Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
53.2%
|
1.74 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.46 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.48 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.75 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Fluminense
30 matches
Independ. Rivadavia
29 matches
| Fluminense | Statistic | Independ. Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wins | 19 |
| 10 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 4 |
| 46 | Goals For | 53 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.53 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.83 |
| 1.13 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.93 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 20 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 5.54 | Shots On Goal | 5 |
| 15.07 | Total Shots | 14.3 |
| 5.21 | Corners | 4.37 |
| 60.3% | Ball Possession | 47.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs Independ. Rivadavia's more proactive style and Fluminense's more cautious structure, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 1-1, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. In the previous meeting, Fluminense had more of the ball in the first leg (72% possession compared to 28%). Independ. Rivadavia carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 3 shots on goal compared to 2. Fluminense also attempted more passes (612 to 221) and completed 550. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Independ. Rivadavia. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Independ. Rivadavia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Fluminense expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Independ. Rivadavia in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independ. Rivadavia having the stronger overall control. Independ. Rivadavia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 16 points while Fluminense sit 2 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Fluminense come into this tie placed 2 in their league with 8 points from 6 matches. The return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 7:7 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by John Kennedy (2 goals), A. Canobbio (1 goals), Guilherme Arana (1 goals), with creative support from J. Savarino (1 assists), Martinelli (1 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward a more cautious and defensive approach.
Independ. Rivadavia enter this tie with a season profile built on 16 points from 6 matches, placing them 1 in their league. The return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with a 15:6 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking influence is driven by A. Arce (8 goals), S. Villa (3 goals), D. Crego (1 goals), with creative support from Matías Fernández (4 assists), S. Villa (3 assists), J. I. Florentin Bobadilla (1 assists), and at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Fluminense won 0 times, Independ. Rivadavia won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Fluminense's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Fluminense
3
3
9
5
4
3
Lineups
Fluminense
Botafogo
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
Gremio
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Vitoria
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Flamengo
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
Barracas Central
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
RB Bragantino
Fluminense
Bahia
Fluminense
Nova Iguaçu
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Vitoria
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Flamengo
Fluminense
Corinthians
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Botafogo
Fluminense
Gremio
Independ. Rivadavia
Sarmiento Junin
Independ. Rivadavia
Atletico Tucuman
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
Independ. Rivadavia
Racing Club
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Independ. Rivadavia
Away
|
6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
| 2 |
Fluminense
Home
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
| 3 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 5 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 3 |
L
L
D
L
D
|