Vale
Mansfield Town
0
3
L
29.12.25
Lea
Port Vale
Bradford
0
1
L
26.12.25
Lea
Port Vale
Huddersfield
0
5
L
13.12.25
Lea
Port Vale
Luton
2
2
D
29.11.25
Lea
Port Vale
Lincoln
0
1
L
08.11.25
Lea
Port Vale
Bolton
0
4
L
18.10.25
Lea
Port Vale
Wigan
0
1
L
11.10.25
Lea
Port Vale
AFC Wimbledon
1
1
D
H2H away: Port Vale
25.04.26
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
2
1
L
02.12.22
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
0
2
W
25.04.20
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
0
0
D
14.01.14
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
2
3
W
15.09.12
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
1
3
W
10.09.11
H2H
Plymouth
Port Vale
0
2
W
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Plymouth
Home
|
46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 |
Port Vale
Away
|
46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two