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MEXICO › LIGA MX
17.10.2026 03:00
Estadio Azul
Referee: Luis Enrique Santander Aguirre
Atlante FC
Match Timeline
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Miguel Ernesto Herrera Aguirre
Atlante FC
🟥
34'
Miguel Ernesto Herrera Aguirre
Atlante FC
⚽
42'
Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior · Assist: Robert Morales
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
⚽
45+1'
Luis Calzadilla · Assist: Edgar Jiménez
Atlante FC
🟨
47'
Aarón Quirós
Atlante FC
🔄
63'
Alan Medina ↔ Victor Arteaga
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🟨
70'
Pablo Bennevendo
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
71'
Edgar Jiménez ↔ Diogo Osmar Bagüí Tobar
Atlante FC
⚽
72'
Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior · Assist: Adalberto Carrasquilla
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
76'
Aarón Quirós ↔ Christian Bermudez
Atlante FC
🔄
85'
Olávio Vieira dos Santos Júnior ↔ Álvaro Angulo
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
🔄
86'
Eduardo Tercero ↔ Jairon Charcopa
Atlante FC
🔄
86'
Eugenio Pizzuto ↔ Joaquín Alejandro Moxica Chapa
Atlante FC
🟨
90+2'
Walter Portales
Atlante FC
🔄
90+5'
Carlos Antuna ↔ Santiago Lopez
U.N.A.M. - Pumas

Atlante FC vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.6%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.83
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.6%
1.44 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.62 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.83 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Atlante FC Win 33.4%
Draw 23.3%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Win 43.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atlante FC1.4
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atlante FC Atlante FC
WWDLW
19 GF / 26 GA
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas
WLDWL
22 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.47
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.6
10
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
9
5
Shots on Goal
4.46

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Atlante FC Atlante FC 15 matches
U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 15 matches
Atlante FC Statistic U.N.A.M. - Pumas
2 Wins 5
8 Draws 4
5 Losses 6
19 Goals For 22
26 Goals Against 24
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.6
10 BTTS Yes 8
14 Over 1.5 12
6 Over 2.5 9
4 Over 3.5 5
1 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 5
5 Shots On Goal 4.46
15.09 Total Shots 12.85
4.64 Corners 5
42.7% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward U.N.A.M. - Pumas. U.N.A.M. - Pumas arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Atlante FC expected to line up in 5-3-2 and U.N.A.M. - Pumas in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward U.N.A.M. - Pumas having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Atlante FC Analysis

With 11 points from 10 games and a place of 14, Atlante FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, together with goals at 12:15, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through J. Julio (2 goals), L. Calzadilla (2 goals), Walter Portales (1 goals), with creative support from J. Julio (4 assists), Walter Portales (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Analysis

U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 12 with 12 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 14:16, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Juninho (5 goals), R. Morales (2 goals), R. López (1 goals), with creative support from R. Morales (3 assists), R. López (2 assists), P. Vite (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.7%)
Predicted formations: Atlante FC 5-3-2 / U.N.A.M. - Pumas 4-4-2

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:11 11 21
D W D L W
2 11 6 2 3 25:15 10 20
L D L W W
3 10 6 2 2 15:8 7 20
W W D W W
4 11 5 4 2 18:11 7 19
D L D W W
5 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W D W L
6 11 5 3 3 17:18 -1 18
D W D L D
7 11 5 2 4 22:21 1 17
D D L W W
8 10 4 3 3 15:14 1 15
D L D L W
9 11 4 3 4 12:13 -1 15
D L D L W
10 10 4 2 4 17:15 2 14
D L W D L
11 11 3 4 4 18:14 4 13
D L D W W
12 11 3 4 4 17:19 -2 13
D L D L W
13 11 3 4 4 13:15 -2 13
W W L D D
14 11 4 1 6 12:16 -4 13
W W W W L
15 11 3 3 5 15:20 -5 12
L W W L L
16 11 2 5 4 12:17 -5 11
L W D L D
17 11 2 3 6 15:23 -8 9
D L L L D
18 11 1 1 9 8:26 -18 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)