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17.10.2026 02:00
Willoughby Community Park
Vancouver FC
Match Timeline
HFX Wanderers FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
14'
elage bah
Vancouver FC
⚽
24'
elage bah
Vancouver FC
⚽
44'
Lucas Olguin
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
45'
elage bah ↔ Aboubacar Traore
Vancouver FC
🔄
45'
Liam MacKenzie ↔ A. Reid
HFX Wanderers FC
🟨
53'
Isak Ssewankambo
Vancouver FC
🔄
64'
Ilan Ahmed Hassan ↔ Francesco Troisi
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
66'
Terran Campbell ↔ Lys Mousset
Vancouver FC
🟨
69'
A. Reid
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
71'
Isak Ssewankambo ↔ Marcello Polisi
Vancouver FC
🔄
72'
Emrick Fotsing ↔ Benjamin Lee
Vancouver FC
⚽
76'
Matteo.Campagna · Assist: Aboubacar Traore
Vancouver FC
🔄
81'
Miguel Arilla Guinot ↔ Tavio Ciccarelli
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
81'
S. Zitman ↔ Andre Rampersad
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
84'
Luis Toomey ↔ Nicolás Mezquida
Vancouver FC
🔄
88'
Lucas Olguin ↔ Jabu Deng
HFX Wanderers FC

Vancouver FC vs HFX Wanderers FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.88
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.63
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.2%
1.88 ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
1.44 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.63 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.2%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Vancouver FC Win 60.2%
Draw 9.2%
HFX Wanderers FC Win 30.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Vancouver FC1.44
HFX Wanderers FC1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Vancouver FC Vancouver FC
WWDLW
37 GF / 43 GA
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WLDWL
40 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.48
1.54
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
15
BTTS Yes
17
14
Over 2.5
15
3.46
Shots on Goal
3.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Vancouver FC Vancouver FC 28 matches
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 27 matches
Vancouver FC Statistic HFX Wanderers FC
9 Wins 7
7 Draws 8
12 Losses 12
37 Goals For 40
43 Goals Against 44
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.48
1.54 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
15 BTTS Yes 17
20 Over 1.5 19
14 Over 2.5 15
11 Over 3.5 12
3 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 6
3.46 Shots On Goal 3.15
9.68 Total Shots 9.08
4.39 Corners 3.81
37.2% Ball Possession 41.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Vancouver FC's more proactive style and HFX Wanderers FC's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward HFX Wanderers FC. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Vancouver FC expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and HFX Wanderers FC in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward HFX Wanderers FC having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Vancouver FC Analysis

Placed 4 with 33 points from 25 outings, Vancouver FC continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 10 defeats, together with a 35:33 goal balance, points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through L. Toomey (2 goals), M. Doner (2 goals), T. Bah (2 goals), with creative support from Thomas Geoffrey Field (2 assists), L. Toomey (1 assists), M. Amissi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC sit 6 with 27 points after 25 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 12 defeats, together with a 38:42 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through I. Johnston (4 goals), J. Bahamboula (2 goals), L. Callegari (1 goals), with creative support from L. Callegari (3 assists), N. Pierre (1 assists), T. Meilleur-Giguère (1 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points toward a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Vancouver FC won 5 times, HFX Wanderers FC won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:21 from Vancouver FC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.57 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Vancouver FC 4-2-3-1 / HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Vancouver FC wins 5, draws 2, HFX Wanderers FC wins 7

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 16 6 4 53:21 32 54
D L L W D
2 26 16 6 4 46:20 26 54
W W D D D
3 26 13 4 9 40:41 -1 43
W W W L L
4 27 10 5 12 43:47 -4 35
W D W W L
5 26 9 7 10 37:35 2 34
D D D D L
6 26 7 7 12 40:44 -4 28
D D L W W
7 27 6 9 12 40:64 -24 27
L L L W L
8 26 2 8 16 30:57 -27 14
L L L W D