Luton
Match Timeline
Rotherham
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Rotherham Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton1.38
Rotherham1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton
WWDLW
22 GF / 18 GA
Rotherham
WLDWL
19 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.47
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.25
5
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
10
4.07
Shots on Goal
2.75
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Luton
15 matches
Rotherham
16 matches
| Luton | Statistic | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 6 |
| 1 | Draws | 3 |
| 6 | Losses | 7 |
| 22 | Goals For | 19 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.47 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.25 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 3 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.07 | Shots On Goal | 2.75 |
| 12.4 | Total Shots | 8.44 |
| 6.6 | Corners | 3.81 |
| 56.2% | Ball Possession | 41.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 3 times, Rotherham won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:1 from Luton's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.17 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Luton 4-2-3-1 / Rotherham 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Luton wins 3, draws 3, Rotherham wins 0
Stats
Luton
Rotherham
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots on Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
5
5
Shots off Goal
1
1
Blocked Shots
4
4
Blocked Shots
0
0
Lineups
Luton
Formation
Rotherham
J. Keeley
I. Jones
T. Mengi
M. Andersen
K. Naismith
L. Fanne
L. Walsh
J. Richards
N. Wells
C. Bramall
J. Yates
C. Dawson
J. Rafferty
H. Douglas
R. James
D. Hall
K. Spence
D. Gore
J. Powell
S. McWilliams
M. Sherif
J. Hugill
Luton
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
25
I. Jones
D
15
T. Mengi
D
5
M. Andersen
D
🟨 33'
3
K. Naismith
D
22
L. Fanne
M
↓ 78'
8
L. Walsh
M
27
J. Richards
M
↓ 46'
21
N. Wells
M
↓ 61'
33
C. Bramall
M
↓ 78'
9
J. Yates
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
17
N. Lonwijk
D
16
H. Odoffin
D
37
Z. Nelson
M
↑ 61'
7
M. Alli
F
↑ 78'
19
J. Brown
F
↑ 78'
30
G. Kodua
F
↑ 46'
Rotherham
3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
C. Dawson
G
2
J. Rafferty
D
26
H. Douglas
D
🟨 83'
6
R. James
D
22
D. Hall
M
8
K. Spence
M
44
D. Gore
M
7
J. Powell
M
17
S. McWilliams
F
↓ 84'
20
M. Sherif
↓ 46'
9
J. Hugill
F
↓ 45+3'
Substitutes
13
T. Cann
G
4
L. Kelly
M
↑ 90'
16
D. Yearwood
M
↑ 84'
19
J. Benson
M
↑ 45+3'
23
J. Holmes
F
39
H. Duncan
41
J. Ayres
F
↑ 46'
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
Last matches: Rotherham
15.08.26
Lea
Rotherham
Cheltenham
1
2
L
04.08.26
Fri
Rotherham
Derby
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Darlington 1883
2
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Sheffield Utd
0
2
L
21.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Alfreton Town
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Matlock Town
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
AFC Emley
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Parkgate
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
2
3
L
25.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Reading
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
L
18.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
2
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wigan
0
3
L
11.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Barnsley
1
3
L
07.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Port Vale
0
1
L
03.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stevenage
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
5
L
14.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
2
2
D
07.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
0
1
L
H2H: Luton vs Rotherham
21.04.26
H2H
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
W
15.11.25
H2H
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
15.04.23
H2H
Rotherham
Luton
0
2
W
12.11.22
H2H
Luton
Rotherham
1
1
D
04.05.21
H2H
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
04.11.20
H2H
Rotherham
Luton
0
1
W
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Luton
Blackpool
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Luton
Lincoln
2
2
D
10.01.26
Lea
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
3
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
29.11.25
Lea
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
25.11.25
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
2
1
W
31.10.25
FA
Luton
Forest Green
4
3
W
18.10.25
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
0
2
L
H2H at home: Luton
15.11.25
H2H
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
12.11.22
H2H
Luton
Rotherham
1
1
D
04.05.21
H2H
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
Last matches: Rotherham
15.08.26
Lea
Rotherham
Cheltenham
1
2
L
28.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Darlington 1883
2
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Alfreton Town
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Matlock Town
1
1
D
14.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
AFC Emley
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Rotherham
Parkgate
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wycombe
2
3
L
18.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Leyton Orient
2
0
W
14.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Wigan
0
3
L
07.04.26
Lea
Rotherham
Port Vale
0
1
L
21.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Lincoln
0
3
L
17.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Peterborough
0
5
L
07.03.26
Lea
Rotherham
Huddersfield
0
1
L
24.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Bradford
0
1
L
17.02.26
Lea
Rotherham
Burton Albion
0
1
L
31.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Exeter City
4
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Rotherham
Stockport County
2
3
L
29.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Blackpool
0
4
L
26.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Bolton
1
2
L
13.12.25
Lea
Rotherham
Plymouth
0
1
L
H2H away: Rotherham
15.11.25
H2H
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
12.11.22
H2H
Luton
Rotherham
1
1
D
04.05.21
H2H
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
Luton
Home
|
46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 |
Rotherham
Away
|
46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two