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COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
20.10.2026 23:00
Estadio Metropolitano de Techo

Internacional de Bogota vs Fortaleza FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Internacional de Bogota Win 55%
Draw 18.9%
Fortaleza FC Win 26.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Internacional de Bogota1.33
Fortaleza FC1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota
WWDLW
45 GF / 55 GA
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC
WLDWL
36 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.25
Average Goals Scored
1.13
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.44
23
BTTS Yes
23
20
Over 2.5
16
4.34
Shots on Goal
3.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Internacional de Bogota Internacional de Bogota 36 matches
Fortaleza FC Fortaleza FC 32 matches
Internacional de Bogota Statistic Fortaleza FC
10 Wins 6
15 Draws 15
11 Losses 11
45 Goals For 36
55 Goals Against 46
1.25 Avg Goals Scored 1.13
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.44
23 BTTS Yes 23
28 Over 1.5 26
20 Over 2.5 16
12 Over 3.5 8
8 Clean Sheets 7
10 Failed To Score 6
4.34 Shots On Goal 3.75
12.77 Total Shots 11.69
4.66 Corners 4.09
44.4% Ball Possession 52.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Internacional de Bogota expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Fortaleza FC in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Fortaleza FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Fortaleza FC.

Internacional de Bogota Analysis

So far, Internacional de Bogota have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 28 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 26:26 reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Sanguinetti (8 goals), F. Boné (5 goals), Dereck Moncada (5 goals), with creative support from F. Sanguinetti (7 assists), F. Boné (3 assists), Dereck Moncada (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Fortaleza FC Analysis

Fortaleza FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 22 points from 19 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 22:27, reflects poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their threat comes through Andrés Arroyo (9 goals), Italo Montaño Cortes (3 goals), Richardson Rivas (3 goals), with creative support from Andrés Arroyo (4 assists), S. Navarro (3 assists), Italo Montaño Cortes (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Internacional de Bogota won 1 times, Fortaleza FC won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:16 from Internacional de Bogota's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.1%)
Predicted formations: Internacional de Bogota 4-2-3-1 / Fortaleza FC 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Internacional de Bogota wins 1, draws 5, Fortaleza FC wins 6

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
D W D L W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
D D L L W
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L W W D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
L W W D L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L D D D D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W L W W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D D D L L
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
D W W W W
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D D W W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L D L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D D W L L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D W W W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L W L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
W L L L D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D L W L W
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L D W L L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W W W L L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D D L L D
Post season qualification