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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
--.--.---- --:--
Luton
FT
2 - 3
Plymouth
Kenilworth Road
Referee: Oliver Yates, England
Luton
Match Timeline
Plymouth
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
4'
C. Watts ↔ O. Dale
Plymouth
⚽
15'
M. Sorinola · Assist: L. Tolaj
Plymouth
🟨
19'
Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu
Plymouth
⚽
20'
J. Yates
Luton
🟨
26'
Nigel Cello Lonwijk
Luton
⚽
45'
B. Ibrahim
Plymouth
🔄
46'
N. Lonwijk ↔ K. Naismith
Luton
🔄
46'
L. Nordas ↔ N. Wells
Luton
⚽
49'
N. Wells
Luton
🟥
50'
Joe Edwards
Plymouth
🟨
52'
Millenic Alli
Luton
🔄
52'
M. Ross ↔ B. Galloway
Plymouth
🔄
60'
G. Kodua ↔ S. Morris
Luton
🔄
71'
M. Andersen ↔ C. Bramall
Luton
⚽
75'
B. Ibrahim
Plymouth
🟨
76'
Bali Mumba
Plymouth
🔄
84'
Z. Nelson ↔ J. Gbode
Luton
🔄
87'
M. Sorinola ↔ L. McCabe
Plymouth
🔄
87'
L. Tolaj ↔ A. Pepple
Plymouth
🟨
90+7'
Brendan Galloway
Plymouth

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Luton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Plymouth Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Luton1.65
Plymouth0.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Luton Luton
WWDLW
8 GF / 3 GA
Plymouth Plymouth
WLDWL
8 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.14
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.14
1
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
4
4
Shots on Goal
3.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Luton Luton 6 matches
Plymouth Plymouth 7 matches
Luton Statistic Plymouth
4 Wins 2
0 Draws 0
2 Losses 5
8 Goals For 8
3 Goals Against 15
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.14
1 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 4
4 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 3
4 Shots On Goal 3.29
11.83 Total Shots 10.71
6.17 Corners 5.43
55.5% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Luton won 5 times, Plymouth won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:14 from Luton's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.46 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Luton 3-1-4-2 / Plymouth 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Luton wins 5, draws 3, Plymouth wins 5
Stats
Luton Luton
Plymouth Plymouth
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
8
Blocked Shots
1
16 Corner Kicks 3
12 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 2
8 Blocked Shots 1
17 Shots insidebox 5
5 Shots outsidebox 1
0 Goalkeeper Saves 5
376 Total passes 209
301 Passes accurate 117
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Luton
Formation
Plymouth
J. Keeley
J. Keeley
C. Makosso
C. Makosso
M. Andersen
↓
M. Andersen
N. Lonwijk
↓
N. Lonwijk
G. Saville
G. Saville
G. Kodua
↓
G. Kodua
Z. Nelson
↓
Z. Nelson
J. Clark
J. Clark
M. Alli
M. Alli
J. Yates
⚽
J. Yates
L. Nordas
↓
L. Nordas
L. Ashby-Hammond
L. Ashby-Hammond
M. Ross
↓
M. Ross
A. Mitchell
A. Mitchell
B. Wiredu
B. Wiredu
J. Edwards
J. Edwards
B. Ibrahim
⚽ 2
B. Ibrahim
M. Boateng
M. Boateng
M. Sorinola
⚽ ↓
M. Sorinola
C. Watts
↓
C. Watts
B. Mumba
B. Mumba
L. Tolaj
🎯 ↓
L. Tolaj
Luton 3-1-4-2
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
28
C. Makosso
D
5
M. Andersen
↓ 71'
D
17
N. Lonwijk
↓ 46' 🟨 26'
D
23
G. Saville
M
30
G. Kodua
↓ 60'
M
37
Z. Nelson
↓ 84'
M
18
J. Clark
M
7
M. Alli
🟨 52'
M
9
J. Yates
⚽ 20'
F
20
L. Nordas
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
3
K. Naismith
↑ 46'
D
8
L. Walsh
M
14
S. Morris
↑ 60'
F
21
N. Wells
⚽ 49' ↑ 46'
F
31
J. Gbode
↑ 84'
F
33
C. Bramall
↑ 71'
D
Plymouth 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
21
L. Ashby-Hammond
G
2
M. Ross
↓ 52'
D
15
A. Mitchell
D
4
B. Wiredu
🟨 19'
D
8
J. Edwards
🟥 50'
M
23
B. Ibrahim
⚽ 45' ⚽ 75'
M
19
M. Boateng
M
29
M. Sorinola
⚽ 15' ↓ 87'
M
17
C. Watts
↓ 4'
F
11
B. Mumba
🟨 76'
F
9
L. Tolaj
🎯 15' ↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
13
Z. Baker
G
18
O. Oseni
20
L. McCabe
↑ 87'
M
22
B. Galloway
↑ 52' 🟨 90+7'
D
27
A. Pepple
↑ 87'
F
35
O. Dale
↑ 4'
F
39
T. Finn
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
Last matches: Plymouth
15.08.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stockport County
1
3
L
04.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Tavistock
4
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bristol City
0
0
D
25.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Truro City
1
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Torquay
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bath City
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Plymouth Parkway
4
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Plymouth
Northampton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Port Vale
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bradford
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
3
1
W
11.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Exeter City
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Barnsley
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bolton
1
2
L
21.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Huddersfield
3
1
W
17.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stevenage
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Reading
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Wigan
3
0
W
07.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Doncaster
2
1
W
28.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Rotherham
0
1
L
H2H: Luton vs Plymouth
24.02.26
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
2
1
W
24.01.26
H2H
Plymouth
Luton
1
0
L
13.09.25
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
2
3
L
19.02.25
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
1
1
D
27.09.24
H2H
Plymouth
Luton
3
1
L
09.03.19
H2H
Plymouth
Luton
0
0
D
17.11.18
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
5
1
W
25.02.17
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
1
1
D
06.08.16
H2H
Plymouth
Luton
0
3
W
19.03.16
H2H
Plymouth
Luton
0
1
W
24.10.15
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
1
2
L
17.01.15
H2H
Plymouth
Luton
0
1
W
06.09.14
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
0
1
L
Last matches: Luton
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lea
Luton
Bradford
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lea
Luton
Blackpool
1
0
W
17.01.26
Lea
Luton
Lincoln
2
2
D
10.01.26
Lea
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
W
29.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
3
0
W
26.12.25
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
4
0
W
13.12.25
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
2
2
D
29.11.25
Lea
Luton
Bolton
1
1
D
25.11.25
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
2
1
W
15.11.25
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
0
0
D
31.10.25
FA
Luton
Forest Green
4
3
W
H2H at home: Luton
24.02.26
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
2
1
W
13.09.25
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
2
3
L
19.02.25
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
1
1
D
17.11.18
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
5
1
W
25.02.17
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
1
1
D
24.10.15
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
1
2
L
06.09.14
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
0
1
L
Last matches: Plymouth
04.08.26
Fri
Plymouth
Tavistock
4
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Truro City
1
0
W
21.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Torquay
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Bath City
3
0
W
11.07.26
Fri
Plymouth
Plymouth Parkway
4
1
W
02.05.26
Lea
Plymouth
Northampton
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Bradford
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
3
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Plymouth
Barnsley
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Reading
2
2
D
10.03.26
Lea
Plymouth
Wigan
3
0
W
28.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Rotherham
0
1
L
17.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Leyton Orient
3
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Plymouth
Blackpool
4
0
W
31.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stockport County
1
2
L
17.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Peterborough
1
0
W
01.01.26
Lea
Plymouth
Stevenage
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Doncaster
5
1
W
09.12.25
Lea
Plymouth
Wycombe
1
0
W
22.11.25
Lea
Plymouth
Port Vale
1
0
W
H2H away: Plymouth
24.02.26
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
2
1
L
13.09.25
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
2
3
W
19.02.25
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
1
1
D
17.11.18
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
5
1
L
25.02.17
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
1
1
D
24.10.15
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
1
2
W
06.09.14
H2H
Luton
Plymouth
0
1
W

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Lincoln
46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2
Cardiff
46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3
Stockport County
46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4
Bradford
46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5
Bolton
46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6
Stevenage
46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Home
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8
Plymouth Away
46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9
Huddersfield
46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10
Mansfield Town
46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11
Wycombe
46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12
Reading
46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13
Blackpool
46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14
Doncaster
46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15
Barnsley
46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16
Wigan
46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17
Burton Albion
46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18
Peterborough
46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19
AFC Wimbledon
46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20
Leyton Orient
46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21
Exeter City
46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22
Port Vale
46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23
Rotherham
46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24
Northampton
46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two