ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
--.--.---- --:--
Victoria Park
Hartlepool
Match Timeline
Forest Green
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
A. Campbell · Assist: A. Reid
Hartlepool
45'
R. McNally
Hartlepool
🔄
46'
S. Etaluku ↔ T. Knowles
Forest Green
🔄
56'
N. Haughton ↔ J. Clarke
Forest Green
🟨
64'
J. Hunter
Hartlepool
🔄
65'
A. Ahmed ↔ K. Mitchell
Forest Green
🔄
73'
A. Campbell ↔ M. Daly
Hartlepool
🔄
73'
A. Reid ↔ C. Caton
Hartlepool
🔄
77'
R. Rees ↔ N. Kengni
Forest Green
🔄
77'
J. J. Mingi ↔ C. Nwoko
Forest Green
🔄
81'
T. Sinclair ↔ J. Smith-Sway
Hartlepool
🔄
81'
J. Miley ↔ V. Oliver
Hartlepool
🟨
90+2'
K. McAllister
Forest Green
90'
K. McAllister · Assist: T. Knowles
Forest Green

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 61%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.7%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
61%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
53.5%
-
Probability Distribution
Hartlepool Win 26.8%
Draw 15.5%
Forest Green Win 57.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Hartlepool1.13
Forest Green1.6
Recent Form (Last 5)
Hartlepool Hartlepool
WWDLW
50 GF / 58 GA
Forest Green Forest Green
WLDWL
89 GF / 58 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.82
1.26
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
20
BTTS Yes
31
18
Over 2.5
26
0
Shots on Goal
5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Hartlepool Hartlepool 46 matches
Forest Green Forest Green 49 matches
Hartlepool Statistic Forest Green
16 Wins 25
15 Draws 12
15 Losses 12
50 Goals For 89
58 Goals Against 58
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.82
1.26 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
20 BTTS Yes 31
31 Over 1.5 42
18 Over 2.5 26
10 Over 3.5 17
17 Clean Sheets 13
16 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 5
0 Total Shots 16
0 Corners 6
0% Ball Possession 47%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Forest Green's more proactive style and Hartlepool's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Forest Green. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Forest Green having the stronger overall control.

Hartlepool Analysis

Hartlepool are currently 9 in the standings with 62 points from 43 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 16 wins, 14 draws, and 13 losses, while the 47:52 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Reid (11 goals), A. Campbell (4 goals), M. Daly (4 goals), with creative support from M. Daly (5 assists), J. Francis (4 assists), J. Miley (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Forest Green Analysis

Forest Green are currently 6 in the standings with 78 points from 44 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 22 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses, while the 76:50 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on K. McAllister (14 goals), T. Knowles (10 goals), N. Haughton (7 goals), with creative support from K. McAllister (6 assists), N. Haughton (5 assists), J. Buyabu (5 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 8 wins, 7 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Hartlepool won 1 times, Forest Green won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:8 from Hartlepool's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.5%)
H2H summary: Hartlepool wins 1, draws 2, Forest Green wins 3

Lineups

Hartlepool
Formation
Forest Green
N. Hayes
N. Hayes
J. Hunter
J. Hunter
M. Kouogun
M. Kouogun
R. McNally
R. McNally
N. Sheron
N. Sheron
J. Miley
J. Miley
J. Benn
J. Benn
A. Campbell
A. Campbell
T. Sinclair
T. Sinclair
C. John
C. John
A. Reid
🎯
A. Reid
H. Isted
H. Isted
A. Ahmed
A. Ahmed
J. Moore-Taylor
J. Moore-Taylor
J. J. Mingi
J. J. Mingi
S. Etaluku
S. Etaluku
K. McAllister
K. McAllister
L. Mendy
L. Mendy
N. Haughton
N. Haughton
J. Buyabu
J. Buyabu
D. Mellor
D. Mellor
R. Rees
R. Rees
Hartlepool 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
23
N. Hayes
15
J. Hunter
🟨 64'
5
M. Kouogun
6
R. McNally
⚽ 45'
14
N. Sheron
18
J. Miley
↓ 81'
2
J. Benn
10
A. Campbell
⚽ 35' ↓ 73'
37
T. Sinclair
↓ 81'
3
C. John
19
A. Reid
🎯 35' ↓ 73'
Substitutes
4
T. Parkes
17
S. Folarin
24
J. Smith-Sway
↑ 81'
27
V. Oliver
↑ 81'
28
M. Daly
↑ 73'
35
C. Caton
↑ 73'
38
B. Walker
Forest Green 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
42
H. Isted
47
A. Ahmed
↓ 65'
15
J. Moore-Taylor
19
J. J. Mingi
↓ 77'
28
S. Etaluku
↓ 46'
7
K. McAllister
⚽ 90' 🟨 90+2'
6
L. Mendy
8
N. Haughton
↓ 56'
24
J. Buyabu
44
D. Mellor
45
R. Rees
↓ 77'
Substitutes
12
F. Pagel
3
N. Kengni
↑ 77'
11
T. Knowles
🎯 90' ↑ 46'
14
J. Clarke
↑ 56'
18
T. Campbell
26
C. Nwoko
↑ 77'
29
K. Mitchell
↑ 65'
Last matches: Hartlepool
21.07.26
Fri
Hartlepool
Hebburn Town
3
2
W
18.07.26
Fri
Hartlepool
Spennymoor Town
2
1
W
14.07.26
Fri
Hartlepool
Redcar Athletic
4
2
W
25.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Boston United
1
3
L
21.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Southend
4
3
W
11.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Boreham Wood
0
3
L
06.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Rochdale
0
0
D
03.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Scunthorpe
0
0
D
31.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Wealdstone
0
7
L
25.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Morecambe
3
2
W
21.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Eastleigh
1
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Truro City
1
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
FC Halifax Town
0
1
L
03.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Sutton Utd
0
2
L
25.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Carlisle
3
1
W
21.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Solihull Moors
4
3
W
11.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
York
2
3
L
07.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Tamworth
1
1
D
31.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Aldershot Town
0
3
L
24.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Brackley Town
0
0
D
Last matches: Forest Green
21.07.26
Fri
Forest Green
Bristol Rovers
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Forest Green
Merthyr Town
2
1
W
07.07.26
Fri
Forest Green
Bishop's Cleeve
3
1
W
29.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Boreham Wood
0
1
L
25.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Morecambe
5
0
W
11.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Braintree
3
1
W
06.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Truro City
1
1
D
03.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Brackley Town
4
0
W
28.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Eastleigh
4
2
W
25.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Tamworth
0
1
L
21.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Wealdstone
2
0
W
14.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Southend
0
2
L
07.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Aldershot Town
2
1
W
28.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Gateshead
2
0
W
24.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Boston United
2
3
L
21.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Boreham Wood
1
1
D
14.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Carlisle
1
3
L
11.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Rochdale
1
2
L
07.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
York
1
2
L
03.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Woking
4
2
W
H2H: Hartlepool vs Forest Green
18.04.26
H2H
Hartlepool
Forest Green
2
1
W
06.09.25
H2H
Forest Green
Hartlepool
1
0
L
05.05.25
H2H
Hartlepool
Forest Green
1
1
D
28.09.24
H2H
Forest Green
Hartlepool
1
0
L
09.04.22
H2H
Forest Green
Hartlepool
1
1
D
20.11.21
H2H
Hartlepool
Forest Green
1
3
L
Last matches: Hartlepool
21.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Southend
4
3
W
06.04.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Rochdale
0
0
D
21.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Eastleigh
1
0
W
07.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
FC Halifax Town
0
1
L
03.03.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Sutton Utd
0
2
L
25.02.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Carlisle
3
1
W
31.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Aldershot Town
0
3
L
20.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Gateshead
2
1
W
17.01.26
Nat
Hartlepool
Altrincham
1
0
W
26.12.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Scunthorpe
1
2
L
13.12.25
FA
Hartlepool
Anstey Nomads
1
2
L
06.12.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Yeovil Town
0
2
L
29.11.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Truro City
3
1
W
15.11.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Wealdstone
1
1
D
04.11.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Morecambe
1
1
D
25.10.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Solihull Moors
2
0
W
14.10.25
FA
Hartlepool
Gainsborough Trinity
1
3
L
04.10.25
Nat
Hartlepool
York
1
2
L
27.09.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Tamworth
1
1
D
13.09.25
Nat
Hartlepool
Brackley Town
0
0
D
H2H at home: Hartlepool
18.04.26
H2H
Hartlepool
Forest Green
2
1
W
05.05.25
H2H
Hartlepool
Forest Green
1
1
D
20.11.21
H2H
Hartlepool
Forest Green
1
3
L
Last matches: Forest Green
18.07.26
Fri
Forest Green
Merthyr Town
2
1
W
07.07.26
Fri
Forest Green
Bishop's Cleeve
3
1
W
29.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Boreham Wood
0
1
L
06.04.26
Nat
Forest Green
Truro City
1
1
D
28.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Eastleigh
4
2
W
25.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Tamworth
0
1
L
14.03.26
Nat
Forest Green
Southend
0
2
L
28.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Gateshead
2
0
W
21.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Boreham Wood
1
1
D
11.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
Rochdale
1
2
L
07.02.26
Nat
Forest Green
York
1
2
L
24.01.26
Nat
Forest Green
Scunthorpe
2
3
L
17.01.26
Nat
Forest Green
Sutton Utd
1
1
D
10.01.26
FA
Forest Green
Ebbsfleet United
2
0
W
26.12.25
Nat
Forest Green
Brackley Town
0
1
L
20.12.25
Nat
Forest Green
Yeovil Town
2
0
W
22.11.25
Nat
Forest Green
Wealdstone
1
1
D
08.11.25
Nat
Forest Green
Aldershot Town
3
2
W
31.10.25
FA
Forest Green
Luton
3
4
L
18.10.25
Nat
Forest Green
Carlisle
2
4
L
H2H away: Forest Green
18.04.26
H2H
Hartlepool
Forest Green
2
1
L
05.05.25
H2H
Hartlepool
Forest Green
1
1
D
20.11.21
H2H
Hartlepool
Forest Green
1
3
W

Standings

Conference: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 33 9 4 114:41 73 108
D W W W W
2 46 33 7 6 88:41 47 106
D W W D L
3 46 29 8 9 87:51 36 95
W W W D D
4 46 27 9 10 95:58 37 90
W W W L W
5 46 23 13 10 77:62 15 82
L D W L D
6 46 23 12 11 83:47 36 81
W L W W D
7 46 23 12 11 82:52 30 81
W L W D W
8 46 20 10 16 69:66 3 70
W L D D W
9 46 18 14 14 54:59 -5 68
L W W L D
10 46 16 15 15 69:54 15 63
L W D W D
11 46 17 11 18 63:71 -8 62
W D L D W
12 46 15 14 17 63:67 -4 59
W W D W D
13 46 17 6 23 55:65 -10 57
W W W L L
14 46 14 14 18 71:72 -1 56
W L D D W
15 46 15 11 20 67:74 -7 56
L D D L W
16 46 15 6 25 48:68 -20 51
L L D L W
17 46 13 11 22 57:80 -23 50
W D L W D
18 46 14 8 24 54:90 -36 50
L L W W D
19 46 11 14 21 59:79 -20 47
L L L L D
20 46 13 7 26 69:87 -18 46
L L L L L
21 46 10 12 24 40:75 -35 42
L W L D L
22 46 9 11 26 66:103 -37 38
L L L D W
23 46 8 12 26 38:76 -38 36
L L L D L
24 46 8 10 28 42:72 -30 34
W L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation